Excellent-Withdrawal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

-$107

Hit rate

84.9%

Resolved

603

Trades

7,217

lifetime

Volume

$86.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$393

1 position

First seen

2026-01-18

last 06-13 10:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Politics

73% 0% $-0

Crypto

27% 81% $-6

Other

1% 0% $-0

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 360 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes		+2,381	$500	16¢	$393	$-107	06-13 10:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	22	$14.7K	15,947	15,947	+0	open	—	04-10 12:59
iran closes its airspace by june 8	14	$8.6K	9,288	9,288	+0	open	—	06-07 20:40
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	11	$7.5K	16,064	16,064	+0	open	—	04-24 19:57
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	13	$6.7K	7,618	7,618	+0	open	—	04-15 21:06
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	9	$4.3K	4,099	4,099	+0	open	—	03-01 05:23
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	7	$3.1K	2,991	2,991	+0	open	—	04-07 23:58
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	3	$3.1K	976	3,665	-2,689	open	—	06-07 20:09
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	10	$2.5K	7,026	7,026	+0	open	—	03-22 17:05
hezbollah strike on israel by march 31 737 523	12	$2.4K	3,694	3,694	+0	open	—	03-01 23:40
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	7	$1.9K	3,979	3,979	+0	open	—	03-26 16:32
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	4	$1.6K	1,435	1,435	+0	open	—	04-08 14:55
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	7	$895	601,000	294,490	+306,510	open	—	04-20 20:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$793	0	1,133	-1,133	open	—	05-31 10:35
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	10	$651	1,377	1,377	+0	open	—	01-23 23:37
Iran leadership change by December 31?	1	$500	2,381	0	+2,381	open	—	06-13 10:26
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	4	$491	809	303	+507	open	—	01-26 10:17
military action against iran ends by april 15 2026 937	3	$468	2,044	2,044	+0	open	—	04-09 09:48
will israel strike 1 countries in january 2026	2	$405	261	261	+0	open	—	01-23 09:38
iran closes its airspace by july 31	3	$345	607	245	+362	open	—	06-07 18:02
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$262	254	254	+0	open	—	01-21 15:29
btc updown 5m 1772803800	25	$258	445	23	+422	open	—	03-06 13:34
btc updown 5m 1772797800	30	$241	453	0	+453	open	—	03-06 11:53
will the us next strike iran on january 31 2026 et 836	7	$237	2,214	2,214	+0	open	—	01-31 01:54
hezbollah strike on israel by march 7	2	$196	194	194	+0	open	—	03-01 17:11
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	3	$187	254	254	+0	open	—	03-01 17:05
masoud pezeshkian out by march 31	2	$185	167	167	+0	open	—	02-28 13:45
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	2	$167	202	202	+0	open	—	03-02 00:13
eth updown 15m 1772802900	29	$162	172	144	+28	open	—	03-06 13:27
btc updown 15m 1772789400	17	$151	171	135	+36	open	—	03-06 09:42
btc updown 5m 1772798400	20	$149	273	0	+273	open	—	03-06 12:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 10:26:27	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2,381	21¢	$500	0xff2896…
06-07 20:40:51	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	1,836	54¢	$985	0x31da5c…
06-07 20:31:21	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	1,836	54¢	$1,000	0xad49e9…
06-07 20:24:58	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	4,758	39¢	$1,849	0xf97cc8…
06-07 20:10:43	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	271	46¢	$125	0x88e18f…
06-07 20:10:04	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	2,570	47¢	$1,200	0x4e133e…
06-07 20:09:51	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,906	65¢	$1,239	0x51944c…
06-07 20:08:37	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	1,277	55¢	$700	0xbeb822…
06-07 20:08:21	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	640	46¢	$294	0xce52ec…
06-07 19:39:15	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	1,787	60¢	$1,075	0x7ea49f…
06-07 19:26:27	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	213	66¢	$140	0x424b18…
06-07 19:25:55	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	1,511	66¢	$1,000	0xca41dd…
06-07 19:25:42	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,759	65¢	$1,144	0x7be4eb…
06-07 19:07:01	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	62	64¢	$40	0xd6ea65…
06-07 18:02:42	iran closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	362	41¢	$150	0x7b10ff…
06-07 18:01:48	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	906	11¢	$97	0xb855e9…
06-07 18:01:24	iran closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	SELL	245	39¢	$95	0x63af55…
06-07 17:31:21	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	409	11¢	$44	0xf326a9…
06-07 17:30:58	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	498	10¢	$50	0xe54a4e…
06-07 17:05:19	iran closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	245	41¢	$100	0x88ee90…
05-31 10:36:07	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	BUY	976	72¢	$700	0x4663ee…
05-31 10:35:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,133	70¢	$793	0x18e6af…
05-31 08:00:10	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xd10a2d…
05-31 02:39:48	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xaed1cc…
05-31 00:16:27	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x2ef178…
05-30 23:30:09	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x502084…
05-30 23:20:04	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xcf1825…
05-30 23:19:46	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x554a9e…
05-30 23:19:45	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf703bc…
05-30 23:19:45	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb9ac22…
05-30 23:17:00	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x586a6e…
05-30 23:16:58	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xcc55bf…
05-30 23:15:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x75a692…
05-30 22:35:09	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb4ccac…
05-30 22:30:08	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x5d515b…
05-30 22:10:09	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x34543f…
05-30 21:55:15	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x95a60a…
05-30 21:55:13	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xafc94b…
05-30 21:55:13	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x2c4cf6…
05-30 21:55:08	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x170c2a…
05-30 21:45:13	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xdd2726…
05-30 21:13:10	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x60dfe5…
05-30 21:13:10	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x60dfe5…
05-30 21:10:13	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x73e05e…
05-30 21:10:13	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x5d9b6e…
05-30 21:10:13	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x4e42de…
05-30 21:10:11	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x0dc36c…
05-22 17:14:15	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x98b301…
05-22 16:44:13	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x0367e5…
05-22 14:54:10	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x2cd1d5…
05-22 14:44:15	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x5d3b43…
05-22 14:24:11	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x3f401a…
05-22 14:19:08	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x585c09…
05-22 14:14:13	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xa3753d…
05-22 14:04:09	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xbc8297…
05-22 13:49:09	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x0cf32c…
05-22 13:44:08	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x9b9e94…
05-22 13:34:08	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x496b36…
05-22 13:09:10	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x76235d…
05-22 12:19:25	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x108878…
05-22 11:44:12	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x0726b4…
05-22 11:34:12	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x928bff…
05-22 11:29:15	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x2fa56a…
05-22 11:24:08	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xbab700…
05-22 11:19:09	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x51cdc0…
05-22 11:14:17	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x81342c…
05-22 11:09:09	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x88cbac…
05-22 10:59:14	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x094290…
05-22 10:54:08	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x2519a5…
05-22 10:49:07	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x771557…
05-22 10:44:09	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xabc310…
05-22 10:39:12	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x35e6d1…
05-22 10:34:09	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xfb8059…
05-22 10:29:18	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x1adec4…
05-22 10:24:10	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x66f2ba…
05-22 10:19:08	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x3bfb43…
05-22 10:14:15	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xd547f4…
05-22 10:04:08	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x7ffcec…
05-22 09:49:09	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x5dbbf5…
05-22 09:34:09	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x40c3ab…
05-22 09:29:22	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x6fcc08…
05-22 09:19:11	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xa46afe…
05-22 09:14:16	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x76aca6…
05-22 07:54:10	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xc9c520…
05-22 07:09:12	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x682ccb…
05-22 07:04:07	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x643cc7…
05-22 06:59:17	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x4e69e5…
05-22 06:54:09	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xd93f2d…
05-22 06:49:09	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x354294…
05-22 06:44:17	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x461d8c…
05-22 06:39:11	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xabce79…
05-22 06:34:06	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xaf20f3…
05-22 06:29:16	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xdf76fe…
05-22 06:24:10	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x683d9b…
05-22 06:19:09	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x2a8c14…
05-22 06:14:16	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x182770…
05-22 06:09:08	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xa1884c…
05-22 06:04:07	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x53600f…
05-22 05:59:13	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x4d62de…
05-22 05:54:09	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x27a8a5…