Realized P&L
-$6
Unrealized P&L
-$134
Hit rate
84.9%
Resolved
603
Trades
7,248
lifetime
Volume
$89.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$363
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-18
last 07-20 13:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Politics
73% 0% $-0
Crypto
26% 81% $-6
Other
1% 0% $-0
Sports
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 360 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -1,333 $-206 26¢ $-340 $-134 07-10 03:19
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 $-0 07-18 20:57
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +5 $4 86¢ $4 $-0 07-18 13:32
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +5 $4 74¢ $4 $-0 07-18 06:49
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +5 $3 72¢ $4 +$0 07-19 00:11
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +6 $2 40¢ $2 +$0 07-18 16:43
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $2 32¢ $2 $-0 07-19 19:47
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +13 $2 11¢ $1 $-0 07-19 19:47
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $1 16¢ $1 $-0 07-18 21:17
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +0 $-0 70¢ $0 +$0 07-19 11:50