Excellent-Withdrawal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.9%

Resolved

603

Trades

7,352

lifetime

Volume

$94.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 08-06 16:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Politics

72% 0% $-0

Crypto

24% 81% $-6

Other

3% 0% $-0

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 176 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	22	$14.7K	15,947	15,947	+0	open	—	04-10 12:59
iran closes its airspace by june 8	14	$8.6K	9,288	9,288	+0	open	—	06-07 20:40
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	11	$7.5K	16,064	16,064	+0	open	—	04-24 19:57
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	13	$6.7K	7,618	7,618	+0	open	—	04-15 21:06
iran leadership change by june 30 2027	6	$4.6K	7,106	7,106	+0	open	—	07-25 05:26
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	9	$4.3K	4,099	4,099	+0	open	—	03-01 05:23
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	7	$3.1K	2,991	2,991	+0	open	—	04-07 23:58
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	3	$3.1K	976	3,665	-2,689	open	—	06-07 20:09
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	10	$2.5K	7,026	7,026	+0	open	—	03-22 17:05
hezbollah strike on israel by march 31 737 523	12	$2.4K	3,694	3,694	+0	open	—	03-01 23:40
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	7	$1.9K	3,979	3,979	+0	open	—	03-26 16:32
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	4	$1.6K	1,435	1,435	+0	open	—	04-08 14:55
Iran leadership change by December 31?	4	$1.2K	2,386	3,719	-1,333	open	—	07-23 17:15
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	6	$1.1K	877	877	+1	open	—	08-06 04:06
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	7	$895	601,000	294,490	+306,510	open	—	04-20 20:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$793	0	1,133	-1,133	open	—	05-31 10:35
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	3	$674	1,034	1,034	+0	open	—	08-06 04:06
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	10	$651	1,377	1,377	+0	open	—	01-23 23:37
untitled market 1 20260626145744786	3	$598	304	304	+0	open	—	07-18 18:03
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	4	$491	809	303	+507	open	—	01-26 10:17
military action against iran ends by april 15 2026 937	3	$468	2,044	2,044	+0	open	—	04-09 09:48
will israel strike 1 countries in january 2026	2	$405	261	261	+0	open	—	01-23 09:38
iran closes its airspace by july 31	3	$345	607	245	+362	open	—	06-07 18:02
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$262	254	254	+0	open	—	01-21 15:29
btc updown 5m 1772803800	25	$258	445	23	+422	open	—	03-06 13:34
btc updown 5m 1772797800	30	$241	453	0	+453	open	—	03-06 11:53
will the us next strike iran on january 31 2026 et 836	7	$237	2,214	2,214	+0	open	—	01-31 01:54
hezbollah strike on israel by march 7	2	$196	194	194	+0	open	—	03-01 17:11
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	3	$187	254	254	+0	open	—	03-01 17:05
masoud pezeshkian out by march 31	2	$185	167	167	+0	open	—	02-28 13:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-06 16:43:11	col pai rap 2026 08 06 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x2f7ade…
08-06 11:41:57	itf jovanov glushko 2026 08 06	Denislava Glushkova	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x954842…
08-06 10:41:26	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xd84d16…
08-06 06:40:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	SELL	14	5¢	$1	0x4806d4…
08-06 04:06:56	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	867	65¢	$567	0x46f75e…
08-06 04:06:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	SELL	1,034	36¢	$372	0xc80d67…
08-06 02:35:11	lec dal que 2026 08 05 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xd1d7ec…
08-06 01:16:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x89f5e4…
08-05 22:31:54	nfl car ari 2026 08 07	Cardinals	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x084df1…
08-05 22:11:15	uslc iel har 2026 08 09 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x1a9861…
08-05 21:40:41	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xabb010…
08-05 19:16:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xdd4ac4…
08-05 18:45:50	will joao felix attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803204947260	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x61588c…
08-05 17:44:15	will karim benzema attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630270	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xcf85e1…
08-05 15:59:20	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	867	58¢	$500	0xbc255a…
08-05 15:58:29	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	1,027	29¢	$300	0xa1a632…
08-05 12:11:32	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x91e358…
08-05 11:43:47	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0xc6ed54…
08-05 09:52:23	will iran target a arab country on august 6 2026 20260801004719123	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x55c14d…
08-05 02:29:33	will iran target a arab country on august 5 2026 20260801004719122	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x776d37…
08-05 02:07:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xa52674…
08-05 00:34:45	itf jovanov glushko 2026 08 06	Denislava Glushkova	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xfdb5f7…
08-04 17:53:21	lec dal que 2026 08 05 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x2b71fb…
08-04 17:01:57	nwsl rei ang 2026 08 09 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xd4caba…
08-04 15:57:35	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x12f589…
08-04 13:26:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x7e0e51…
08-04 11:43:29	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0xc80fb7…
08-04 11:33:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	6	27¢	$1	0x59b01e…
08-04 11:27:23	wta klimovi yaneva 2026 08 03	Elizara Yaneva	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x35f95f…
08-04 03:10:51	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 14 2026 20260722225036938	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xc60c59…
08-04 01:28:32	col1 cab cdf 2026 08 03 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0xd08047…
08-03 23:55:53	iran successfully targets shipping on august 4 2026 20260729163314524	No	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xe4ed5b…
08-03 22:15:05	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	Yes	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x2e9e0a…
08-03 21:42:30	israel agrees to board of peace gaza plan by august 7 20260731224133050	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x8e0c10…
08-03 18:37:51	wta boulter cross 2026 08 03	Kayla Cross	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x924537…
08-03 17:35:38	israel agrees to board of peace gaza plan by august 7 20260731224133050	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x7018d7…
08-03 16:44:18	israel agrees to board of peace gaza plan by august 7 20260731224133050	Yes	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0xbf75e2…
08-03 16:13:17	col rij ilv 2026 08 06 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x3aa8b9…
08-03 06:48:09	will iran target a arab country on august 6 2026 20260801004719123	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xbfce19…
08-03 04:03:56	will iran target a arab country on august 5 2026 20260801004719122	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x34f06e…
08-03 01:39:59	wta klimovi yaneva 2026 08 03	Elizara Yaneva	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xe4992e…
08-02 22:45:24	col pai rap 2026 08 06 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x4d222f…
08-02 21:54:24	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x22ee3f…
08-02 21:02:59	col1 cab cdf 2026 08 03 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xee4f9d…
08-02 19:20:38	atp debru turker 2026 08 03	Gabriel Debru	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xb621c7…
08-02 18:19:17	israel agrees to board of peace gaza plan by august 7 20260731224133050	Yes	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xcc1c3b…
08-02 13:48:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x4135e6…
08-02 11:49:44	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0xbb324b…
08-02 09:57:00	wta boulter cross 2026 08 03	Kayla Cross	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x2a5bf7…
08-02 03:34:29	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x681c9d…
08-02 03:14:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x36ecde…
08-02 02:16:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x6688e7…
08-02 00:20:47	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x383d00…
08-01 13:17:20	will elon post texas on x this week 20260731162042279	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xdce180…
08-01 13:12:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xee3674…
08-01 13:07:05	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xdb33c2…
08-01 13:07:05	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x6c0546…
08-01 03:14:02	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf6e0a6…
07-31 22:07:50	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xdb43a9…
07-31 08:02:20	nato downs another russian drone by july 31 20260726215001930	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x5756b2…
07-30 22:01:50	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xfdb288…
07-30 19:40:35	iran successfully targets shipping on august 4 2026 20260729163314524	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x26de07…
07-30 17:07:57	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x411fff…
07-30 04:14:39	iran successfully targets shipping on august 9 2026 20260729163314529	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xd3874d…
07-30 02:54:11	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x8b3334…
07-29 12:31:14	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xa8f43a…
07-28 23:11:56	nato downs another russian drone by july 31 20260726215001930	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x24af1f…
07-28 22:11:04	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xce5849…
07-28 04:47:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xa1c044…
07-27 11:20:27	atp kouame dimitro 2026 07 27	Moise Kouame	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xbe199d…
07-27 02:26:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x2c7abd…
07-26 20:04:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x525415…
07-26 13:36:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	No	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x86ccac…
07-26 03:49:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	BUY	11	14¢	$2	0x675e87…
07-26 03:44:37	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x1faf1c…
07-26 03:29:01	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xa03d9c…
07-26 01:38:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x8f64f3…
07-26 00:39:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x4b4692…
07-25 20:36:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	No	SELL	14	8¢	$1	0xc28e5c…
07-25 20:36:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	No	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x8579ab…
07-25 18:58:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	No	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x81b7fc…
07-25 14:55:31	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	No	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x38c4c9…
07-25 14:53:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	No	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xf46cb6…
07-25 06:03:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x553b35…
07-25 05:26:30	iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674	Yes	SELL	6,559	39¢	$2,559	0xd65707…
07-24 22:32:34	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	No	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xce94d8…
07-23 17:18:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	214	14¢	$30	0x70827c…
07-23 17:16:04	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	SELL	1	40¢	$0	0x31b25d…
07-23 17:16:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0x332f17…
07-23 17:15:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x4e1f5e…
07-23 17:15:57	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	11¢	$1	0xc70294…
07-23 17:15:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x0f6700…
07-23 17:15:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x65c55d…
07-23 17:15:46	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5	69¢	$4	0x175e51…
07-23 17:15:45	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x11490b…
07-23 17:15:39	andrew tate extradited to uk by sep 30 20260719022813213	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x5c1639…
07-23 17:15:34	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xad3197…
07-23 17:15:25	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x266c8d…
07-23 17:15:24	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	SELL	5	86¢	$5	0x0f8182…
07-23 01:17:36	will the next claude opus model be released by august 31 2026 20260701204710233 223 869 558 982	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xb87f1d…