Bogus-Recess — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$265

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.6%

Resolved

3,309

Trades

7,104

lifetime

Volume

$24.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-23

last 09-05 10:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 96 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 60% -$268

Other

16% 54% -$47

Sports

2% 50% +$51

Politics

0% 50% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 791 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 13:10 UTC	2	$402	10,341	0	+10,341	Up	-$402	03-24 13:14
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 0 South Africa?	2	$380	198	198	+0	No	+$16	06-11 19:40
fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 total 4pt5	2	$318	176	176	+0	Under	+$33	06-21 02:03
fifwc che can 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	1	$309	377	0	+377	Canada	+$68	06-24 13:07
fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 spread away 2pt5	1	$271	334	0	+334	Ecuador	+$64	06-25 03:14
fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 spread home 3pt5	1	$266	332	0	+332	Ghana	+$66	06-23 18:20
fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 4pt5	1	$255	331	0	+331	Over	-$255	06-26 13:41
fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 spread home 2pt5	1	$201	231	0	+231	Croatia	+$30	06-17 20:03
fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 total 4pt5	2	$184	101	101	+0	Under	+$17	06-13 21:15
fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 total 3pt5	1	$181	248	0	+248	Under	+$67	06-22 14:26
mlb nyy cle 2026 06 09 spread away 3pt5	2	$179	116	116	+0	Cleveland Guardians	-$2	06-09 15:37
fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 5pt5	1	$170	203	0	+203	Under	+$32	06-21 14:48
Spread: Uruguay (-2.5)	1	$150	181	0	+181	Saudi Arabia	+$31	06-15 21:59
fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 spread home 2pt5	1	$147	181	0	+181	Senegal	+$34	06-16 18:45
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 spread away 13pt5	1	$134	156	0	+156	Knicks	+$22	06-10 15:19
mlb nyy cle 2026 06 09 spread home 3pt5	1	$102	117	0	+117	New York Yankees	+$15	06-09 15:37
fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 total 3pt5	1	$102	138	0	+138	Over	-$102	06-21 02:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 18:25 UTC	1	$99	112	0	+112	Down	+$14	03-23 18:28
fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 spread home 1pt5	1	$95	128	0	+128	South Africa	+$33	06-18 14:43
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	1	$90	130	0	+130	No	-$90	06-21 01:07
fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 total 3pt5	1	$80	98	0	+98	Over	-$80	06-12 22:10
mlb nym sd 2026 06 07 total 4pt5	1	$80	96	0	+96	Over	+$16	06-07 16:39
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 8?	5	$69	250	0	+250	No	-$69	07-07 15:58
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 18:15 UTC	1	$69	88	0	+88	Down	-$69	03-23 18:18
fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 btts	1	$68	120	0	+120	No	+$52	06-21 02:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 13:00 UTC	1	$65	220	0	+220	Up	-$65	03-24 13:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 18:10 UTC	1	$59	82	0	+82	Down	-$59	03-23 18:13
fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 total 3pt5	1	$58	76	0	+76	Under	+$17	06-13 21:18
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)	1	$57	236	0	+236	Everton FC	-$57	09-05 10:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	15	$55	87	0	+87	Down	+$32	05-27 15:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-05 10:50:46	Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)	Manchester United FC	BUY	236	24¢	$57	0xfa5b49…
09-05 10:43:15	Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0x9b85d1…
09-05 10:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x358d64…
09-05 10:35:43	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0xec3f77…
09-05 10:35:42	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x77f837…
09-05 10:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x96ef6b…
09-05 10:35:25	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xa55d55…
09-05 10:31:39	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe20a20…
09-05 10:31:06	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x0db148…
09-05 10:27:18	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x7143e9…
09-05 10:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xfc42bd…
09-05 10:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$2	0xb31d77…
09-05 10:25:34	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x7d99c9…
09-05 10:21:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x18912f…
09-05 10:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xc52036…
09-05 10:20:19	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x9e4cd6…
09-05 10:20:18	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xe86623…
09-05 10:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0xc3be65…
09-05 10:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x58de56…
09-05 10:04:46	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x0ff085…
09-05 09:57:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x6fc127…
09-05 09:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x254775…
09-05 09:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x1fcd96…
09-05 09:53:36	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x10493a…
09-05 09:53:31	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xc08525…
09-05 09:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x96b7e6…
09-05 09:48:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-05 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xff1e24…
09-05 09:46:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-05 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xc62f24…
09-05 09:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xd47b38…
09-05 09:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x39e1b0…
09-05 09:41:12	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	0	69¢	$0	0xd74d08…
09-05 09:41:12	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x577121…
09-05 09:36:52	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xdd368e…
09-05 09:36:42	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xafd103…
09-05 09:34:03	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x3e26b0…
09-05 09:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xdb440d…
09-05 09:21:12	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xb23a25…
09-05 09:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x240432…
09-05 09:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x90331e…
09-05 09:09:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x574754…
09-05 08:44:21	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x849956…
09-05 08:44:19	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xdd2222…
09-05 08:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xbe6700…
09-05 08:42:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x91243f…
09-05 08:37:18	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x142de1…
09-05 08:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xc1e28d…
09-05 08:37:06	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x9e0e11…
09-05 08:33:18	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x14156c…
09-05 08:33:13	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xc8007b…
09-05 08:33:13	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0x2747ad…
09-05 08:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x65f8bd…
09-05 08:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x31c612…
09-05 08:26:21	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x4da5b8…
09-05 08:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xd4d1b2…
09-05 08:19:58	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xd3803c…
09-05 08:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x9fa4b7…
09-05 08:19:37	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x460793…
09-05 08:12:07	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xcdc23b…
09-05 08:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x765011…
09-05 08:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0x3cbac9…
09-05 08:11:42	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x2ce924…
09-05 08:07:51	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x7d7616…
09-05 08:06:37	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x85ed38…
09-05 08:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x116b70…
09-05 08:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	66¢	$2	0xcee012…
09-05 08:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	66¢	$1	0x7f6f41…
09-05 08:00:21	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	0	16¢	$0	0xc706f1…
09-05 08:00:19	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	0	16¢	$0	0x31db8f…
09-05 08:00:19	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x2a4584…
09-05 08:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xa5f30d…
09-05 08:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x583127…
09-05 08:00:07	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xe78dfe…
09-05 07:58:16	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x92e7e2…
09-05 07:57:24	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xc46d05…
09-05 07:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x20a821…
09-05 07:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x1b595c…
09-05 07:50:21	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x9081e6…
09-05 07:49:42	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x6fb25b…
09-05 07:46:00	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xcbffa9…
09-05 07:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xc0c0c2…
09-05 07:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x1a9189…
09-05 07:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xfd5af4…
09-05 07:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x8e23c1…
09-05 07:43:04	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xd53235…
09-05 07:43:04	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	18¢	$0	0x2b7d48…
09-05 07:43:01	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xbee248…
09-05 07:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x484319…
09-05 07:34:58	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xfb8259…
09-05 07:34:54	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x69a5dd…
09-05 07:34:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x32c4f2…
09-05 07:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xd9384f…
09-05 07:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x70a3b1…
09-05 07:33:52	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x83f7a9…
09-05 07:31:04	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x0a7754…
09-05 07:23:07	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x3ff5d5…
09-05 07:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x465170…
09-05 07:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x7366b2…
09-05 07:13:09	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x0f17af…
09-05 07:13:06	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xc3377d…
09-05 07:10:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x6e5a11…