Bogus-Recess — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.8%

Resolved

Trades

4,006

lifetime

Volume

$16.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-23

last 07-09 20:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 64% $-8

Other

17% — —

Sports

3% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 734 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1774357800	2	$402	10,341	0	+10,341	open	—	03-24 13:14
fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 total 4pt5	2	$318	176	176	+0	open	—	06-21 02:03
fifwc che can 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	1	$309	377	0	+377	open	—	06-24 13:07
fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 spread away 2pt5	1	$271	334	0	+334	open	—	06-25 03:14
fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 spread home 3pt5	1	$266	332	0	+332	open	—	06-23 18:20
fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 4pt5	1	$255	331	0	+331	open	—	06-26 13:41
fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 spread home 2pt5	1	$201	231	0	+231	open	—	06-17 20:03
fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 total 4pt5	2	$184	101	101	+0	open	—	06-13 21:15
fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 total 3pt5	1	$181	248	0	+248	open	—	06-22 14:26
fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 5pt5	1	$170	203	0	+203	open	—	06-21 14:48
fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 spread home 2pt5	1	$147	181	0	+181	open	—	06-16 18:45
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 spread away 13pt5	1	$134	156	0	+156	open	—	06-10 15:19
mlb nyy cle 2026 06 09 spread home 3pt5	1	$102	117	0	+117	open	—	06-09 15:37
fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 total 3pt5	1	$102	138	0	+138	open	—	06-21 02:10
btc updown 5m 1774290300	1	$99	112	0	+112	open	—	03-23 18:28
fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 spread home 1pt5	1	$95	128	0	+128	open	—	06-18 14:43
mlb nyy cle 2026 06 09 spread away 3pt5	1	$88	0	116	-116	open	—	06-09 15:37
fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 total 3pt5	1	$80	98	0	+98	open	—	06-12 22:10
mlb nym sd 2026 06 07 total 4pt5	1	$80	96	0	+96	open	—	06-07 16:39
eth updown 5m 1774289700	1	$69	88	0	+88	open	—	03-23 18:18
fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 btts	1	$68	120	0	+120	open	—	06-21 02:04
btc updown 5m 1774357200	1	$65	220	0	+220	open	—	03-24 13:04
btc updown 5m 1774289400	1	$59	82	0	+82	open	—	03-23 18:13
fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 total 3pt5	1	$58	76	0	+76	open	—	06-13 21:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	15	$55	87	0	+87	open	—	05-27 15:52
btc updown 15m 1775705400	3	$54	92	87	+5	open	—	04-09 03:38
btc updown 5m 1774351500	1	$48	200	0	+200	open	—	03-24 11:29
btc updown 5m 1774288500	1	$48	72	0	+72	open	—	03-23 17:59
btc updown 5m 1774265700	1	$47	4,656	0	+4,656	open	—	03-23 11:39
eth updown 5m 1774272600	1	$45	166	0	+166	open	—	03-23 13:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-09 20:48:14	will citigroup c q2 provision for credit losses be above 2pt5b	No	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x3628fb…
07-09 17:33:50	will morgan stanley ms q2 investment banking revenue be above 2pt0b	No	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x96cc12…
07-09 17:31:44	will citigroup c q2 provision for credit losses be above 2pt5b	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xb7b503…
07-09 16:15:08	will citigroup c q2 provision for credit losses be above 2pt3b	No	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0xa5d332…
07-09 12:53:34	will morgan stanley ms q2 investment banking revenue be above 2pt0b	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x88bced…
07-09 07:13:41	will citigroup c q2 provision for credit losses be above 2pt3b	No	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xc12c5f…
07-09 05:49:01	will taiwan semiconductor tsm q2 revenue usd be above 39b 20260618163307484	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x15fdcb…
07-09 05:42:56	will prologis pld q2 core ffo per diluted share be above 1pt60 20260618172009451	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x4ceaa4…
07-07 13:29:41	btc updown 15m 1783431000	Down	SELL	15	44¢	$7	0x385bf8…
07-07 13:27:22	btc updown 15m 1783431000	Down	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x936b1f…
07-07 12:11:31	btc updown 5m 1783427400	Down	BUY	1	48¢	$1	0xeccc9c…
07-07 12:11:31	btc updown 5m 1783427400	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x156b89…
07-07 10:59:40	btc updown 15m 1783422000	Down	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x413d60…
07-07 10:57:02	btc updown 15m 1783422000	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x173868…
07-07 09:17:26	btc updown 5m 1783416000	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xe5b11d…
07-07 09:16:26	btc updown 5m 1783416000	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x579ea5…
07-07 09:14:40	btc updown 15m 1783415700	Up	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x813494…
07-07 09:12:04	btc updown 15m 1783415700	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x8fe85e…
07-07 08:02:50	btc updown 5m 1783411500	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xa8f712…
07-07 08:01:17	btc updown 5m 1783411500	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa1e24f…
07-07 07:43:17	btc updown 15m 1783410300	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x6f7ee0…
07-07 07:42:55	btc updown 15m 1783410300	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x6ad399…
07-07 07:42:55	btc updown 15m 1783410300	Down	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x52cfc6…
07-07 07:39:58	btc updown 15m 1783410300	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x31f7a8…
07-07 06:09:38	btc updown 5m 1783404600	Up	SELL	4	41¢	$2	0xf6d934…
07-07 06:07:32	btc updown 5m 1783404600	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xa3b3e7…
07-07 05:59:40	btc updown 15m 1783404000	Up	SELL	1	48¢	$0	0x109391…
07-07 05:59:38	btc updown 15m 1783404000	Up	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0x0bd356…
07-07 05:55:01	btc updown 15m 1783404000	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x72e32c…
07-07 04:41:02	btc updown 5m 1783399500	Down	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x8e47b8…
07-07 04:40:50	btc updown 5m 1783399500	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x0b24a7…
07-07 04:14:40	btc updown 15m 1783397700	Down	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0xe61cfe…
07-07 04:00:38	btc updown 15m 1783397700	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x55d0fd…
07-07 03:59:38	btc updown 15m 1783396800	Down	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0x69ca46…
07-07 03:45:46	btc updown 15m 1783396800	Down	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0xbec13a…
07-07 03:43:58	btc updown 15m 1783395900	Down	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x213a27…
07-07 03:40:56	btc updown 15m 1783395900	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x175073…
07-07 03:29:41	btc updown 15m 1783395000	Down	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x70797f…
07-07 03:15:50	btc updown 15m 1783395000	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x55adca…
07-07 02:29:40	btc updown 15m 1783391400	Down	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xba7f57…
07-07 02:15:26	btc updown 15m 1783391400	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x7e6f52…
07-07 02:14:40	btc updown 15m 1783390500	Down	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x5a7c25…
07-07 02:10:41	btc updown 15m 1783390500	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xae57a2…
07-07 01:03:16	btc updown 5m 1783386300	Down	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xc124e5…
07-07 01:03:01	btc updown 5m 1783386300	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x6a4815…
07-07 00:41:34	btc updown 15m 1783385100	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x993caa…
07-07 00:38:46	btc updown 15m 1783385100	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x293ea8…
07-07 00:38:44	btc updown 15m 1783385100	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5cd14b…
07-06 23:59:40	btc updown 15m 1783382400	Down	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xa94854…
07-06 23:56:31	btc updown 15m 1783382400	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xc4ad66…
07-06 23:29:44	btc updown 15m 1783380600	Down	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xc846a5…
07-06 23:27:38	btc updown 15m 1783380600	Up	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x06466e…
07-06 23:27:34	btc updown 15m 1783380600	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x9c870d…
07-06 23:27:29	btc updown 15m 1783380600	Down	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0x4a9074…
07-06 23:27:26	btc updown 15m 1783380600	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8afad8…
07-06 23:27:25	btc updown 15m 1783380600	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xfacb1a…
07-06 23:27:25	btc updown 15m 1783380600	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa11e1b…
07-06 23:25:02	btc updown 15m 1783380600	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x72f6e0…
07-06 23:23:29	btc updown 15m 1783380600	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd60cb8…
07-06 22:46:35	btc updown 15m 1783378800	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x965f2c…
07-06 22:45:37	btc updown 15m 1783378800	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xbd4c64…
07-06 21:29:40	btc updown 5m 1783373400	Up	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x22da76…
07-06 21:28:02	btc updown 5m 1783373400	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x925733…
07-06 20:46:25	btc updown 15m 1783371600	Down	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x4d02de…
07-06 20:45:20	btc updown 15m 1783371600	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x2e2b74…
07-06 20:28:11	btc updown 5m 1783369800	Up	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x00e17a…
07-06 20:27:25	btc updown 5m 1783369800	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x6b2122…
07-06 20:14:41	btc updown 15m 1783368900	Down	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x29ef67…
07-06 20:12:31	btc updown 15m 1783368900	Up	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x939cb8…
07-06 20:04:16	btc updown 15m 1783368900	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x25224c…
07-06 20:04:04	btc updown 15m 1783368900	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xe80837…
07-06 20:04:02	btc updown 15m 1783368900	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xd2b4e9…
07-06 18:55:35	btc updown 15m 1783364400	Up	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x658bef…
07-06 18:45:34	btc updown 15m 1783364400	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x4ca904…
07-06 13:29:38	btc updown 5m 1783344600	Down	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x48c95f…
07-06 13:27:31	btc updown 5m 1783344600	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x02feb8…
07-06 09:59:38	btc updown 15m 1783332000	Down	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0xe1f6bc…
07-06 09:52:20	btc updown 15m 1783332000	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x9dc852…
07-06 08:39:38	btc updown 5m 1783327200	Down	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x3bf2c9…
07-06 08:37:52	btc updown 5m 1783327200	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xc47170…
07-06 08:37:52	btc updown 5m 1783327200	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4c5fd6…
07-06 08:28:10	btc updown 15m 1783326600	Up	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xe7435e…
07-06 08:27:59	btc updown 15m 1783326600	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x68eca3…
07-06 06:57:32	btc updown 15m 1783321200	Up	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x503f5c…
07-06 06:55:14	btc updown 15m 1783321200	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xd98235…
07-06 06:55:11	btc updown 15m 1783321200	Down	BUY	1	48¢	$1	0x71b796…
07-06 06:55:10	btc updown 15m 1783321200	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x7b4cef…
07-06 03:28:28	btc updown 15m 1783308600	Down	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x098f3a…
07-06 03:28:01	btc updown 15m 1783308600	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x0cc378…
07-06 01:29:28	btc updown 15m 1783301400	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x33df52…
07-06 01:20:10	btc updown 15m 1783301400	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc9bde3…
07-06 00:59:13	btc updown 5m 1783299600	Up	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xb7ee3d…
07-06 00:57:46	btc updown 5m 1783299600	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x53dfad…
07-05 23:39:38	btc updown 5m 1783294800	Down	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x0061ec…
07-05 23:35:23	btc updown 5m 1783294800	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x24d5bd…
07-05 22:09:38	btc updown 5m 1783289400	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x522b79…
07-05 22:02:22	btc updown 5m 1783289400	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xed980e…
07-05 21:59:40	btc updown 15m 1783288800	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xbf2562…
07-05 21:58:34	btc updown 15m 1783288800	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x398036…
07-05 21:57:55	btc updown 15m 1783288800	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xa90a84…