Superficial-Downturn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$249

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.6%

Resolved

717

Trades

1,125

lifetime

Volume

$12.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-26 20:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 108 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 51% -$268

Other

2% 25% -$8

Politics

1% 33% +$28

Sports

0% 67% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down on march 20 2026	5	$159	137	115	+22	Up	+$28	03-20 15:24
bitcoin up or down on april 1 2026	2	$157	97	95	+1	Up	-$1	03-31 23:01
bitcoin up or down on january 9	3	$146	108	108	+0	Up	+$66	01-09 16:43
bitcoin up or down on january 13	8	$146	109	122	-13	Up	+$63	01-13 15:50
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 24?	12	$132	102	102	+0	Up	+$40	09-24 15:40
ethereum up or down april 11 2026 3pm et	1	$118	118	0	+118	Up	+$0	04-11 19:57
ethereum up or down april 17 2026 12am et	2	$112	74	72	+2	Up	+$34	04-17 05:06
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	7	$109	331	331	+0	No	+$37	03-26 03:43
Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	2	$106	56	56	+0	Up	+$6	10-15 15:41
bitcoin up or down on september 17 2026	6	$105	69	69	+0	Up	+$27	09-17 15:07
bitcoin up or down on february 7	3	$103	14	100	-86	Down	-$3	02-07 17:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2PM ET	4	$95	74	74	+0	Up	+$51	09-23 19:02
bitcoin up or down on october 1 2026	5	$92	85	85	+0	Up	+$30	10-01 16:00
ethereum up or down april 15 2026 10am et	2	$87	62	59	+2	Up	+$33	04-15 15:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8AM ET	3	$86	61	61	+0	Up	+$26	10-19 12:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10AM ET	5	$86	54	54	+0	Up	+$22	10-22 15:06
bitcoin up or down february 20 12am et	1	$84	0	84	-84	Up	$0	02-20 06:32
Ethereum Up or Down on October 16?	3	$83	87	37	+49	Down	-$13	10-16 14:18
bitcoin up or down february 8 10pm et	1	$82	82	0	+82	Up	+$0	02-09 03:56
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?	4	$80	220	220	+0	open	—	10-22 13:42
bitcoin up or down april 1 2026 10am et	1	$79	79	0	+79	Up	+$0	04-01 14:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 08:45 UTC	1	$79	81	0	+81	Up	+$2	04-18 08:49
will ethereum reach 2400 in march 2026	11	$77	197	197	+0	No	-$45	03-27 04:01
bitcoin up or down on march 30 2026	5	$77	84	46	+38	Up	+$47	03-30 11:27
bitcoin up or down february 22 10pm et	2	$77	38	38	+0	Up	+$0	02-23 04:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4PM ET	5	$76	76	38	+38	Up	+$32	10-19 20:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	2	$76	47	47	+0	Up	+$16	10-15 15:42
ethereum up or down on march 31 2026	9	$76	116	113	+3	Down	+$10	03-31 15:31
ethereum up or down on april 13 2026	5	$74	65	39	+26	Up	+$28	04-13 14:45
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	6	$73	667	667	+0	open	—	10-24 02:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 20:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x0b7846…
10-26 20:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3PM ET	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x22a34d…
10-26 19:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x1c9e3c…
10-26 05:18:59	Ethereum Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xf51f84…
10-26 05:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	47	34¢	$16	0x6f91a0…
10-25 06:06:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x0d5ef0…
10-25 06:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	26	42¢	$11	0xb383c2…
10-25 05:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	25	48¢	$12	0xd8de28…
10-25 00:30:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0x04f261…
10-25 00:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	14	43¢	$6	0x9cdd32…
10-24 17:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x1e6435…
10-24 17:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xf913bd…
10-24 17:10:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x3b43e0…
10-24 17:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x8a9bbf…
10-24 17:08:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x1bfae0…
10-24 17:07:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xd0c87c…
10-24 17:06:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0x68681b…
10-24 16:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x52bcf2…
10-24 16:03:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	22	41¢	$9	0xaf89bd…
10-24 16:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	17	41¢	$7	0xe851ae…
10-24 15:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 24?	Up	SELL	178	1¢	$2	0x907a7b…
10-24 13:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x81f809…
10-24 13:03:35	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 24?	Up	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x46cf2c…
10-24 12:05:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x06198d…
10-24 12:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xe06136…
10-24 11:14:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	24	46¢	$11	0x4139b1…
10-24 10:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	29	45¢	$13	0xbd396a…
10-24 07:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 24?	Up	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xc3cfca…
10-24 02:18:12	Ethereum Up or Down on October 24?	Up	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x05beff…
10-24 02:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x3fc562…
10-24 02:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xc27783…
10-24 02:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xc4a1ed…
10-24 02:03:53	Ethereum Up or Down on October 24?	Up	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x793e6a…
10-24 02:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 24?	Up	BUY	73	15¢	$11	0x5b8789…
10-24 02:03:02	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	667	5¢	$33	0x784c5c…
10-23 19:06:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	12	37¢	$4	0x2dd46a…
10-23 19:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	23	49¢	$11	0x6fbe91…
10-23 19:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 24?	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xd5e531…
10-23 18:08:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x3d77b2…
10-23 18:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	27	33¢	$9	0xdaf2ed…
10-23 18:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 24?	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x72f5a9…
10-23 17:58:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0xa844fb…
10-23 17:54:57	Ethereum Up or Down on October 24?	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xbeda25…
10-23 17:27:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x7d3367…
10-23 17:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xeef0a0…
10-23 17:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x80f404…
10-23 17:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 24?	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xcd70fb…
10-23 17:14:45	Ethereum Up or Down on October 24?	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xde3d35…
10-23 17:09:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	19	59¢	$11	0xf5fad2…
10-23 16:46:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x01e8ab…
10-23 16:45:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x7deb32…
10-23 16:45:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x1e2ab0…
10-23 16:45:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0xc964a8…
10-23 16:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	40	60¢	$24	0x2f0908…
10-23 16:18:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xba234d…
10-23 16:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	21	39¢	$8	0x7f4fd1…
10-23 16:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xc021bd…
10-23 16:11:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	17	48¢	$8	0x222f8a…
10-23 16:10:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	28	29¢	$8	0xabef55…
10-23 15:56:53	Ethereum Up or Down on October 23?	Up	SELL	13	94¢	$13	0x228c98…
10-23 15:53:47	Ethereum Up or Down on October 23?	Up	SELL	13	89¢	$12	0x63e687…
10-23 15:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x4a5857…
10-23 15:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0x30f3d2…
10-23 15:03:51	Ethereum Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xcf351e…
10-23 15:02:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x68b4ff…
10-23 14:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	64	22¢	$14	0x31efce…
10-23 14:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	24	34¢	$8	0x863cc8…
10-23 14:22:17	Ethereum Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	27	41¢	$11	0xa059d1…
10-23 14:21:29	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	28	29¢	$8	0x0e6b9f…
10-23 14:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	62	13¢	$8	0xf13566…
10-23 14:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	53	15¢	$8	0x5ef61a…
10-23 13:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xf1e7a2…
10-23 13:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0x288e15…
10-23 13:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	24	33¢	$8	0x17b4e5…
10-23 12:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	21	39¢	$8	0xc7542a…
10-23 12:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x3e4bba…
10-23 12:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0x0a2d4d…
10-23 11:49:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	72¢	$8	0xe4da6f…
10-23 11:48:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0xf7d205…
10-23 11:47:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0xd033c6…
10-23 09:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	24	84¢	$20	0xe6c46f…
10-23 09:57:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	31	86¢	$26	0x88443c…
10-23 09:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	24	33¢	$8	0xd315a4…
10-23 09:55:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	31	26¢	$8	0xee4cfd…
10-23 07:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x7b7ba6…
10-23 07:47:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x9da880…
10-23 07:47:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x16aaaa…
10-23 07:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	44¢	$8	0xf77f80…
10-23 06:02:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	17	40¢	$7	0xbed9a9…
10-23 06:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	23	35¢	$8	0xbdb437…
10-23 06:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	38	21¢	$8	0xbfbca7…
10-22 16:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	72¢	$8	0xbe3651…
10-22 16:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0xf50290…
10-22 16:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0x791de2…
10-22 16:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0xe94468…
10-22 15:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x65ab25…
10-22 15:09:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	48	17¢	$8	0x9bdf53…
10-22 15:06:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	31	26¢	$8	0x10c4de…
10-22 15:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0xbc6018…
10-22 15:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	22	36¢	$8	0x966f75…