Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12AM ET | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$131,806

Trades

7,131

Unique wallets

569

Liquidity

$0

End date

2026-02-20

First seen

2026-02-20

last 02-20 07:22

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

Smart-Compassion +29,790 (anon) +12,538 Fluid-Skating +11,836 (anon) +7,268 (anon) +4,206 (anon) +3,751 (anon) +3,349 (anon) +2,338

NO holders

Occasional-Tilt +20,470 (anon) +11,700 (anon) +5,036 (anon) +5,000 (anon) +4,783 (anon) +4,532 (anon) +4,409 (anon) +3,200

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: +1.3¢ (top1%: 88% YES on $89.5K vs crowd: 87% YES on $118.1K)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	50	$71.2K	$10.9K	+$60.2K
🐬 Dolphin	155	$25.5K	$2.0K	+$23.4K
🐟 Fish	204	$4.8K	$2.4K	+$2.4K
🦐 Shrimp	160	$772	$569	+$203

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	54	$78.7K	$10.8K	+$67.8K
🏆 Top 5%	80	$7.7K	$1.1K	+$6.7K
✅ Top 10%	34	$1.3K	$125	+$1.2K
Median	41	$643	$276	+$366
Below median	179	$2.8K	$839	+$2.0K
⚠️ Bottom 10%	79	$3.8K	$376	+$3.4K
🔻 Bottom 5%	72	$4.0K	$1.9K	+$2.1K
💀 Bottom 1%	30	$3.3K	$450	+$2.8K

Wallet leaderboard (60) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
Smart-Compassion 0xd189…06f4	Up	+29,790	$29,746	$29,746	42	02-20 07:22
Occasional-Tilt 0xa97e…24ff	Down	+20,470	$28	$28	50	02-20 05:58
(anonymous) 0xd84c…07b9	Up	+12,538	$12,504	$12,504	8	02-20 05:43
Fluid-Skating 0x4059…6435	Up	+11,836	$11,824	$11,824	1	02-20 05:49
(anonymous) 0x12fd…be65	Down	+11,700	$119	$119	78	02-20 05:50
(anonymous) 0x1979…7c9d	Up	+7,268	$4,770	$4,770	69	02-20 05:32
(anonymous) 0x63ce…ba9a	Down	+5,036	$1,192	$1,192	243	02-20 05:31
(anonymous) 0xe3dc…1d5b	Down	+5,000	$5	$5	1	02-20 06:59
(anonymous) 0x1979…7c9d	Down	+4,783	$2,050	$2,050	44	02-20 05:32
(anonymous) 0xd0d6…93aa	Down	+4,532	$1,412	$1,412	327	02-20 05:31
(anonymous) 0x4b18…725f	Down	+4,409	$1,481	$1,481	145	02-20 05:36
(anonymous) 0x4b18…725f	Up	+4,206	$2,695	$2,695	156	02-20 05:55
(anonymous) 0xd0d6…93aa	Up	+3,751	$2,325	$2,325	117	02-20 05:32
(anonymous) 0x63ce…ba9a	Up	+3,349	$2,122	$2,122	57	02-20 05:32
(anonymous) 0x43ca…bfce	Down	+3,200	$9	$9	3	02-20 06:03
(anonymous) 0x732f…f081	Up	+2,338	$1,399	$1,399	62	02-20 05:33
(anonymous) 0x732f…f081	Down	+2,229	$817	$817	82	02-20 05:36
(anonymous) 0x2e0c…54a7	Down	+2,074	$683	$683	158	02-20 05:33
(anonymous) 0x2e0c…54a7	Up	+1,900	$1,220	$1,220	122	02-20 05:55
(anonymous) 0xcb69…3ca8	Down	+1,635	$5	$5	1	02-20 05:55
(anonymous) 0x4fb4…3625	Up	+1,614	$1,612	$1,612	4	02-20 05:55
Smart-Compassion 0xd189…06f4	Down	+1,600	$2	$2	1	02-20 05:43
(anonymous) 0xe228…7f51	Down	+1,588	$5	$5	1	02-20 05:47
Remarkable-Consulate 0x50bc…fdc6	Down	+1,572	$14	$30	6	02-20 05:46
Sorrowful-Software 0x93b1…746e	Up	+1,496	$1,298	$1,298	689	02-20 05:31
(anonymous) 0x4543…72d1	Down	+1,449	$498	$498	138	02-20 05:33
(anonymous) 0x4543…72d1	Up	+1,443	$967	$967	126	02-20 05:32
Monumental-Congressperson 0x27d8…d41f	Up	+1,200	$1,198	$1,198	1	02-20 05:47
(anonymous) 0x5f6a…8ec7	Down	+1,077	$3	$3	1	02-20 05:44
Puny-Bumper 0xad78…678c	Down	+1,071	$16	$16	12	02-20 05:49
(anonymous) 0x7b4c…0e86	Down	+1,005	$12	$12	21	02-20 05:32
(anonymous) 0x6833…56c4	Down	+1,000	$3	$3	4	02-20 05:51
(anonymous) 0xa839…4edb	Down	+1,000	$1	$1	1	02-20 05:50
(anonymous) 0x4dc8…2776	Down	+1,000	$1	$1	1	02-20 05:52
Damp-Founding 0xea22…6d49	Down	+1,000	$1	$1	1	02-20 05:50
Disloyal-Spree 0xaf0e…3197	Up	+1,000	$998	$998	9	02-20 05:55
(anonymous) 0x434b…adb4	Down	+950	$500	$500	1	02-20 05:17
Memorable-Produce 0xd938…0481	Up	+941	$689	$689	6	02-20 05:24
(anonymous) 0xdc66…0533	Down	+936	$516	$795	135	02-20 05:17
(anonymous) 0x064e…2ab8	Up	+830	$562	$562	59	02-20 05:32
(anonymous) 0x064e…2ab8	Down	+829	$281	$281	81	02-20 05:32
(anonymous) 0x4132…1a31	Down	+762	$256	$256	8	02-20 05:23
(anonymous) 0xf452…2292	Up	+722	$721	$1,279	2	02-20 05:48
(anonymous) 0x88f4…d4db	Down	+705	$361	$361	11	02-20 04:59
(anonymous) 0x2dbb…3c7a	Down	+686	$219	$219	19	02-20 05:30
(anonymous) 0xdc66…0533	Up	+614	$286	$859	120	02-20 05:22
Partial-Hockey 0x85c0…d9cf	Down	+614	$59	$59	5	02-20 05:34
(anonymous) 0x5bc3…7a59	Down	+611	$111	$111	16	02-20 05:31
(anonymous) 0x4b52…29da	Up	+584	$569	$569	24	02-20 05:41
(anonymous) 0x88f4…d4db	Up	+560	$269	$269	8	02-20 04:58
(anonymous) 0x2dbb…3c7a	Up	+545	$369	$369	13	02-20 05:24
(anonymous) 0x113d…3ce8	Up	+519	$393	$393	23	02-20 05:32
(anonymous) 0xcf7e…0fbf	Up	+499	$498	$498	1	02-20 05:45
(anonymous) 0xaa1d…c2b8	Up	+490	$446	$446	1	02-20 05:30
(anonymous) 0x76fc…8de0	Up	+490	$441	$441	3	02-20 05:30
(anonymous) 0x7164…9db6	Up	+474	$302	$302	31	02-20 05:30
(anonymous) 0x8a44…57c5	Up	+455	$387	$387	1	02-20 05:26
(anonymous) 0xd499…6335	Up	+434	$384	$384	9	02-20 05:30
(anonymous) 0x6031…f96d	Up	+407	$272	$272	47	02-20 05:34
(anonymous) 0x5194…e3ce	Up	+401	$397	$397	6	02-20 05:32