That-Sleep — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$662

Unrealized P&L

-$48

Hit rate

86.2%

Resolved

186

Trades

577

lifetime

Volume

$49.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$86

Open exposure

$12

1 position

First seen

2026-01-15

last 10-01 17:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 96 days

Categories

Politics

38% 70% -$372

Other

37% 64% -$46

Crypto

25% 84% -$234

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$3

Sports

0% 0% -$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?	Yes		+500	$60	2¢	$12	-$48	10-01 17:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump visit china by march 31	54	$6.4K	3,250	3,250	+0	No	+$13	03-26 04:24
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	12	$2.6K	1,600	1,100	+501	No	+$2	03-31 06:56
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	16	$2.2K	1,300	1,300	+0	No	+$8	04-19 10:27
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	21	$2.0K	1,616	1,415	+201	Yes	+$84	03-08 17:01
Iran leadership change by March 13?	9	$1.6K	800	800	+0	No	+$5	03-14 07:19
bitcoin above 90k on january 30	3	$1.2K	780	390	+390	No	+$1	01-30 14:07
ethereum above 2200 on february 11	6	$1.1K	538	538	+0	No	+$1	02-11 15:54
will ethereum reach 3600 in march 2026	2	$912	458	458	+0	No	+$0	03-14 10:56
highest temperature in seoul on march 29 2026 17corhigher	5	$882	593	293	+300	No	+$2	03-29 09:40
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	7	$788	400	400	+0	No	+$0	03-30 07:46
will a human or an ai win the aster trading competition	2	$777	389	389	+0	AI	+$0	01-29 14:19
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	18	$730	500	500	+0	Yes	+$16	03-18 13:56
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	6	$649	831	131	+700	Yes	-$392	04-08 01:29
will ethereum reach 3600 in february 2026	3	$643	325	325	+0	No	+$0	02-10 14:35
ethereum above 2200 on february 9	2	$641	321	321	+0	No	+$0	02-09 16:47
Will Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026?	2	$641	324	324	+0	Yes	+$0	02-09 10:34
will bitcoin reach 110k in february 2026	4	$641	323	323	+0	No	+$0	02-09 07:24
will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$602	303	303	+0	No	+$2	03-16 02:18
highest temperature in ankara on april 2 2026 20corhigher	2	$596	300	300	+0	No	+$3	04-02 15:29
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$550	275	275	+0	No	$0	01-26 12:14
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	2	$519	262	262	+0	Yes	+$3	03-03 14:27
will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	23	$511	571	571	+0	No	-$4	03-07 13:40
bitcoin above 78k on february 15	2	$501	251	251	+0	No	+$0	02-15 06:29
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	22	$494	1,479	948	+530	No	-$67	05-18 10:26
will jessie buckley win best actress at the 98th academy awards	10	$480	248	248	+0	Yes	+$0	03-11 17:12
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?	4	$479	396	100	+296	80k	+$5	01-31 17:08
highest temperature in seoul on march 10 2026 7c	2	$443	444	0	+444	Yes	+$0	03-10 09:29
highest temperature in dallas on march 9 2026 84 85f	1	$442	443	0	+443	Yes	+$1	03-10 05:51
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	4	$408	310	310	+0	Yes	+$8	02-18 17:49
highest temperature in wellington on march 14 2026 17c	1	$400	400	0	+400	Yes	+$0	03-14 11:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-01 17:56:53	Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?	Yes	BUY	400	12¢	$48	0x3913c2…
10-01 11:08:06	Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x455590…
09-16 06:59:27	france uk or germany military action against yemen by september 30 2026 20260914	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x66279d…
09-16 06:08:45	will left be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of september 21	No	SELL	30	5¢	$2	0xc7d11b…
09-16 05:51:30	will left be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of september 21	No	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x0eac37…
09-16 05:10:15	france uk or germany military action against yemen by september 30 2026 20260914	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x66040c…
09-16 04:48:27	will left be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of september 21	No	BUY	31	10¢	$3	0x4d75be…
07-15 06:38:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	100	92¢	$92	0xe51f48…
07-11 07:21:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 11?	Yes	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x410aeb…
07-09 17:35:20	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	13	35¢	$5	0xc22bf1…
07-09 06:38:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x521bfb…
07-09 06:33:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x0ed1eb…
07-09 06:30:37	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xd3880f…
07-09 06:29:53	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xb0df26…
07-09 06:29:29	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xda9499…
07-09 06:28:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0x418e72…
07-09 06:27:59	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x7e778c…
07-09 06:08:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	16	14¢	$2	0x28a36e…
07-09 06:06:23	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	34	12¢	$4	0xd421c7…
07-09 06:03:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x9fd1cf…
07-04 16:17:55	Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 2 France?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xf567f8…
07-04 16:16:20	Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 2 France?	Yes	BUY	9	17¢	$1	0xdf7969…
07-04 16:14:22	Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 1 France?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x27c4e9…
07-04 16:13:08	Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 1 France?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x94ac60…
07-04 16:12:40	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x216f6a…
07-04 16:11:35	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 spread away 1pt5	France	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x14cb5b…
07-03 18:07:38	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 4?	Yes	SELL	2	30¢	$0	0xaec8e5…
07-03 18:07:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 4?	Yes	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x1a5ccb…
07-03 18:00:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x4e6c26…
07-03 17:34:05	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	11	29¢	$3	0x355bf0…
07-02 13:02:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x1870d8…
06-29 13:15:23	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf926e0…
06-18 17:59:37	Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 Korea Republic?	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0xf687ac…
06-18 17:58:37	Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 2 Korea Republic?	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0xfe011f…
06-18 17:58:25	Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 3 Korea Republic?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x8ba327…
06-14 14:57:34	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x3eff26…
06-09 15:32:51	Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x982ca3…
05-25 17:08:21	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x4d695b…
05-25 17:02:38	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xea1310…
05-18 10:26:37	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x5d047f…
05-18 10:25:18	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	70	2¢	$1	0x8945e1…
05-18 06:28:42	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	43	93¢	$40	0x7ed72c…
05-18 06:25:16	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0xacc788…
05-17 14:46:41	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xd4e0f1…
05-17 14:17:20	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	324	3¢	$10	0x5942eb…
05-17 10:24:19	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	120	8¢	$10	0xdc8f89…
05-16 14:53:05	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	500	3¢	$17	0x10ac97…
05-16 07:19:44	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	400	3¢	$14	0x120473…
05-16 06:10:09	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	300	2¢	$7	0xc7df49…
05-16 06:09:20	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x17d71f…
05-16 06:08:52	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$11	0xf2fca7…
05-15 23:37:01	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	300	3¢	$10	0x294bcf…
05-15 23:25:29	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	300	4¢	$13	0x20d838…
05-15 20:31:22	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	200	3¢	$6	0x0c5b6e…
05-15 19:18:09	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	500	1¢	$7	0x25a271…
05-15 17:39:26	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x589204…
05-15 17:14:35	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x71790e…
05-15 17:03:09	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x272610…
05-15 11:50:15	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	95	80¢	$76	0xab5e1e…
05-15 11:47:58	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0xf8dc59…
05-15 11:47:55	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x6bf772…
05-15 11:42:01	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	37	83¢	$30	0x5c5dea…
05-15 11:40:37	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	87	83¢	$72	0xcdcf75…
05-15 11:31:05	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	124	81¢	$100	0xfeb511…
05-15 11:04:13	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	80	82¢	$65	0x8927f5…
05-15 11:02:05	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	27	81¢	$22	0x4fb646…
05-15 11:00:57	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	7	82¢	$5	0x47a7a7…
05-15 07:54:59	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	24	93¢	$22	0x8cd2a5…
05-15 07:34:31	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x0a327f…
05-15 07:33:40	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	24	86¢	$21	0x16dad5…
05-15 06:59:04	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	18	21¢	$4	0x7da8e6…
05-15 06:58:47	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	18	15¢	$3	0x98159a…
05-15 06:45:01	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	32	34¢	$11	0xcac32f…
05-15 06:36:28	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	25	15¢	$4	0x9397f6…
05-15 06:36:07	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x535197…
05-15 06:35:37	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x6e1f8d…
05-15 05:21:06	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	51	99¢	$50	0x29bf49…
05-15 05:17:33	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5813ce…
05-15 05:17:29	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	24	99¢	$23	0xeb7581…
05-15 05:17:27	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0xdd012a…
05-15 05:17:24	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0xd9e6ca…
05-15 05:17:20	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x81fb90…
05-15 05:16:35	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xe31084…
05-15 04:33:20	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x300a8b…
05-14 15:25:22	Will Trump say "Dynasty" during Chinese State Banquet?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x132db5…
05-14 14:48:47	Will Trump say "Dynasty" during Chinese State Banquet?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x58fffe…
05-14 13:33:08	Will Trump say "Dynasty" during Chinese State Banquet?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc7194b…
05-14 12:50:01	Will Trump say "Ping-pong" or "Ping Pong" during Chinese State Banquet?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc47b88…
05-14 12:34:16	Will Trump say "World War II" during Chinese State Banquet?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x50ffbc…
05-14 12:31:28	Will Trump say "Confucius" or "Confucian" during Chinese State Banquet?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x28af1e…
05-14 09:59:29	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x0f2964…
05-14 09:04:34	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x8cf14d…
05-13 15:04:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 13?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x52a373…
05-13 05:08:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x5227b8…
05-13 05:05:59	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x9fee8b…
05-12 21:04:32	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on May 12?	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x0552ff…
05-12 09:50:42	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or higher on May 12?	No	SELL	44	99¢	$43	0xb0782b…
05-12 09:48:20	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or higher on May 12?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x136e7d…
05-12 09:17:02	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or higher on May 12?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x64d7dd…
05-12 07:59:24	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on May 12?	Yes	SELL	31	98¢	$31	0xeedbd5…