Realized P&L
+$158
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
62.6%
Resolved
395
Trades
645
lifetime
Volume
$5.28K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$18
14 positions
First seen
2026-02-08
last 10-26 15:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 23 days
Categories
Sports
53% 55% +$613
Other
46% 57% -$451
Politics
1% 56% -$3
Crypto
0% 50% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 193 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +3 $1 100¢ $3 +$2 10-19 14:00
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +3 $2 78¢ $2 +$0 10-20 05:46
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? No +3 $2 55¢ $2 -$1 10-19 22:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October? No +2 $1 100¢ $2 +$0 10-16 15:59
Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 10-19 04:46
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 10-19 13:49
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 10-19 14:34
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 10-18 07:56
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 10-19 11:30
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 $0 10-19 11:33
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1 $1 78¢ $1 $0 10-19 11:30
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +3 $1 32¢ $1 $0 10-17 21:36
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? No +3 $1 30¢ $1 $0 10-19 04:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 56¢ $1 $0 10-19 07:18