Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.77K

Unrealized P&L

-$782

Hit rate

55.7%

Resolved

160

Trades

741

lifetime

Volume

$71.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$97

Open exposure

$313

3 positions

First seen

2026-11-02

last 11-06 10:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 51% +$2,102

Politics

15% 100% +$1,669

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 391 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	+5,446	$994	5¢	$283	-$711	11-04 19:03
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026?	No	+556	$50	4¢	$24	-$26	11-05 08:24
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 5, 2026?	No	+1,219	$50	0¢	$5	-$45	11-05 08:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	10	$5.9K	24,580	19,134	+5,446	open	—	11-04 19:03
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	2	$2.0K	1,875	1,875	+0	No	+$1,669	11-03 02:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	18	$1.5K	4,141	0	+4,141	Up	-$1,532	11-05 19:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	7	$1.4K	871	871	+0	Up	+$324	11-04 05:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	6	$1.3K	810	810	+0	Up	+$309	11-04 05:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	6	$1.3K	795	795	+0	Down	+$287	11-06 04:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	15	$1.1K	2,431	0	+2,431	Down	+$1,309	11-05 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	11	$1.0K	1,527	595	+932	Up	-$406	11-04 06:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	10	$1.0K	1,720	0	+1,720	Up	+$720	11-05 09:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	10	$1000	1,848	0	+1,848	Down	+$848	11-06 05:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	10	$1000	1,923	0	+1,923	Down	+$673	11-05 12:43
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	2	$994	2,632	2,632	+0	open	—	11-06 04:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	15	$990	2,003	0	+2,003	Down	+$1,014	11-04 18:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	11	$962	1,825	0	+1,825	Down	-$902	11-06 06:58
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 15, 2026?	2	$958	1,163	1,163	+0	open	—	11-06 08:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	13	$925	5,258	0	+5,258	Down	-$925	11-05 12:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	9	$836	1,584	0	+1,584	Down	+$748	11-05 18:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	9	$825	2,577	0	+2,577	Down	-$825	11-05 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	10	$810	1,109	0	+1,109	Down	+$299	11-04 17:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	8	$800	1,901	0	+1,901	Down	+$1,101	11-06 06:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	8	$800	1,358	0	+1,358	Down	+$558	11-06 05:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	8	$793	1,342	0	+1,342	Down	+$548	11-05 03:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	4	$777	478	478	+0	Up	+$177	11-04 17:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	8	$755	1,429	1,429	+0	Up	-$449	11-05 19:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	8	$750	1,407	0	+1,407	Down	+$657	11-06 04:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	9	$750	1,423	0	+1,423	Down	-$750	11-04 05:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	8	$741	2,052	2,052	+0	Up	-$659	11-05 18:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	7	$700	1,592	0	+1,592	Down	-$700	11-05 03:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	7	$700	1,255	0	+1,255	Up	+$555	11-05 11:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	7	$700	2,045	0	+2,045	Down	+$1,345	11-05 06:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 10:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	87	56¢	$49	0x469a29…
11-06 10:01:22	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	107	7¢	$8	0xc1303a…
11-06 10:01:09	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	357	12¢	$43	0x87411e…
11-06 08:05:19	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1,163	39¢	$458	0x586741…
11-06 08:05:01	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	SELL	625	8¢	$50	0x933970…
11-06 08:04:55	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	SELL	1,317	21¢	$281	0xed579d…
11-06 07:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	318	31¢	$100	0x384763…
11-06 07:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	323	31¢	$100	0xff9a80…
11-06 07:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	312	32¢	$100	0x770803…
11-06 07:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	312	32¢	$100	0x512282…
11-06 07:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0xe12565…
11-06 07:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	455	22¢	$100	0xd596a8…
11-06 07:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0x88ed24…
11-06 07:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	354	28¢	$100	0x872979…
11-06 07:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	271	37¢	$100	0x7cbf62…
11-06 06:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0x573982…
11-06 06:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	40	30¢	$12	0x3156a1…
11-06 06:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	186	54¢	$100	0x309160…
11-06 06:57:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x8aaaff…
11-06 06:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0xb90838…
11-06 06:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x749e7e…
11-06 06:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	194	52¢	$100	0xeaaa52…
11-06 06:55:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x59cc32…
11-06 06:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xa90790…
11-06 06:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x3ceb64…
11-06 06:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0xf713c8…
11-06 06:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0xe8e1ad…
11-06 06:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0x8160db…
11-06 06:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0xbb1de7…
11-06 06:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x419331…
11-06 06:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x5db1ce…
11-06 06:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x76381b…
11-06 06:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	171	59¢	$100	0xa496c3…
11-06 06:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	456	22¢	$100	0x23ccf1…
11-06 06:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	323	31¢	$100	0xe51fc7…
11-06 06:32:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	307	33¢	$100	0x89868a…
11-06 06:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0xf5a21b…
11-06 06:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0xdc3adf…
11-06 06:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0xb5c0c2…
11-06 06:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0xc1a697…
11-06 06:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0x44efed…
11-06 06:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	297	34¢	$100	0x3a155d…
11-06 06:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	179	28¢	$50	0x4d36a2…
11-06 06:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	147	34¢	$50	0xf6a395…
11-06 06:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0x0de236…
11-06 06:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	315	32¢	$100	0xf69b57…
11-06 06:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0xc9ff42…
11-06 06:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0xef8e76…
11-06 06:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0xe999a2…
11-06 06:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0xe7be50…
11-06 06:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0x0d0e6c…
11-06 06:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	634	16¢	$100	0xe0ffcf…
11-06 06:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	430	23¢	$100	0xbb2a16…
11-06 06:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	370	27¢	$100	0xd5c86f…
11-06 06:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x8f4b08…
11-06 06:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x41a554…
11-06 06:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xffa1c9…
11-06 06:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xe74d78…
11-06 06:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0xcd12f6…
11-06 06:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x529b86…
11-06 06:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0x7d0eb3…
11-06 05:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x2aa3a3…
11-06 05:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0xe931eb…
11-06 05:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x8c64be…
11-06 05:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0xc62ab5…
11-06 05:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0xba0901…
11-06 05:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0xccefc2…
11-06 05:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x3ea9a6…
11-06 05:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	174	58¢	$100	0xbbabf1…
11-06 05:53:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	573	9¢	$50	0xef475e…
11-06 05:53:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	330	30¢	$100	0x488fe8…
11-06 05:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	156	32¢	$50	0x78913a…
11-06 05:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0x28d25b…
11-06 05:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	345	29¢	$100	0x7311f2…
11-06 05:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	370	27¢	$100	0x228954…
11-06 05:35:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	451	22¢	$100	0x63a3b4…
11-06 05:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	312	32¢	$100	0xd8c44b…
11-06 05:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x3d8928…
11-06 05:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	652	8¢	$50	0xe024d7…
11-06 05:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0xd033b2…
11-06 05:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0x77d892…
11-06 05:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	188	53¢	$100	0xfe9622…
11-06 05:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0xf6f6de…
11-06 05:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x9e89ed…
11-06 05:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x4d1a30…
11-06 05:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	385	26¢	$100	0x3043fe…
11-06 05:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x426447…
11-06 05:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	194	52¢	$100	0xd77d27…
11-06 05:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0x71cc88…
11-06 05:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x33f687…
11-06 05:11:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0xb75550…
11-06 05:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0x25f264…
11-06 05:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0xb63795…
11-06 05:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x847bb1…
11-06 05:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x0b8d99…
11-06 05:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x9a923c…
11-06 05:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	238	42¢	$100	0xa2c39f…
11-06 04:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	117	43¢	$50	0x16da9a…
11-06 04:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	203	49¢	$100	0x0d03aa…
11-06 04:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	187	54¢	$100	0xb123de…