Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

46.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$125

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

5 positions

First seen

2026-08-01

last 11-06 22:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Other

73% 55% $0

Politics

24% 35% -$12

Tech

3% 67% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 6, 2026?	No	+3	$1	99¢	$3	+$2	11-05 01:06
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 12, 2026?	No	+2	$1	55¢	$1	$0	11-06 22:53
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 12, 2026?	No	+1	$1	66¢	$1	$0	11-06 12:45
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?	Yes	+1	$1	28¢	$0	-$1	10-27 13:18
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	No	+2	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	11-05 19:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	09-22 02:49
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	08-08 12:19
will trump say job 15 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421449	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$1	08-04 11:12
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	09-07 23:34
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	-$2	08-03 10:02
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-21 02:06
Will Trump say "Stock Market" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	1	$2	9	+9	Yes	-$2	09-22 12:43
wynn quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 04 2026 1	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	+$3	08-03 19:10
will trump say hell 8 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421447	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	08-04 19:16
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	-$2	08-01 23:25
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	08-02 07:54
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	08-05 23:22
will googl reach 385 by august 3 2026	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	08-04 03:12
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	1	$2	8	+8	Yes	-$2	08-01 14:54
uaa quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 07 2026 0pt02	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	08-06 19:23
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,250 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	09-22 12:27
spy up or down on august 13 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Up	-$2	08-13 07:05
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	-$2	08-08 21:18
israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-02 21:02
will trump say trumprx during remarks in las vegas 20260804184635514	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	08-05 15:17
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	08-07 03:25
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on September 21?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-21 18:48
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on October 19?	2	$2	4	+4	Down	$0	10-19 15:51
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	1	$2	3	+3	cancelled	$0	08-01 04:33
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $990 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-21 10:18
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	10-21 04:02
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $62 Week of September 28 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	10-02 10:28
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $76 Week of October 5 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	No	-$1	10-07 01:53
will googl dip to 335 by september 28 2026	1	$1	3	+3	No	+$2	09-29 15:01
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	10-17 15:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 22:53:12	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 12, 2026?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc3a90c…
11-06 12:45:48	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 12, 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x9e0e8b…
11-06 03:57:01	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x2fe64a…
11-05 19:17:23	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xa23b42…
11-05 10:35:33	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 5?	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xee677a…
11-05 01:06:57	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x356ed1…
11-04 03:15:48	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xb35a67…
11-03 18:48:00	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on November 3?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x9e5128…
11-03 10:46:16	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 3?	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe8d4a6…
11-03 02:29:46	Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xd870ba…
11-02 18:28:43	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x4c1732…
11-02 10:19:51	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x020747…
11-02 02:19:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 2?	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xbf5f4a…
10-30 02:08:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xff649d…
10-29 11:58:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x89221e…
10-29 03:20:50	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x5bbbaf…
10-27 13:18:20	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x76e7d0…
10-27 05:08:30	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xbdf622…
10-25 09:00:27	Will ExxonMobil (XOM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x790345…
10-25 00:11:06	Will SK hynix (SKHY) hit (HIGH) $153 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xcf52d2…
10-22 20:33:39	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x6b715d…
10-22 12:12:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x343056…
10-21 21:20:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x7c1ba1…
10-21 12:23:48	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 21?	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xf06728…
10-21 04:02:06	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x57eb63…
10-20 08:00:49	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 20?	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x6520dc…
10-19 23:57:42	will amzn dip to 260 by october 19 2026	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x2127b9…
10-19 15:51:14	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on October 19?	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x35e51a…
10-19 15:48:57	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on October 19?	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xfac28f…
10-19 07:33:11	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $180 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xb5b7fc…
10-18 23:33:03	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x915b9c…
10-18 12:09:50	Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x894745…
10-18 00:14:03	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xd1a372…
10-17 15:52:08	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x77f4c6…
10-16 12:42:04	spy up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x93e72f…
10-16 01:42:49	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x524a82…
10-15 16:41:55	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15?	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x42d5e7…
10-15 08:30:37	will xagusd dip to 55 by october 12 2026	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xf0186b…
10-14 23:57:54	will the tesla roadster fly for 1s	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x06af48…
10-14 15:36:57	spy closes above 770 on october 14 2026	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x33f4e8…
10-14 07:34:25	will msft dip to 540 by october 12 2026 from october 13	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x20395b…
10-13 23:14:58	will meta dip to 730 by october 12 2026	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xc39100…
10-11 14:34:18	Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x00cf1c…
10-11 05:08:59	Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $3.0B?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xb8ed2e…
10-10 19:32:27	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x3589d4…
10-10 11:29:15	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xac44c0…
10-09 03:14:44	spx up or down on october 9 2026	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x9e0b52…
10-08 19:14:14	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x1fc818…
10-08 13:40:02	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x1e2007…
10-08 04:00:26	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 8?	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xe937bc…
10-08 02:43:29	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 8?	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc33e85…
10-07 18:01:24	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x718007…
10-07 09:53:48	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x6213eb…
10-07 01:53:24	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $76 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x085a83…
10-06 17:52:48	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x328e20…
10-06 07:39:55	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xfc5a6f…
10-05 23:36:13	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xd36459…
10-05 15:29:14	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x37892f…
10-05 00:20:49	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,140 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xa5e43d…
10-02 10:28:23	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $62 Week of September 28 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xeb8f01…
10-02 01:36:54	will rklb dip to 70 by september 28 2026 from october 1	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xe76915…
10-01 16:54:11	spy up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x7a464b…
10-01 08:51:24	will the next claude haiku 4pt6 model be released by october 7 2026	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x8e48b0…
09-30 23:36:54	will xagusd reach 61 by september 28 2026 from september 30	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xbfc3b2…
09-30 11:02:47	spx up or down on september 30 2026	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x2fab7c…
09-29 15:01:47	will googl dip to 335 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xb472ca…
09-29 05:09:41	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by September 30?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x9cb698…
09-27 21:08:39	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x30c9bf…
09-27 11:55:33	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x2c7e8e…
09-27 03:14:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x780085…
09-26 19:06:23	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 5pt20 in september	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x7680d1…
09-26 07:04:41	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x46d017…
09-25 05:45:41	Trump renames AI by September 30?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x2367f0…
09-24 09:44:32	Will Trump say "Trump" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x95be45…
09-22 12:43:19	Will Trump say "Stock Market" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	No	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0x33f03e…
09-22 12:27:58	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,250 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x36f6f6…
09-22 02:49:03	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0xc35097…
09-21 18:48:51	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on September 21?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xf4ca81…
09-21 10:18:39	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $990 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa041f6…
09-21 02:06:04	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x34f5c2…
09-07 23:34:19	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x127e43…
08-13 07:05:21	spy up or down on august 13 2026	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x5a435e…
08-08 21:18:51	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x9c4777…
08-08 12:19:18	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x6e3df0…
08-07 03:25:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0x3e72e7…
08-06 19:23:48	uaa quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 07 2026 0pt02	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xe59cf2…
08-05 23:22:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0xce009a…
08-05 15:17:57	will trump say trumprx during remarks in las vegas 20260804184635514	Yes	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0x4182fb…
08-04 19:16:35	will trump say hell 8 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421447	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xff7cda…
08-04 11:12:56	will trump say job 15 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421449	Yes	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0xe20afd…
08-04 03:12:00	will googl reach 385 by august 3 2026	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x195361…
08-03 19:10:44	wynn quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 04 2026 1	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x803d3b…
08-03 10:02:53	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x93cdf6…
08-02 21:02:57	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xde1cae…
08-02 07:54:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0x420528…
08-01 23:25:17	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x88cb99…
08-01 14:54:35	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0x627efd…
08-01 04:33:21	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xfa4063…