(anonymous) 0x4f6339…ad5bbc
bot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$8
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
53.3%
Resolved
373
Trades
650
lifetime
Volume
$1.77K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$73
24 positions
First seen
2026-10-10
last 10-27 03:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Other
67% 51% +$36
Politics
17% 50% +$8
Sports
14% 41% -$35
Tech
1% 100% +$0
Crypto
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +15 $10 74¢ $11 +$1 10-26 19:00
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +10 $7 74¢ $7 +$1 10-26 21:57
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +10 $6 70¢ $7 +$0 10-26 08:22
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? Yes +5 $4 100¢ $5 +$1 10-23 18:04
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +5 $4 96¢ $5 +$1 10-24 00:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +5 $4 88¢ $4 +$0 10-21 20:02
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +5 $4 82¢ $4 +$1 10-26 01:09
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +5 $4 74¢ $4 +$0 10-26 07:04
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +5 $4 74¢ $4 $0 10-23 09:15
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +5 $4 70¢ $4 +$0 10-27 04:53
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +5 $3 66¢ $3 $0 10-22 02:37
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +5 $3 66¢ $3 $0 10-23 09:16
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +10 $3 32¢ $3 $0 10-27 03:33
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes +5 $1 32¢ $2 +$0 10-23 08:44
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +4 $1 34¢ $1 $0 10-20 07:32
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +5 $1 26¢ $1 +$0 10-23 00:16
israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 Yes +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 10-23 08:00
Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $2 26¢ $1 $0 10-24 05:23
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? Yes +1 $0 32¢ $0 +$0 10-25 22:52
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026? Yes +5 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 10-23 12:17
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +5 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 10-24 06:39
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? Yes +5 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 10-24 05:43
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? Yes +5 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 10-23 07:22
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? Yes +10 $3 2¢ $0 -$3 10-23 16:33