Wicked-Bonnet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

15.0%

Resolved

Trades

157

lifetime

Volume

$1.34K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 05-10 19:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

41% — —

Politics

33% 0% $-17

Other

22% 100% +$7

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 74k january 26 1	2	$111	61	61	+0	open	—	02-02 06:36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$87	100	0	+100	open	—	04-23 11:31
bitcoin above 66k on march 3	2	$60	32	32	+0	open	—	03-03 17:16
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	1	$50	62	0	+62	open	—	01-08 19:09
bitcoin above 82k on february 5	2	$42	22	22	+0	open	—	02-03 18:37
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	2	$40	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	02-01 18:05
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	1	$40	47	0	+47	open	—	03-25 20:14
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on february 24	1	$34	39	0	+39	open	—	02-24 09:09
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	1	$30	38	0	+38	open	—	03-03 17:18
sea pis mil 2026 02 13 mil	1	$28	34	0	+34	open	—	02-13 20:47
bitcoin above 68k on march 3	2	$28	18	18	+0	open	—	03-03 17:16
will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	1	$28	38	0	+38	open	—	03-04 14:30
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	2	$26	24	24	+0	open	—	03-06 14:01
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	1	$25	28	0	+28	open	—	03-01 12:52
fl1 ang met 2026 02 01 ang	2	$25	13	13	+0	open	—	02-01 19:52
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	2	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	03-01 07:02
bitcoin above 80k on february 7	2	$21	13	13	+0	open	—	02-04 15:29
bitcoin up or down on february 6	1	$20	29	0	+29	open	—	02-06 14:02
will bitcoin dip to 70k in february 2026 858 241	1	$20	34	0	+34	open	—	02-02 06:35
will silver si hit high 120 by end of february 431 947 594 173 652 316	1	$20	24	0	+24	open	—	02-02 06:51
will trump say make a deal at the nrcc dinner on march 25 236	1	$20	24	0	+24	open	—	03-25 20:08
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$17	29	0	+29	Yes	$-17	02-11 20:10
will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	1	$15	43	0	+43	open	—	02-02 06:37
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	1	$15	31	0	+31	open	—	01-10 21:59
btc updown 15m 1770121800	3	$14	11	10	+0	open	—	02-03 12:46
will bitcoin dip to 64k march 2 8	1	$14	15	0	+15	open	—	03-06 14:04
btc updown 15m 1770119100	4	$14	15	14	+0	open	—	02-03 11:53
will wildflower billie eilish win song of the year at the 68th annual grammy awards	2	$14	13	13	+0	open	—	02-02 06:36
highest temperature in london on february 3 2026 7c	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	02-03 18:38
fl1 str psg 2026 02 01 psg	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	02-01 23:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 19:14:01	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xd8542f…
04-29 17:59:22	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xa52965…
04-27 20:56:24	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x9abc2d…
04-23 11:31:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x8442c6…
03-25 20:14:49	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	No	BUY	47	85¢	$40	0x605a99…
03-25 20:09:47	will trump say cheat cheater cheated cheating 10 times at the nrcc dinner on march 25	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x0d7884…
03-25 20:09:11	will trump say israel israeli at the nrcc dinner on march 25 639	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x885b2a…
03-25 20:08:57	will trump say make a deal at the nrcc dinner on march 25 236	Yes	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0xe824b4…
03-07 17:06:41	ethereum above 1900 on march 8	Yes	BUY	10	93¢	$10	0x18f5ed…
03-07 17:03:51	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xcd8d0a…
03-07 17:03:23	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xac9329…
03-06 14:04:29	will bitcoin dip to 64k march 2 8	No	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0xc089ab…
03-06 14:01:29	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	SELL	24	57¢	$14	0x897d01…
03-04 14:30:07	will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	38	73¢	$28	0x3eeb6f…
03-04 14:26:51	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 4	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x110f31…
03-03 17:18:05	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0x0e063b…
03-03 17:16:55	bitcoin above 68k on march 3	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x48d428…
03-03 17:16:49	bitcoin above 66k on march 3	Yes	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x7aa032…
03-03 05:38:19	bitcoin above 66k on march 3	Yes	BUY	32	90¢	$29	0x51d4a7…
03-03 05:37:31	bitcoin above 68k on march 3	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x4f0b2e…
03-01 12:57:07	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	24	52¢	$12	0x692ce4…
03-01 12:55:03	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x74c89d…
03-01 12:52:19	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x2b45e0…
03-01 12:47:57	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 1	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x95b3ab…
03-01 07:02:33	will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xaf40e4…
02-26 14:02:34	bitcoin above 68k on february 26	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xfe998b…
02-24 09:09:00	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on february 24	No	BUY	39	88¢	$34	0x52f62a…
02-13 20:47:55	sea pis mil 2026 02 13 mil	Yes	BUY	34	83¢	$28	0x9b45c1…
02-11 20:10:21	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	29	57¢	$17	0xf8c49f…
02-11 20:05:25	will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x9dd870…
02-06 14:05:11	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x82142a…
02-06 14:04:27	will nuevayol be played first at the super bowl halftime show	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x860a8b…
02-06 14:02:27	bitcoin up or down on february 6	Down	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x584460…
02-06 14:00:31	btc updown 15m 1770386400	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x948c0d…
02-06 13:59:13	btc updown 15m 1770385500	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x0b8f96…
02-04 21:58:51	btc updown 15m 1770241500	Down	BUY	49	8¢	$4	0x94d377…
02-04 21:58:21	btc updown 15m 1770241500	Down	SELL	9	20¢	$2	0xc4b9eb…
02-04 21:48:15	btc updown 15m 1770241500	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x14ef68…
02-04 21:46:47	btc updown 15m 1770241500	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x1f2f87…
02-04 19:44:39	highest temperature in london on february 5 2026 10c	Yes	SELL	8	24¢	$2	0xce65e6…
02-04 19:05:01	will trump say hellhole this week february 8	No	BUY	11	69¢	$8	0x7b56b7…
02-04 18:55:17	btc updown 15m 1770230700	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xcc4eae…
02-04 18:54:15	btc updown 15m 1770230700	Up	SELL	7	11¢	$1	0xf3481a…
02-04 18:53:13	btc updown 15m 1770230700	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xfe2c3d…
02-04 18:52:49	btc updown 15m 1770230700	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xdf603e…
02-04 18:51:51	btc updown 15m 1770231600	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd2aa5f…
02-04 15:36:27	btc updown 15m 1770219900	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xeb12d4…
02-04 15:29:40	bitcoin above 80k on february 7	No	SELL	13	88¢	$11	0x4e5bd1…
02-04 15:28:40	will the ecb announce an increase at the february 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd94e6c…
02-03 22:45:26	dfb lev stp 2026 02 03 lev	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x0ae70f…
02-03 22:45:22	dfb lev stp 2026 02 03 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x61c591…
02-03 20:08:46	btc updown 15m 1770148800	Up	SELL	13	20¢	$3	0xae4324…
02-03 20:05:04	btc updown 15m 1770148800	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xc170e9…
02-03 20:04:10	btc updown 15m 1770148800	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xfa7446…
02-03 18:38:28	highest temperature in london on february 3 2026 7c	Yes	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xa02f85…
02-03 18:37:24	bitcoin above 82k on february 5	No	SELL	22	97¢	$22	0x5f1cb5…
02-03 17:01:56	dfb lev stp 2026 02 03 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xdf0bcd…
02-03 17:01:26	dfb lev stp 2026 02 03 btts	Yes	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x79a470…
02-03 17:00:56	dfb lev stp 2026 02 03 lev	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xa2cb2d…
02-03 16:53:48	will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xc2f6fb…
02-03 16:51:42	highest temperature in london on february 5 2026 10c	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x5eb6b1…
02-03 12:49:54	btc updown 15m 1770122700	Up	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0xa835e0…
02-03 12:49:22	btc updown 15m 1770122700	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x4a614d…
02-03 12:46:56	btc updown 15m 1770122700	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x9377ae…
02-03 12:46:26	btc updown 15m 1770121800	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xa1cf95…
02-03 12:45:26	btc updown 15m 1770122700	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x76a383…
02-03 12:44:56	btc updown 15m 1770121800	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x8d256b…
02-03 12:44:02	btc updown 15m 1770121800	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x37ea2c…
02-03 12:23:12	btc updown 15m 1770120900	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xe5d23a…
02-03 12:21:52	btc updown 15m 1770120900	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xb375b0…
02-03 12:21:38	btc updown 15m 1770120900	Down	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0xd4e357…
02-03 12:21:14	btc updown 15m 1770120900	Up	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xb1c9ad…
02-03 12:17:24	btc updown 15m 1770120900	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xa0e5b5…
02-03 12:16:10	btc updown 15m 1770120900	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x0bca23…
02-03 12:13:36	btc updown 15m 1770120000	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xfca5ef…
02-03 11:53:24	btc updown 15m 1770119100	Down	SELL	7	41¢	$3	0xba5f70…
02-03 11:52:40	btc updown 15m 1770119100	Up	SELL	7	58¢	$4	0x489c42…
02-03 11:52:34	bitcoin above 80k on february 3	No	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0x827006…
02-03 11:51:48	btc updown 15m 1770119100	Down	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x6c7efb…
02-03 11:49:50	bitcoin above 82k on february 5	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xba94c7…
02-03 11:45:58	btc updown 15m 1770119100	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x02050f…
02-03 09:11:32	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	429	1¢	$3	0x74c5e3…
02-03 09:10:12	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	146	2¢	$3	0x688053…
02-03 09:08:56	bitcoin above 80k on february 4	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xe38179…
02-03 09:08:46	bitcoin above 80k on february 3	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xe79ecd…
02-02 07:01:18	lal mal sev 2026 02 02 btts	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa1952b…
02-02 06:56:28	bitcoin above 80k on february 7	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x0aa20c…
02-02 06:55:16	will the ecb announce an increase at the february 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x5d205a…
02-02 06:54:12	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	80	1¢	$1	0x2c5ee0…
02-02 06:51:20	will silver si hit high 120 by end of february 431 947 594 173 652 316	No	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x1c1e5c…
02-02 06:50:02	highest temperature in london on february 3 2026 7c	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x60a760…
02-02 06:49:10	will the highest temperature in london be 9c on february 2	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x490a7c…
02-02 06:39:08	bitcoin above 78k on february 2	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x31252e…
02-02 06:37:04	will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	Yes	BUY	43	35¢	$15	0xb18f4d…
02-02 06:36:34	will wildflower billie eilish win song of the year at the 68th annual grammy awards	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xb10559…
02-02 06:36:30	will bitcoin dip to 74k january 26 1	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0xaf0a7f…
02-02 06:35:54	will bitcoin dip to 70k in february 2026 858 241	Yes	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x5f69bb…
02-01 23:34:02	cbb stpete rider 2026 02 01	Rider Broncs	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xed9597…
02-01 23:33:54	fl1 str psg 2026 02 01 psg	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x6cac68…
02-01 20:33:28	will wildflower billie eilish win song of the year at the 68th annual grammy awards	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xe4e55a…