Runny-Macaroni — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.39K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.6%

Resolved

1,692

Trades

13,108

lifetime

Volume

$63.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-30 23:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 259 days

Categories

Other

100% 43% +$4,396

Crypto

0% 52% -$1

Politics

0% 15% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 153 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 360 379	65	$637	1,022	976	+45	Yes	+$73	02-24 16:13
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 16?	31	$524	467	467	+0	Yes	+$224	07-16 12:00
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 580plus	40	$493	633	582	+51	No	+$84	01-10 04:47
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 19?	7	$423	252	252	+0	Yes	-$1	07-19 07:18
elon musk of tweets march 2026 1280 1319	62	$411	821	821	+0	No	+$15	03-31 21:33
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 31?	19	$372	401	401	+0	No	+$18	05-31 00:30
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 18?	8	$352	201	201	+0	Yes	+$42	08-18 08:29
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 380 399	46	$336	1,047	1,162	-115	No	+$21	02-24 12:28
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 17?	17	$320	309	309	+0	Yes	+$33	09-16 23:10
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 10?	9	$313	200	200	-0	No	-$13	08-10 01:51
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 27?	19	$312	235	235	+0	Yes	+$17	08-27 08:13
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 21?	18	$310	196	196	+0	Yes	+$27	07-21 08:53
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 10?	10	$309	376	376	+0	Yes	+$68	08-09 14:57
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 12?	36	$298	654	554	+100	No	+$0	08-12 08:15
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 31?	18	$294	203	203	+0	Yes	+$14	08-31 05:09
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 23?	18	$288	162	162	+0	Yes	+$5	07-23 08:43
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 9?	19	$284	681	537	+144	No	+$125	06-09 07:48
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 25?	8	$281	171	171	+0	Yes	+$21	09-24 23:54
elon musk of tweets february 19 february 21 115 139	18	$255	350	350	+0	Yes	+$15	02-21 05:35
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 500 519	22	$255	295	295	+0	Yes	+$110	01-02 16:48
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 31?	58	$252	405	405	+0	Yes	+$192	07-31 06:11
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 540 559	35	$252	727	517	+210	No	-$59	01-06 16:59
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 24?	12	$244	148	148	+0	Yes	+$25	09-23 23:28
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 16?	16	$241	219	219	+0	Yes	+$103	06-16 08:38
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 580plus	61	$239	927	258	+668	No	-$31	01-09 16:53
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 28?	12	$229	201	201	+0	Yes	+$38	05-27 21:43
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 6?	8	$225	170	170	+0	Yes	+$27	06-06 05:55
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 23?	19	$223	569	569	+0	No	+$10	05-22 23:34
elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 115 139	34	$223	517	517	+0	No	+$23	03-23 11:53
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 25?	11	$222	143	143	+0	No	+$27	08-24 22:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 23:03:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	17	9¢	$2	0xc55162…
10-30 22:58:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	3	9¢	$0	0xe2a273…
10-30 13:51:07	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 31?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x4999bb…
10-30 13:48:55	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	66¢	$12	0x67b0aa…
10-30 09:16:48	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x856fc4…
10-30 06:11:28	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x956f62…
10-30 06:03:16	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x3696ea…
10-30 05:57:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$1	0xdd50e6…
10-30 05:47:43	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x2cc865…
10-30 05:40:25	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xeac76f…
10-30 05:34:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xcd69f7…
10-30 05:26:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	40	92¢	$37	0x2b8bc9…
10-30 05:17:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x6d76e9…
10-30 05:17:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	29	47¢	$14	0xfe4662…
10-30 05:17:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x0f262a…
10-30 05:17:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0xc0c675…
10-30 05:15:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	4	37¢	$1	0x337b46…
10-30 04:59:37	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0xa4d4bc…
10-30 04:57:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	0	67¢	$0	0x6664b8…
10-30 04:57:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x351b9f…
10-30 04:57:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x975fb4…
10-30 04:56:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	13	67¢	$9	0x16ccbd…
10-30 04:22:12	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	21	30¢	$6	0x3b3c33…
10-30 04:20:18	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x931da4…
10-30 04:18:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	62	4¢	$2	0xde7110…
10-30 03:48:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xb1713b…
10-29 22:31:22	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xbfc977…
10-29 22:28:21	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x79e34b…
10-29 22:22:15	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xd81c8b…
10-29 21:56:33	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x49244b…
10-29 21:17:57	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	15	75¢	$11	0xbdf885…
10-29 21:15:40	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	9¢	$1	0xa374d9…
10-29 20:10:31	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x6d8052…
10-29 20:07:12	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x8b7ec8…
10-29 20:02:46	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	18	74¢	$13	0x1270a6…
10-29 15:40:46	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xfb41a6…
10-29 13:51:46	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0x3f5675…
10-29 13:51:35	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0xa66f60…
10-29 06:17:40	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x33f8a5…
10-29 06:13:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xc14baf…
10-29 05:42:32	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	18	24¢	$4	0x1ae8b9…
10-29 05:40:50	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	31¢	$4	0xb08f75…
10-29 05:28:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x86336b…
10-29 05:00:59	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xae8765…
10-29 05:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xbdb403…
10-29 04:56:23	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x8f3ec0…
10-29 04:38:05	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	14	31¢	$4	0x170c24…
10-29 03:49:22	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xb2eafe…
10-29 03:40:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x27a6b0…
10-29 03:39:05	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x9a1492…
10-29 03:10:20	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	33¢	$5	0x48c621…
10-29 03:09:59	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	10¢	$4	0x9908de…
10-29 00:02:40	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	24¢	$10	0x0b3479…
10-28 23:40:16	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	14	93¢	$13	0x2236a2…
10-28 19:39:37	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xc79252…
10-28 19:38:55	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	0	72¢	$0	0xb56205…
10-28 19:38:55	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x0d6f94…
10-28 19:34:41	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	15	70¢	$11	0xed1500…
10-28 19:29:25	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xd3b956…
10-28 19:27:28	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	1	60¢	$1	0x5e94c0…
10-28 12:43:59	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	21	30¢	$6	0x116124…
10-28 12:43:34	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0xa3b01c…
10-28 12:39:49	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0x3a90d7…
10-28 08:02:19	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xed289c…
10-28 08:00:32	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x7bcac7…
10-28 06:50:59	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xfc1cf3…
10-28 06:24:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x5cb148…
10-28 06:21:40	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x4b2c94…
10-28 06:20:08	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0x3e234f…
10-28 06:19:52	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xe33e9f…
10-28 06:19:44	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x2fef02…
10-28 06:19:34	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	47¢	$7	0x9eced4…
10-28 06:18:10	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	25	90¢	$22	0xaa21d1…
10-28 05:08:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	22	79¢	$17	0x4b99af…
10-28 05:03:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x41f7f6…
10-28 05:03:02	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xd25106…
10-28 04:58:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$3	0xe796db…
10-28 04:48:10	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xd7f886…
10-28 04:47:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	55	60¢	$33	0x8711f7…
10-28 04:20:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd8c1a2…
10-28 04:07:02	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0xb9d4ed…
10-28 03:58:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xef9851…
10-28 03:51:22	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0xe62871…
10-28 03:51:16	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x5b0fe7…
10-28 03:49:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	25	56¢	$14	0x840b8b…
10-28 03:39:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x792a53…
10-28 03:37:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x03f30d…
10-28 03:27:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x1bad94…
10-28 03:15:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x9d75fe…
10-28 03:01:44	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	9	91¢	$8	0xa59e68…
10-28 03:00:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xa3c0d9…
10-28 03:00:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	19	10¢	$2	0x7dd1f6…
10-28 03:00:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	18	10¢	$2	0xee4634…
10-28 03:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x17fafe…
10-28 03:00:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x3247a8…
10-28 02:54:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x56712a…
10-28 02:48:03	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xf1ec2d…
10-28 02:47:38	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	19	95¢	$18	0x2974ec…
10-28 02:41:21	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x21d714…
10-28 02:27:20	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xedf832…