Runny-Macaroni — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

28.7%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

21 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$77

$93 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-17 05:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

98% 40% $-30

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes		+6	$0	38¢	$2	+$2	05-17 05:53
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 15?	Yes		-40	$-0	0¢	$-0	+$0	05-15 05:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	2	$62	100	94	+6	open	—	05-17 05:53
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on May 11?	2	$7	39	5	+34	No	$-7	05-10 23:42
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$4	59	0	+59	open	—	05-14 22:15
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	2	$3	20	0	+20	No	$-3	05-08 07:00
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 11?	1	$3	12	0	+12	Yes	+$9	05-11 00:20
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 8?	1	$2	0	30	-30	Yes	$-28	05-07 12:05
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 14?	2	$2	0	62	-62	open	—	05-14 01:06
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?	1	$2	0	10	-10	open	—	05-08 06:13
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 11?	1	$1	10	0	+10	No	$-1	05-11 03:23
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	1	$1	0	6	-6	open	—	05-15 10:15
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 8?	1	$1	0	106	-106	No	+$1	05-07 12:06
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 11?	1	$1	7	0	+7	No	$-1	05-11 04:44
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 11?	1	$1	0	19	-19	No	+$1	05-11 01:34
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 8?	1	$1	20	0	+20	No	$-1	05-08 05:54
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 15?	1	$0	0	40	-40	open	—	05-15 05:09
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 15?	1	$0	0	20	-20	open	—	05-15 08:56
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 6?	1	$0	0	0	-0	No	+$0	05-06 06:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 05:53:43	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0xd3aa90…
05-16 17:21:43	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	94	33¢	$31	0xb4ae20…
05-15 10:15:15	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	26¢	$1	0x9293c1…
05-15 08:56:46	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x72db0b…
05-15 05:09:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 15?	Yes	SELL	40	1¢	$0	0x65ffe4…
05-14 22:15:27	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	6¢	$4	0x5cace2…
05-14 01:06:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 14?	Yes	SELL	21	4¢	$1	0x2996ae…
05-13 23:01:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 14?	Yes	SELL	41	3¢	$1	0x8f9613…
05-11 04:44:15	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0x083bcc…
05-11 03:23:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x8348be…
05-11 01:34:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 11?	Yes	SELL	19	5¢	$1	0x65469a…
05-11 00:20:11	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x7a7876…
05-10 23:42:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on May 11?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x3dcb87…
05-10 07:58:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on May 11?	Yes	BUY	39	18¢	$7	0xb831e0…
05-08 07:00:29	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0x3e3a69…
05-08 06:13:28	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?	No	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x850c75…
05-08 06:08:38	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0x6e87f0…
05-08 05:54:31	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x95fc6a…
05-07 12:06:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 8?	Yes	SELL	106	1¢	$1	0x4a645f…
05-07 12:05:59	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 8?	Yes	SELL	30	8¢	$2	0x79d1da…
05-06 06:24:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 6?	Yes	SELL	0	46¢	$0	0x6d1aaa…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad	11	$854	37	05-16 14:34
Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e	11	$793	40	05-16 13:26
Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507	10	$843	38	05-16 18:57
Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905	9	$1.02K	43	05-15 20:23
Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6	6	$1.06K	45	05-16 14:57
Low-Carrot 0xe7e9…fb3c	5	$1.00K	26	05-14 01:29
Shameful-Dictionary 0x8a25…ba81	5	$972	42	05-15 03:20
Imaginary-Rush 0x0729…5f54	5	$736	18	05-11 07:20