Equal-Ficlet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$496

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.2%

Resolved

217

Trades

454

lifetime

Volume

$15.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-11

last 07-19 02:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Other

100% 82% +$496

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-19).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 14?	2	$2.5K	1,318	1,318	+0	No	+$122	06-14 03:51
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 15?	6	$1.7K	861	861	+0	No	+$69	06-14 23:20
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on June 15?	12	$945	533	533	+0	No	+$120	06-15 04:45
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 7?	2	$895	460	460	+0	No	+$23	07-07 08:37
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 15?	8	$716	367	367	+0	No	+$13	07-15 04:34
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 9?	14	$660	375	375	+0	No	+$23	07-08 10:34
highest temperature in wuhan on april 16 2026 20c	5	$655	350	348	+2	No	+$43	04-16 07:14
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 14?	4	$641	327	327	+0	No	+$12	07-14 00:15
highest temperature in london on april 19 2026 14c	10	$626	961	0	+961	No	+$335	04-19 14:57
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 14?	4	$559	407	407	+0	No	-$68	06-14 04:19
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 4?	3	$552	580	0	+580	No	+$28	07-03 07:35
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on July 2?	7	$534	568	55	+513	No	+$75	07-01 13:20
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 8?	3	$334	172	172	+0	No	+$9	07-08 07:22
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 7?	2	$314	164	164	+0	No	+$13	07-06 13:54
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on May 25?	2	$241	267	0	+267	No	+$26	05-24 15:28
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on April 25?	2	$203	104	103	+0	No	+$4	04-25 17:42
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 21?	15	$181	262	262	+0	No	-$180	06-20 12:15
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on July 10?	3	$178	100	100	+0	No	+$10	07-09 10:31
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 55°F or below on April 30?	2	$154	85	85	+0	Yes	+$16	05-01 01:05
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on July 11?	2	$114	60	60	+0	No	+$1	07-10 10:57
highest temperature in chongqing on april 15 2026 24c	2	$107	55	55	+0	No	+$4	04-15 14:01
highest temperature in beijing on april 14 2026 19c	2	$100	52	52	+0	No	+$4	04-14 15:24
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 81°F or below on May 6?	3	$90	101	0	+101	No	+$11	05-06 05:17
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 20?	1	$83	90	0	+90	No	+$7	07-19 02:50
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 15?	2	$74	45	45	+0	No	-$5	07-14 15:11
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on May 10?	2	$68	37	37	+0	No	+$2	05-10 17:21
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 31°C on May 5?	3	$67	211	211	+0	No	-$19	05-04 02:32
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 64°F or higher on May 13?	3	$61	82	0	+82	No	+$21	05-12 09:00
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on July 18?	5	$59	65	0	+65	No	+$6	07-18 03:59
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 4?	3	$57	312	0	+312	No	-$57	05-04 15:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 02:50:48	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 20?	No	BUY	90	92¢	$83	0xc8c7f5…
07-18 03:59:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on July 18?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xea75bd…
07-18 03:58:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on July 18?	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x8c33a0…
07-18 03:58:04	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on July 18?	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x5ec549…
07-18 03:57:27	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on July 18?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x6031f0…
07-18 00:44:51	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or below on July 18?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x4432a0…
07-16 08:50:23	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on July 18?	No	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0x6f3910…
07-15 04:34:10	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 15?	No	SELL	367	99¢	$364	0x458a18…
07-14 15:11:43	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 15?	No	BUY	160	95¢	$152	0x71cd34…
07-14 15:11:16	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 15?	No	SELL	45	76¢	$34	0xba2837…
07-14 06:52:38	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 15?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xae1b19…
07-14 02:46:26	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 15?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x846664…
07-14 02:15:55	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 15?	No	BUY	14	96¢	$14	0x5f2e9b…
07-14 00:24:13	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 15?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x41453e…
07-14 00:23:32	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 15?	No	BUY	47	96¢	$45	0xf96bfe…
07-14 00:23:20	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 15?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xa3ab69…
07-14 00:15:47	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 14?	No	SELL	327	100¢	$327	0xa1d0b4…
07-13 07:43:19	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 14?	No	BUY	37	92¢	$34	0x9ea795…
07-13 06:15:49	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 15?	No	BUY	45	88¢	$40	0x6e420e…
07-13 00:15:37	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 14?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x37649c…
07-12 10:20:22	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 14?	No	BUY	190	97¢	$184	0xbc6512…
07-10 10:57:07	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on July 11?	No	SELL	60	96¢	$58	0x433656…
07-10 02:21:35	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on July 11?	No	BUY	60	94¢	$57	0x055553…
07-09 10:31:35	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on July 10?	No	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0xe06b37…
07-09 03:33:58	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on July 10?	No	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0xd0629b…
07-08 10:34:20	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 9?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0xf3e3f8…
07-08 10:34:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 9?	No	SELL	14	85¢	$12	0xfda690…
07-08 10:34:11	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 9?	No	SELL	76	85¢	$65	0xe5c34c…
07-08 10:34:10	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 9?	No	SELL	28	85¢	$24	0x8bb2f7…
07-08 10:18:26	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 9?	No	SELL	81	94¢	$76	0x174890…
07-08 10:10:55	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 9?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xb8ba27…
07-08 10:10:52	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 9?	No	SELL	174	94¢	$164	0x61a26a…
07-08 08:47:47	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 9?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xae2ce4…
07-08 08:33:55	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 9?	No	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x03eaa1…
07-08 08:28:04	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 9?	No	BUY	25	85¢	$22	0x0d1408…
07-08 08:19:41	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 9?	No	BUY	95	85¢	$81	0x1c288c…
07-08 08:14:40	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 9?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xd1afd4…
07-08 08:06:29	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 9?	No	BUY	53	85¢	$45	0xe606b6…
07-08 07:22:56	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 8?	No	SELL	172	100¢	$172	0x1f5b33…
07-08 07:15:52	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 9?	No	BUY	140	85¢	$119	0x4cc48d…
07-07 08:37:38	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 7?	No	SELL	460	100¢	$459	0x06d320…
07-06 15:06:22	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 8?	No	BUY	82	95¢	$78	0xe6621a…
07-06 14:11:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 8?	No	BUY	90	94¢	$85	0xa539b4…
07-06 13:54:29	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 7?	No	SELL	164	100¢	$163	0xcaba3d…
07-06 08:33:26	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 7?	No	BUY	164	92¢	$151	0x10a8db…
07-06 04:07:22	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 7?	No	BUY	460	95¢	$436	0xd22bb7…
07-03 07:35:34	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 4?	No	BUY	550	95¢	$524	0xc14110…
07-03 07:32:53	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 4?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x8cba8b…
07-03 07:30:02	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 4?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xf88cf0…
07-01 13:20:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on July 2?	No	SELL	55	88¢	$48	0xb2055c…
07-01 13:20:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on July 2?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0xf31ef2…
07-01 07:42:59	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on July 2?	No	BUY	42	85¢	$36	0x25325f…
07-01 06:04:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on July 2?	No	BUY	170	78¢	$133	0x4c7092…
07-01 02:00:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on July 2?	No	BUY	35	84¢	$29	0xf7a3fd…
06-30 16:59:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on July 2?	No	BUY	301	90¢	$271	0x348a2a…
06-30 16:54:25	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on July 2?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x538f82…
06-20 12:15:02	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 21?	Yes	SELL	262	0¢	$1	0x8e60e9…
06-20 11:12:43	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	45	69¢	$31	0xa9c8bf…
06-20 11:10:52	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	16	69¢	$11	0x37a9db…
06-20 11:10:49	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x4fed07…
06-20 11:10:44	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	24	69¢	$16	0x588af6…
06-20 11:06:53	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xf41daf…
06-20 10:48:34	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x4b6eea…
06-20 10:45:59	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0xf72d83…
06-20 10:11:34	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x2fd3ee…
06-20 09:19:22	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x55215b…
06-20 09:17:50	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0xe767fe…
06-20 09:13:41	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x79e8e0…
06-20 09:13:29	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xb94721…
06-20 09:13:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x89dc60…
06-20 09:13:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	65	69¢	$45	0x66d950…
06-15 04:45:57	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on June 15?	No	SELL	533	100¢	$533	0x8ec61f…
06-15 01:42:33	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on June 15?	No	BUY	38	80¢	$30	0x543212…
06-15 00:31:04	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on June 15?	No	BUY	59	79¢	$47	0xac6a71…
06-15 00:28:46	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on June 15?	No	BUY	70	79¢	$55	0x237b90…
06-15 00:27:48	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on June 15?	No	BUY	110	80¢	$88	0x1f4c60…
06-15 00:26:15	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on June 15?	No	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0xd60bf7…
06-15 00:25:54	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on June 15?	No	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0xd10b75…
06-15 00:25:54	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on June 15?	No	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x76bd88…
06-15 00:04:01	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on June 15?	No	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0xa3a78a…
06-14 23:49:31	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on June 15?	No	BUY	130	76¢	$99	0x9aafe3…
06-14 23:25:39	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on June 15?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x8f2600…
06-14 23:25:36	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on June 15?	No	BUY	35	70¢	$24	0x3af947…
06-14 23:20:33	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 15?	No	SELL	861	100¢	$860	0x1921cf…
06-14 13:20:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 15?	No	BUY	65	92¢	$60	0xe81620…
06-14 12:41:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 15?	No	BUY	130	92¢	$120	0x9e986c…
06-14 12:39:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 15?	No	BUY	130	91¢	$118	0x2b22cc…
06-14 12:37:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 15?	No	BUY	322	91¢	$293	0x540d45…
06-14 12:02:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 15?	No	BUY	214	94¢	$200	0x9e895b…
06-14 04:19:24	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 14?	No	SELL	407	60¢	$245	0x9564b0…
06-14 04:10:37	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 14?	No	BUY	120	79¢	$95	0xb76daf…
06-14 04:09:57	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 14?	No	BUY	262	76¢	$200	0xda19d6…
06-14 04:06:19	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 14?	No	BUY	26	72¢	$19	0xc31441…
06-14 03:51:43	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 14?	No	SELL	1,318	100¢	$1,316	0x391e55…
06-13 11:39:12	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 14?	No	BUY	1,318	91¢	$1,194	0x2853c6…
05-25 15:47:41	Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	203	5¢	$10	0xa81a9e…
05-25 14:54:53	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	103	10¢	$10	0xd757c6…
05-24 15:28:44	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on May 25?	No	BUY	44	96¢	$42	0x00bb57…
05-24 15:25:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on May 25?	Yes	SELL	78	32¢	$25	0x966eaa…
05-24 15:24:53	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on May 25?	No	SELL	22	85¢	$19	0x6552e6…