Overdue-Testament — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.8%

Resolved

Trades

147

lifetime

Volume

$1.94K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 08-31 06:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 59 days

Categories

Other

71% 95% -$4

Politics

18% 94% -$16

Tech

5% 100% +$1

Crypto

2% 100% +$0

Sports

2% 100% +$2

Pop-Culture

2% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	04-16 03:09
will mrbeasts next video get between 56 and 58 million views on day 3	2	$47	24	24	+0	No	+$0	04-07 05:40
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on april 24	2	$47	24	24	+0	Yes	+$0	04-24 14:46
highest temperature in london on march 16 2026 11c	2	$45	23	23	+0	No	+$0	03-16 12:35
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?	2	$43	22	22	+0	Yes	+$0	05-21 01:13
Will Z.ai have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$42	42	0	+42	No	+$0	05-29 15:45
highest temperature in chicago on march 18 2026 36 37f	2	$41	21	21	+0	No	+$0	03-18 16:06
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	2	$40	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	05-20 11:40
will temu shop like a billionaire be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 24	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	03-24 16:06
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$0	06-03 17:41
Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 900,000 and 1,200,000 voters?	2	$35	18	18	+0	No	+$0	05-30 15:54
will fidesz kdnp win 130 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	2	$35	18	18	+0	No	+$0	04-12 19:57
highest temperature in toronto on march 17 2026 neg 2c	2	$34	17	17	+0	No	+$0	03-17 20:19
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	06-15 10:47
ethereum above 1100 on july 5 2026	1	$32	32	0	+32	Yes	+$0	07-02 16:23
Will Anthropic have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$32	16	16	+0	Yes	+$0	04-30 16:17
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	2	$31	16	16	+0	No	+$0	05-31 19:16
highest temperature in paris on march 20 2026 15c	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$0	03-19 23:46
highest temperature in atlanta on march 18 2026 52 53f	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$0	03-18 18:40
highest temperature in miami on march 16 2026 90 91f	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	03-16 03:40
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	06-25 13:23
Will Maxine Durand win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	05-18 00:02
will hotschedules be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 13	2	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$1	03-13 13:41
Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	05-11 18:23
Will Hope Scheppelman be the Republican nominee for CO-03?	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	06-25 12:12
highest temperature in milan on march 18 2026 15c	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	03-18 16:26
will iran successfully target shipping on march 30 2026 469	1	$20	21	0	+21	Yes	-$20	03-30 01:30
Will Raffaele Giordano win the 2026 Cava De' Tirreni mayoral election?	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	06-08 05:13
highest temperature in miami on february 26 2026 74 75f	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	02-26 14:55
will kpop demon hunters be the 2 global netflix movie this week 473	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	03-16 14:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 06:11:40	Will SpaceXAI be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x863635…
08-31 02:34:15	Will gas hit $3.25 (Low) by August 31?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x92815c…
08-01 07:01:50	Will Jocelyn Benson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x499a82…
07-14 00:04:34	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xe7668e…
07-02 16:23:04	ethereum above 1100 on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xc825e5…
06-26 00:45:38	will anyone say date or dating during love island e20 20260624152237847	Yes	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x4d953c…
06-25 13:23:31	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x570a35…
06-25 12:12:56	Will Hope Scheppelman be the Republican nominee for CO-03?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x58c1cb…
06-15 10:47:45	Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x035268…
06-15 07:44:40	Will David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?	No	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0xf29e25…
06-08 05:13:00	Will Raffaele Giordano win the 2026 Cava De' Tirreni mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x02d5d3…
06-03 17:41:22	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xaaa097…
06-02 18:59:34	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xafef2d…
05-31 19:16:04	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x3dfad7…
05-30 18:21:52	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0xd89f5a…
05-30 15:54:34	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 900,000 and 1,200,000 voters?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x28fc7b…
05-29 15:45:19	Will Z.ai have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x7fe944…
05-29 07:51:35	Will Taylor Swift have a #1 hit in the US in May?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xf11293…
05-25 19:38:09	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 900,000 and 1,200,000 voters?	No	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0x25fe73…
05-21 01:13:10	Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?	Yes	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x983142…
05-20 11:40:37	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x47321c…
05-19 23:36:19	Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?	Yes	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0x11250f…
05-18 00:02:30	Will Maxine Durand win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x9feaba…
05-11 18:23:59	Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x7aef8d…
05-07 20:42:41	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x4ac612…
05-05 09:08:16	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xdda907…
05-03 17:08:34	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x170ccb…
04-30 16:17:08	Will Anthropic have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x89daa7…
04-29 18:48:58	Will Anthropic have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0xf8e7b9…
04-24 14:46:26	will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on april 24	Yes	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x53fd36…
04-23 18:39:28	will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on april 24	Yes	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0xd593b2…
04-16 03:09:50	deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xdf0755…
04-14 00:00:13	deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xe03730…
04-14 00:00:13	any of the stolen paintings recovered by april 15	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x32a1a2…
04-12 19:57:41	will fidesz kdnp win 130 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xc03047…
04-11 11:01:53	will fidesz kdnp win 130 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	No	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0xd3db98…
04-07 05:40:45	will mrbeasts next video get between 56 and 58 million views on day 3	No	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0xe04801…
04-06 20:26:15	will mrbeasts next video get between 56 and 58 million views on day 3	No	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0x3b228e…
04-02 11:59:09	will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on april 3	Yes	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xf90eda…
03-30 08:51:14	will mark zuckerberg be 3rd richest person on march 31	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x561162…
03-30 01:30:42	will iran successfully target shipping on march 30 2026 469	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x5dcb2e…
03-24 16:06:55	will temu shop like a billionaire be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 24	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x638149…
03-23 01:48:55	Will Jace Yarbrough be the Republican Nominee for TX-32?	Yes	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xc269ca…
03-23 00:00:55	will temu shop like a billionaire be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 24	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x6f6f3f…
03-20 23:28:25	will undertone opening weekend box office be between 8m and 9m	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x7274fe…
03-19 23:46:13	highest temperature in paris on march 20 2026 15c	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xc835f7…
03-19 12:53:59	highest temperature in paris on march 20 2026 15c	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x0b6a8d…
03-19 06:42:49	highest temperature in seoul on march 19 2026 9c	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0x1681f5…
03-19 05:19:01	highest temperature in seoul on march 19 2026 9c	Yes	BUY	6	97¢	$5	0x113810…
03-18 18:40:45	highest temperature in atlanta on march 18 2026 52 53f	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x5e2c1b…
03-18 16:26:41	highest temperature in milan on march 18 2026 15c	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x6aa235…
03-18 16:06:21	highest temperature in chicago on march 18 2026 36 37f	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x6ec9a3…
03-18 11:31:53	highest temperature in atlanta on march 18 2026 52 53f	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x1a0ac5…
03-18 02:51:13	will darren bailey win the 2026 illinois governor republican primary election	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xe11bc1…
03-17 20:27:55	highest temperature in chicago on march 18 2026 36 37f	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xe7d71b…
03-17 20:19:15	highest temperature in toronto on march 17 2026 neg 2c	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x445e41…
03-17 04:04:13	highest temperature in toronto on march 17 2026 neg 2c	No	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x9e5e56…
03-16 14:11:15	will kpop demon hunters be the 2 global netflix movie this week 473	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x832919…
03-16 12:35:49	highest temperature in london on march 16 2026 11c	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xce1acd…
03-16 08:42:05	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 16	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x3e5ece…
03-16 08:31:09	highest temperature in london on march 16 2026 11c	No	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0xa37a44…
03-16 03:40:27	highest temperature in miami on march 16 2026 90 91f	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x1184e5…
03-16 01:30:05	will sinners win exactly 7 awards at the oscars	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xff4dbf…
03-16 00:25:39	will darren bailey win the 2026 illinois governor republican primary election	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x814351…
03-15 14:41:19	will undertone opening weekend box office be between 8m and 9m	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xa51f59…
03-15 00:03:57	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 16	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xddeefd…
03-14 00:51:41	will sinners win exactly 7 awards at the oscars	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x14925d…
03-13 13:41:47	will hotschedules be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 13	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xfc0f02…
03-12 12:58:31	will hotschedules be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 13	No	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0x5d261b…
03-11 22:21:11	will argentinas monthly inflation in february 2026 be between 2pt2 and 2pt4	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x0ca52e…
03-11 12:33:13	will a dozen eggs cost 2pt80 in february	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xda28be…
03-11 03:47:39	will argentinas monthly inflation in february 2026 be between 2pt2 and 2pt4	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x3f59f1…
03-10 19:01:11	will bridgerton season 4 be the 2 us netflix show this week 417	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x74f201…
03-10 03:31:15	will a dozen eggs cost 2pt80 in february	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xc7d8c7…
03-09 07:20:09	will bridgerton season 4 be the 2 us netflix show this week 417	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x742bd4…
03-08 15:28:59	will scream 7 second weekend box office be between 19m and 22m	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x3db5fe…
03-08 12:00:25	will scream 7 second weekend box office be between 19m and 22m	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9252d1…
03-07 21:01:25	will greczula win melodifestivalen 2026	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x259c92…
03-06 13:31:11	will the us add between 150k and 175k jobs in february	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x743c3d…
03-06 01:08:05	will greczula win melodifestivalen 2026	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x99b25a…
03-05 06:18:31	will the us add between 150k and 175k jobs in february	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xb5d010…
03-05 04:45:51	will kiss all the time disco occasionally harry styles debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x30b896…
03-04 09:24:39	will supha xayprasith mays win the 2026 arkansas governor democratic primary election	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc946e6…
03-04 07:03:43	will a candidate win outright in the texas dem senate primary	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x3fe64f…
03-02 19:00:23	will a candidate win outright in the texas dem senate primary	Yes	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x6ea26a…
03-02 00:02:17	Will Jace Yarbrough be the Republican Nominee for TX-32?	Yes	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x0e9108…
03-02 00:02:15	will supha xayprasith mays win the 2026 arkansas governor democratic primary election	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x81d3c7…
03-01 06:10:29	highest temperature in london on march 1 2026 10c	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x3b99a0…
03-01 04:13:57	will tommaso paradiso win sanremo 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1a3c20…
03-01 03:23:49	highest temperature in london on march 1 2026 10c	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xf56669…
02-28 05:01:47	highest temperature in toronto on february 28 2026 4c	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x936a52…
02-28 04:57:05	highest temperature in toronto on february 28 2026 4c	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x7c2edb…
02-27 20:21:07	highest temperature in atlanta on february 27 2026 70 71f	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x8087d4…
02-27 19:04:09	highest temperature in toronto on february 27 2026 4c	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf8a8da…
02-27 13:41:01	will tommaso paradiso win sanremo 2026	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x3464b3…
02-27 07:24:57	highest temperature in toronto on february 27 2026 4c	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x64f3d1…
02-27 00:37:28	will usd reach 1pt7m iranian rials by february 28	No	BUY	5	94¢	$4	0x60a8e5…
02-26 14:55:48	highest temperature in miami on february 26 2026 74 75f	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x25746d…
02-26 12:43:04	highest temperature in atlanta on february 27 2026 70 71f	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x50fb29…
02-25 19:16:34	highest temperature in miami on february 26 2026 74 75f	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6eff49…