Overjoyed-Meeting — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$19

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

92.6%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

201 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$549

$3.46K lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 11-04 07:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Politics

57% 88% +$32

Other

28% 100% +$9

Crypto

9% 98% -$7

Sports

3% 100% +$1

Tech

2% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		+8	$6	72¢	$6	-$1	10-27 13:07
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes		-280	-$1	0¢	$-0	+$0	08-20 20:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	5	$617	315	315	+0	No	+$8	10-28 18:29
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	2	$301	174	174	+0	open	—	11-04 07:09
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$252	221	68	+153	Yes	+$15	10-25 23:18
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	2	$248	162	162	+0	No	+$11	11-04 00:38
Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	4	$215	110	110	+0	Yes	+$3	10-13 13:29
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	3	$89	45	45	+0	Yes	+$0	10-04 21:10
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	2	$86	44	44	+0	No	+$1	09-01 06:58
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	2	$85	44	44	+0	No	+$0	08-27 17:50
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	2	$71	122	122	+0	Yes	+$0	10-13 12:41
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$59	59	0	+59	No	+$0	06-27 15:53
Will Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$58	59	0	+59	Yes	+$1	06-25 23:26
Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$53	53	0	+53	Yes	+$0	05-05 13:07
LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$47	47	0	+47	Yes	+$1	09-10 14:08
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	1	$47	47	0	+47	No	+$1	09-02 22:46
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?	1	$46	47	0	+47	No	+$0	09-22 14:42
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	1	$46	47	0	+47	Yes	+$0	09-18 07:22
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	1	$46	46	0	+46	No	+$0	09-14 16:52
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	1	$45	45	0	+45	No	+$0	08-22 05:23
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	2	$45	22	22	+0	Yes	+$0	09-30 14:05
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	1	$44	45	0	+45	Yes	+$0	08-18 05:35
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?	1	$43	44	0	+44	No	+$1	08-13 21:20
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	1	$42	43	0	+43	No	+$0	09-30 16:15
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	1	$42	43	0	+43	No	+$1	08-11 17:42
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	1	$42	42	0	+42	No	+$0	08-10 20:58
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	1	$41	42	0	+42	No	+$0	08-09 22:38
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	1	$41	42	0	+42	No	+$0	08-06 11:12
squid fdv above 100m one day after launch 392	1	$41	41	0	+41	Yes	+$0	08-05 19:42
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	2	$39	21	21	+0	No	+$2	09-30 12:04
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$34	80	80	+0	No	+$2	10-23 06:07
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?	1	$29	29	0	+29	Yes	+$0	08-05 00:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 07:09:39	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	SELL	174	78¢	$135	0x51ced5…
11-04 06:44:01	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	174	96¢	$166	0xc78d46…
11-04 00:38:48	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	162	80¢	$130	0x2c7659…
11-03 14:43:01	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	162	73¢	$119	0x651c57…
10-28 18:29:46	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	161	99¢	$159	0x31a987…
10-28 16:03:47	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	161	98¢	$158	0xad0a6c…
10-28 06:20:41	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	155	99¢	$153	0x334c7f…
10-28 04:13:28	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x965921…
10-27 21:39:45	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0xb8ae9c…
10-27 20:03:03	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	146	95¢	$139	0x956bb9…
10-27 13:07:11	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0x900159…
10-25 23:18:39	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	153	91¢	$139	0xcf548a…
10-24 14:02:36	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	68	83¢	$57	0x44cc09…
10-23 06:07:47	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	80	23¢	$18	0x118133…
10-20 22:07:42	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	80	20¢	$16	0x2269f0…
10-15 10:49:42	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	68	82¢	$56	0xd4e1df…
10-13 13:29:14	Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	99	100¢	$99	0xb72ffc…
10-13 12:41:05	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	122	29¢	$35	0x2c6147…
10-13 05:57:25	Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	99	97¢	$96	0x570c2b…
10-12 12:27:17	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	122	29¢	$35	0xe90c2d…
10-08 07:58:28	Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x76640d…
10-08 05:52:35	Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	97¢	$10	0x094775…
10-06 21:42:11	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$8	0xe30f4a…
10-05 12:10:56	Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x5c2020…
10-04 21:10:50	Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xbaa51c…
10-04 21:10:50	Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0x61c6f4…
10-03 15:04:39	Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	45	99¢	$44	0xd9face…
09-30 16:15:53	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	43	99¢	$42	0x46d4ff…
09-30 14:05:47	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xfcf186…
09-30 12:04:36	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x2088de…
09-28 23:06:33	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x4471bc…
09-25 00:23:11	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	BUY	21	91¢	$19	0xe3353d…
09-23 14:45:26	Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x7e53bf…
09-23 00:55:32	Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x43b208…
09-22 14:42:18	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?	No	BUY	47	99¢	$46	0xa1e69d…
09-18 07:22:58	Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	47	99¢	$46	0xaa51f9…
09-14 16:52:07	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x77e719…
09-11 08:09:07	Will Solana dip to $40 in September?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd28f5b…
09-10 14:08:57	LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	47	99¢	$47	0xe9140b…
09-02 22:46:01	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	BUY	47	99¢	$47	0x506c6f…
09-01 06:58:58	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x581de5…
08-27 18:36:04	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	BUY	44	97¢	$43	0xad0af2…
08-27 17:50:58	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	44	98¢	$43	0x650bbd…
08-25 01:24:30	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x302814…
08-25 00:50:40	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	44	97¢	$42	0x2c0005…
08-24 22:00:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x80df08…
08-22 05:23:01	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x90d7d8…
08-20 20:29:25	Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	280	0¢	$1	0x42b69c…
08-18 05:35:19	Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	BUY	45	99¢	$44	0x9eb5f8…
08-13 21:20:51	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?	No	BUY	44	97¢	$43	0x793a7b…
08-11 17:42:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	43	97¢	$42	0xd24e61…
08-10 20:58:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x4e98fc…
08-09 22:38:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	42	100¢	$41	0x154747…
08-06 11:12:08	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	No	BUY	42	100¢	$41	0x3619b0…
08-05 19:42:41	squid fdv above 100m one day after launch 392	Yes	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x2f7748…
08-05 00:53:57	Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x3c34c2…
08-03 15:05:12	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xa13ca0…
07-31 14:47:51	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x416a00…
07-31 12:41:02	GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x3b72fa…
07-31 07:35:51	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x567b5b…
07-29 21:58:11	will ethereum reach 2300 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x91d1fe…
07-29 18:38:56	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdb9a5e…
07-27 22:42:51	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x40cfa9…
07-27 10:03:25	grvt fdv above 150m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0xeb20a1…
07-26 12:02:24	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x28e17f…
07-23 13:03:54	will xagusd dip to 48 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2df03a…
07-23 08:25:01	GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x444494…
07-23 05:55:01	GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	18	70¢	$13	0x044b38…
07-23 02:23:39	will bitcoin dip to 50k in july 2026 812	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x600fda…
07-21 03:17:36	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x06ef7d…
07-20 15:55:40	will ethereum dip to 1200 in july 2026 853	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x69441c…
07-19 15:48:18	will xagusd reach 70 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3a56ee…
07-17 02:04:42	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x775180…
07-16 21:20:28	will xauusd dip to 3400 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x817561…
07-16 15:17:38	will ethereum dip to 900 in july 2026 757	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x3d68b4…
07-12 13:29:02	will xagusd dip to 46 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xfaa17f…
06-29 13:32:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	BUY	11	87¢	$9	0xd44a0a…
06-29 11:11:17	will ng dip to 2 60 in june 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb58e96…
06-29 08:08:37	will xauusd reach 4600 in june 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x848dd9…
06-29 06:36:37	will nvda dip to 160 in june 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x2f0e45…
06-29 00:33:41	will xauusd reach 4600 in june 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x74adcd…
06-28 16:10:19	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6babe2…
06-28 14:22:29	Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x4159c7…
06-28 13:17:13	will coin reach 190 in june 2026	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x98237b…
06-27 15:53:14	Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x2a9d4b…
06-25 23:26:43	Will Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	59	99¢	$58	0x553df9…
05-30 21:07:27	Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xe95095…
05-30 06:04:23	Will gas hit (High) $4.70 by May 31?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x890fa1…
05-29 10:29:35	Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa10b04…
05-22 04:26:30	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xec5192…
05-20 18:07:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0x8286af…
05-17 15:25:40	Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5a5e1e…
05-15 05:20:15	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0x9c2645…
05-10 22:49:56	Will Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xee237a…
05-10 21:05:52	Will Solana dip to $20 in May?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0xb53dbc…
05-10 20:57:56	Will Ethereum dip to $800 in May?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x0917e4…
05-10 08:10:50	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdd9a7a…
05-09 22:26:23	Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in May?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x01b1a0…
05-09 19:56:23	Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x6a0f86…
05-09 01:03:45	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xfd3fa9…