Early-Radiosonde — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.6%

Resolved

194

Trades

2,129

lifetime

Volume

$2.23K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 05-14 15:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 86% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 211 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776441300	8	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	04-17 15:59
btc updown 15m 1776437100	8	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	04-17 14:59
btc updown 5m 1776348600	6	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	04-16 14:14
btc updown 15m 1776208500	6	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	04-14 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	04-29 21:35
bitcoin up or down april 17 2026 8pm et	6	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	04-18 00:59
bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 12am et	6	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	04-20 04:59
btc updown 5m 1776231000	5	$5	4	3	+1	open	—	04-15 05:35
btc updown 5m 1776236100	4	$5	2	2	+0	open	—	04-15 06:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	05-01 19:10
btc updown 5m 1776227400	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-15 04:34
btc updown 5m 1776238200	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-15 07:34
btc updown 5m 1776212700	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-15 00:29
btc updown 5m 1776230700	4	$4	3	2	+0	open	—	04-15 05:29
btc updown 5m 1776208800	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-14 23:24
btc updown 5m 1776213900	4	$4	3	2	+0	open	—	04-15 00:49
btc updown 5m 1776228300	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-15 04:49
btc updown 5m 1776243900	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-15 09:10
btc updown 5m 1776218700	4	$4	3	2	+0	open	—	04-15 02:09
btc updown 5m 1776441900	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-17 16:09
btc updown 5m 1776242100	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-15 08:39
btc updown 5m 1776225900	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-15 04:09
btc updown 5m 1776486600	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-18 04:35
btc updown 5m 1776216600	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-15 01:34
btc updown 5m 1776390300	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-17 01:49
btc updown 5m 1776238800	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-15 07:44
btc updown 5m 1776970800	5	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-23 19:04
btc updown 5m 1776385500	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-17 00:29
btc updown 5m 1776219900	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-15 02:29
btc updown 5m 1776351600	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-16 15:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 15:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4aa7f8…
05-14 15:24:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x2f1ea4…
05-14 15:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6f9260…
05-14 15:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xcd56e6…
05-13 15:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5bf293…
05-13 15:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xe6afad…
05-13 08:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x240c95…
05-13 08:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x980d39…
05-13 06:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbdffe9…
05-13 06:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xadb48f…
05-12 02:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x57f138…
05-12 02:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x1b4b7c…
05-12 02:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7ff6e4…
05-12 02:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x8d4856…
05-12 02:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe0847e…
05-12 02:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x7635fe…
05-12 01:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x49e0d1…
05-12 01:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x6c8569…
05-12 01:49:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x948723…
05-12 01:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd8e420…
05-12 01:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x98e490…
05-12 01:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x59af8a…
05-12 01:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x730d00…
05-11 17:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x136e14…
05-11 15:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0eae6b…
05-11 15:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xb15838…
05-11 15:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9b66ab…
05-11 15:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x53e47c…
05-11 09:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x994e06…
05-11 09:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x3f3b89…
05-11 03:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x46812e…
05-11 03:24:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x43d9ba…
05-11 03:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x35ef11…
05-11 03:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xf2783b…
05-10 22:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8383e8…
05-10 22:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xf00790…
05-10 22:49:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x614b2f…
05-10 22:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x5c7473…
05-10 21:54:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x79e37d…
05-10 21:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb696e8…
05-10 17:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x17d1f3…
05-10 11:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xeb1c81…
05-10 11:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xe9c031…
05-10 09:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe0a440…
05-10 09:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x5fd81e…
05-09 23:04:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x24ffd2…
05-09 10:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x29bc78…
05-09 10:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x795052…
05-09 04:54:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x823369…
05-09 04:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xc2e9c4…
05-09 03:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xaf5656…
05-08 23:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x4357f5…
05-08 16:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xdbd50b…
05-08 06:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xb12e5d…
05-08 06:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1727cd…
05-08 06:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x426479…
05-08 03:34:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc5bd5e…
05-08 03:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xf2daf1…
05-08 03:19:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbc1fba…
05-08 03:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xd51ee3…
05-08 03:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfa992c…
05-08 03:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc14bd0…
05-08 02:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbc045c…
05-08 02:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x285bf0…
05-08 00:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8e1fad…
05-08 00:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x236429…
05-07 18:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5d8a53…
05-07 18:14:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x0a8a51…
05-07 16:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8ad0ff…
05-07 16:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x8f661d…
05-07 16:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x772556…
05-07 16:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xd72865…
05-07 15:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x00ca9c…
05-07 15:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xbcc37d…
05-07 15:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x81c340…
05-07 15:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xda1f8c…
05-07 14:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xaeeb5d…
05-07 14:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x49c3df…
05-07 14:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x965a17…
05-07 14:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xe7daf7…
05-07 14:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf8ff8e…
05-07 14:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xb5f20a…
05-07 08:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xddbb72…
05-07 08:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x269bc5…
05-07 08:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xff647e…
05-07 06:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x33465e…
05-07 06:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x42684b…
05-07 05:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf6de92…
05-07 05:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xde1072…
05-07 05:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x92bb23…
05-07 05:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x966b24…
05-07 05:18:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x5cb2d6…
05-07 05:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x701c25…
05-07 05:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xaa6e15…
05-07 04:19:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbc98db…
05-07 04:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x6d2a7b…
05-07 03:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8b7b4c…
05-07 03:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xd08e19…
05-07 03:04:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x945129…
05-07 03:03:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x6fa954…