Early-Radiosonde — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$0

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

8.6%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

46 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$52

$52 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-06 05:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 5% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down		-1	$-1	84¢	$-1	+$0	05-06 05:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up		-1	$-1	62¢	$-1	+$0	05-06 04:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 05:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xea927a…
05-06 04:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9f0e02…
05-06 03:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x392800…
05-06 03:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x846c47…
05-06 02:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x10fc36…
05-06 00:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xffd366…
05-06 00:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0c2785…
05-06 00:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x995e95…
05-05 23:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb49977…
05-05 23:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb2d924…
05-05 22:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe3fbab…
05-05 21:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x07e600…
05-05 21:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa5bb6b…
05-05 20:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x804b42…
05-05 20:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x16b1c6…
05-05 20:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x36b937…
05-05 19:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0b610f…
05-05 17:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb073ed…
05-05 17:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9265c8…
05-05 16:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd8a245…
05-05 15:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xad5c7d…
05-05 15:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x48d8d6…
05-05 14:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2b44c4…
05-05 14:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x01e9e5…
05-05 05:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8e8c9b…
05-05 05:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x544b65…
05-05 05:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8bf623…
05-05 04:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbb95cc…
05-05 04:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x117844…
05-05 03:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa35b3b…
05-05 03:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9f4f67…
05-05 03:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xff5df4…
05-05 03:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xb8021a…
05-05 03:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x12af8e…
05-05 02:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb77b82…
05-05 02:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd1f228…
05-05 01:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf9df72…
05-05 01:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x231b57…
05-05 01:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf5647d…
05-05 00:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1305de…
05-05 00:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf126af…
05-04 23:54:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x18df2f…
05-04 23:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa398c8…
05-04 22:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x65cba3…
05-04 21:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x390f82…
05-04 20:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc76736…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	41	$4.08K	197	05-06 05:04
Hard-Counter 0x32e4…beed	32	$633	81	05-06 05:00
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	31	$15.3K	192	05-06 05:04
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	31	$2.58K	235	05-06 05:04
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	31	$2.03K	141	05-06 05:04
Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f	31	$774	96	05-06 05:04
Equal-Renaissance 0x1c4e…4150	31	$640	123	05-06 05:04
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	30	$2.10K	143	05-06 05:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-05 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	1	$1	0	1	-1	open	—	05-05 14:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	1	$1	0	1	-1	Up	$-0	05-05 03:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	1	$1	0	1	-1	Up	$-0	05-04 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	1	$1	0	1	-1	open	—	05-06 03:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	1	$1	0	1	-1	Up	$-0	05-05 04:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	1	$1	0	1	-1	Up	$-0	05-05 01:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	1	$1	0	1	-1	Up	$-0	05-04 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	1	$1	0	1	-1	Up	$-0	05-05 05:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$1	0	1	-1	Down	$-0	05-05 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	1	$1	0	1	-1	Down	$-0	05-05 03:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	1	$1	0	1	-1	open	—	05-05 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	1	$1	0	1	-1	Up	$-0	05-05 04:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	1	$1	0	1	-1	open	—	05-06 03:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	1	$1	0	1	-1	Up	$-0	05-05 05:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	1	$1	0	1	-1	open	—	05-05 23:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	1	$1	0	1	-1	open	—	05-05 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$1	0	1	-1	open	—	05-05 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	1	$1	0	1	-1	Down	$-0	05-05 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	1	$1	0	1	-1	open	—	05-05 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	1	$1	0	1	-1	open	—	05-05 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	1	$1	0	1	-1	open	—	05-05 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	1	$1	0	1	-1	Up	$-0	05-05 02:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	1	$1	0	1	-1	Down	$-0	05-05 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	1	$1	0	1	-1	open	—	05-05 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	1	$1	0	1	-1	Up	$-0	05-04 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	1	$1	0	1	-1	open	—	05-05 23:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	1	$1	0	1	-1	Up	$-0	05-04 22:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	1	$1	0	1	-1	open	—	05-06 00:34