Earnest-Bell — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.8%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

276

4,335 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$1.96K

$20.2K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-25

last 11-01 14:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 82 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 79% -$29

Other

3% 86% +$22

Sports

1% 33% -$19

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 312 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 09:50 UTC	9	$214	220	162	+58	Down	-$26	08-10 09:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 09:55 UTC	10	$213	273	273	+0	Up	+$13	08-10 09:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 10:15 UTC	8	$166	103	103	+0	Down	+$6	08-10 10:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	8	$146	98	98	+0	Down	+$6	08-23 13:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	7	$141	94	94	+0	Up	+$1	08-23 18:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	8	$133	83	83	+0	Up	+$3	08-23 18:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	7	$128	166	79	+87	Up	-$32	08-23 19:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	6	$126	77	77	+0	Up	+$6	11-01 13:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 10:35 UTC	6	$123	87	87	+0	Down	+$3	08-10 10:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 09:45 UTC	5	$110	981	259	+722	Down	-$44	08-10 09:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	7	$106	78	78	+0	Up	-$14	08-23 13:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	6	$104	67	67	+0	Down	+$4	08-23 18:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	8	$103	66	66	+0	Down	+$3	08-23 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	6	$102	63	63	+0	Down	+$2	08-23 19:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 09:40 UTC	6	$102	65	65	+0	Down	+$2	08-10 09:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 10:40 UTC	4	$89	82	82	+0	Down	+$9	08-10 10:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	6	$87	59	59	+0	Up	+$7	08-23 13:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 10:05 UTC	4	$86	56	56	+0	Up	+$6	08-10 10:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	4	$84	49	49	+0	Up	+$4	09-13 03:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 09:35 UTC	4	$83	74	74	+0	Down	+$3	08-10 09:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 09:00 UTC	4	$83	49	49	+0	Down	+$3	08-10 09:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 13:20 UTC	12	$83	47	47	+0	Up	+$3	08-19 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	4	$82	45	45	+0	Down	+$2	09-13 08:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 07:00 UTC	4	$81	42	42	+0	Down	+$1	08-27 07:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	8	$81	45	45	+0	Up	+$1	08-23 12:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	4	$81	43	43	+0	Up	+$1	11-01 12:39
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	2	$73	43	43	+0	Yes	+$13	06-11 22:17
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	5	$71	63	63	+0	Spurs	-$9	06-09 03:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	5	$70	51	51	+0	Down	+$10	08-23 16:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 17:15 UTC	4	$63	35	35	+0	Up	+$3	07-25 17:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 14:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0xeafbab…
11-01 14:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xa09e1d…
11-01 14:52:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	23	63¢	$15	0x7338e6…
11-01 14:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xde0533…
11-01 13:38:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xd91f8b…
11-01 13:37:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xb5a20b…
11-01 13:08:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	29	88¢	$26	0x248eeb…
11-01 13:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x718e50…
11-01 13:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0xadce09…
11-01 13:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x580a76…
11-01 13:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	24	89¢	$21	0x6eb668…
11-01 13:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x727fdf…
11-01 13:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	32	75¢	$24	0x9f6f1e…
11-01 13:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0xe20199…
11-01 12:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	22	96¢	$21	0x62498d…
11-01 12:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x1d7211…
11-01 12:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	22	97¢	$21	0x6054e3…
11-01 12:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xa6d7a9…
11-01 12:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xec6fad…
11-01 12:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x319242…
11-01 12:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	22	91¢	$20	0x302872…
11-01 12:37:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x871629…
10-26 10:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	7	8¢	$1	0x41c31d…
10-26 10:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xac6d21…
10-26 10:42:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xb8d3d9…
10-26 10:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x9cda13…
10-26 10:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x0849ef…
10-25 17:49:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x94dc28…
10-25 17:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe45680…
10-25 17:49:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x53c170…
10-25 17:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x38a389…
10-25 17:46:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0x7cfdcd…
10-25 17:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xe70fff…
10-24 19:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x82ad70…
10-24 19:14:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7b336f…
10-24 19:13:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x01cf25…
10-24 19:13:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0xfced58…
10-24 19:13:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x12477d…
10-24 16:49:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0x8ac312…
10-24 16:42:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0x773051…
10-24 16:41:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x7b1e32…
10-24 16:39:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xf05edf…
10-24 16:39:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x1ee3c5…
10-22 18:13:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xfed551…
10-22 18:09:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x66f030…
10-22 18:05:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x0a5a14…
10-22 18:03:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xf20ee1…
10-22 18:02:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0xc7de1b…
10-22 17:58:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x82a1e8…
10-22 17:57:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x857ac7…
10-22 17:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0xe7d1b9…
10-22 17:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xc828ee…
10-22 16:27:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x7e0ed0…
10-22 16:26:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	13	82¢	$11	0x2be2ac…
10-22 16:25:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x954bab…
10-22 16:22:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	15	86¢	$13	0x6fafda…
10-22 16:21:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x285c0e…
10-22 16:20:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x0c027e…
10-22 16:18:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0x0e3e68…
10-22 16:18:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xf0c890…
10-22 16:17:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	12	82¢	$10	0x265596…
10-22 16:16:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x4872aa…
10-22 15:18:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x390713…
10-22 15:17:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x482ced…
10-22 15:17:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	8	66¢	$5	0xc890f7…
10-22 15:17:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x9b1b10…
10-22 15:17:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	19	60¢	$11	0xaaeb2c…
10-22 15:16:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x4a1007…
10-22 15:12:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0x07c3d5…
10-22 15:11:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x3c4982…
10-22 15:11:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xba6c38…
10-22 15:11:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x593640…
10-22 06:06:55	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0x7247bf…
10-22 06:06:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xca0ae6…
10-22 06:06:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	7	66¢	$5	0xb269ce…
10-22 06:05:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x1f2df8…
10-22 05:58:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$5	0x07bb3e…
10-22 05:57:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x1050fe…
10-22 05:57:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	24	26¢	$6	0x647a6f…
10-22 05:56:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x388ff6…
10-22 05:56:01	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x8b01c7…
10-22 05:55:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	19	67¢	$12	0x10ec5b…
10-22 05:55:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x432942…
10-22 05:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0xc53537…
10-22 05:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x354c06…
10-22 05:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0x8069e2…
10-22 05:51:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x336675…
10-21 17:31:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	36	72¢	$26	0x467f07…
10-21 17:31:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x968c14…
10-21 17:31:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x05f2bb…
10-21 17:28:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	26	88¢	$23	0x4fee91…
10-21 17:27:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xccb82d…
10-21 17:27:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x85441c…
10-21 17:27:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x6be271…
10-21 17:26:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x930fba…
10-21 17:26:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	48¢	$3	0x64a7c7…
10-21 17:26:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x6f302d…
10-21 17:24:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	24	99¢	$23	0x71a90b…
10-21 17:23:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xb767f2…
10-21 17:23:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x600a32…