Earnest-Bell — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

+$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.7%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

4,659 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$342

$26.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-25

last 11-10 13:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 89 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 79% -$50

Other

3% 86% +$22

Sports

0% 33% -$19

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 266 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	11	$253	146	146	+0	Up	+$3	11-03 18:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	8	$253	214	159	+55	Down	-$27	11-03 17:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	6	$224	129	129	+0	Up	+$4	11-03 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	6	$216	124	124	+0	Up	+$6	11-04 03:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	6	$216	121	121	+0	Down	+$6	11-03 18:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 09:50 UTC	9	$214	220	162	+58	Down	-$26	08-10 09:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 09:55 UTC	10	$213	273	273	+0	Up	+$13	08-10 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	8	$166	103	103	+0	Down	+$6	08-10 10:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	7	$164	136	136	+0	Up	-$16	11-04 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	6	$156	105	105	+0	Down	+$6	11-03 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	4	$153	87	87	+0	Up	+$3	11-06 11:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	4	$149	83	83	+0	Down	+$9	11-03 18:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	8	$146	98	98	+0	Down	+$6	08-23 13:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	4	$144	82	82	+0	Down	+$4	11-03 19:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	7	$141	94	94	+0	Up	+$1	08-23 18:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	8	$133	83	83	+0	Up	+$3	08-23 18:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	5	$128	104	78	+26	Up	+$3	11-03 17:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	7	$128	166	79	+87	Up	-$32	08-23 19:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	6	$126	77	77	+0	Up	+$6	11-01 13:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	6	$125	78	78	+0	Down	+$5	11-03 17:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 10:35 UTC	6	$123	87	87	+0	Down	+$3	08-10 10:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	5	$121	63	63	+0	Down	+$1	11-03 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	5	$113	61	61	+0	Down	+$3	11-03 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	4	$112	58	58	+0	Up	+$2	11-03 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	4	$110	71	71	+0	Up	+$11	11-03 17:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 09:45 UTC	5	$110	981	259	+722	Down	-$44	08-10 09:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	7	$106	78	78	+0	Up	-$14	08-23 13:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	6	$104	67	67	+0	Down	+$4	08-23 18:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	8	$103	66	66	+0	Down	+$3	08-23 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	6	$102	63	63	+0	Down	+$2	08-23 19:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 13:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xa5294c…
11-10 13:20:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xa244c2…
11-10 12:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x42a8a5…
11-10 12:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	22	96¢	$21	0xd18c63…
11-10 12:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xea2c88…
11-10 12:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x85ec11…
11-10 12:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0x1cd0f2…
11-10 12:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$18	0xf7819e…
11-10 12:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x24ebf7…
11-10 12:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xc644d1…
11-10 12:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x72aeb4…
11-10 12:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xca3397…
11-10 12:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	22	98¢	$21	0x0b165b…
11-10 12:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x0fa31b…
11-10 12:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	26	92¢	$24	0xb68279…
11-10 12:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	26	71¢	$19	0x996a76…
11-10 11:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x8b1172…
11-10 11:11:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xce780f…
11-10 11:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	13	73¢	$9	0x5844d9…
11-10 11:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x958818…
11-10 11:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x5e3e26…
11-10 11:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	16	93¢	$15	0x515d7c…
11-10 11:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x99d178…
11-09 11:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x133e2b…
11-06 12:12:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0xa719e0…
11-06 11:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xca953c…
11-06 11:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	47	96¢	$45	0x7f8945…
11-06 11:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	47	98¢	$46	0xc68de4…
11-06 11:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	47	96¢	$45	0x15cb36…
11-06 11:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	40	80¢	$32	0x0861fd…
11-06 11:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0x054498…
11-06 11:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	52	87¢	$45	0x2b9a2b…
11-06 11:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	52	86¢	$45	0xabb6cc…
11-06 11:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	46	95¢	$44	0x07afd9…
11-06 11:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0x2dd909…
11-06 11:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	14	83¢	$11	0xef8dda…
11-06 11:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x0b0be8…
11-06 11:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	31	98¢	$30	0xdd57ca…
11-06 11:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x60aed4…
11-06 11:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	34	99¢	$33	0x5fc650…
11-06 11:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	34	89¢	$30	0x96a18f…
11-06 10:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x277543…
11-05 16:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xcbc0f2…
11-05 16:12:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xca24b2…
11-05 16:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	89¢	$2	0x2b767f…
11-05 16:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xa8f3f2…
11-05 16:07:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xba89b4…
11-05 16:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	88¢	$2	0x16adc1…
11-05 16:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xccaf01…
11-05 16:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x83a25b…
11-05 16:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5a01b3…
11-05 16:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0xc4d6f0…
11-05 15:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	21	98¢	$20	0x7c5c14…
11-05 15:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xc72483…
11-05 13:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	23	96¢	$22	0xc1bdbc…
11-05 13:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xde426c…
11-05 12:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	23	99¢	$22	0xc2395c…
11-05 12:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xc47e3b…
11-05 12:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x4a17e1…
11-05 12:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x44229b…
11-05 12:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x830da9…
11-05 12:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	28	69¢	$20	0xc8ff31…
11-05 12:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	25	95¢	$24	0xa45fb9…
11-05 12:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x4b9c71…
11-05 12:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$20	0xe7c625…
11-05 12:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x441c2d…
11-05 12:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	23	93¢	$21	0x8c6fb8…
11-05 12:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xb9d79a…
11-05 11:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x88f2c8…
11-05 11:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x7e1049…
11-05 11:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x50ee8f…
11-05 11:36:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	24	75¢	$18	0xe8deca…
11-04 03:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0xedc7c1…
11-04 03:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	51	32¢	$16	0x582a8c…
11-04 03:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	51	68¢	$35	0x5e09d9…
11-04 03:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	32	71¢	$23	0xbaf32c…
11-04 03:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xe0f461…
11-04 03:27:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x3ec31f…
11-04 03:27:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	53	67¢	$35	0xa8d292…
11-04 03:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	53	66¢	$35	0x04a7c0…
11-04 03:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	36	99¢	$35	0x0dc5a4…
11-04 03:22:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x027ac7…
11-04 03:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	38	93¢	$35	0xfdfa4a…
11-04 03:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	38	93¢	$35	0xf1d3a9…
11-04 03:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	50	81¢	$40	0x9b34b6…
11-04 03:22:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x83d78a…
11-04 03:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	45	81¢	$36	0xfd667d…
11-04 03:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	45	78¢	$35	0x60eb41…
11-04 03:13:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	36	99¢	$35	0x4149a6…
11-04 03:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x7769ac…
11-03 19:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0x60c6f3…
11-03 19:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	36	96¢	$35	0x09b41a…
11-03 19:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	37	97¢	$36	0xc6dc3a…
11-03 19:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	37	95¢	$35	0xaed764…
11-03 19:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	45	85¢	$38	0x917f94…
11-03 19:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	45	77¢	$35	0x866d90…
11-03 19:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xee2036…
11-03 19:27:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xc8a452…
11-03 19:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x1429e8…
11-03 19:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	36	98¢	$35	0x0b70de…