Kaleidoscopic-Balance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$61

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.6%

Resolved

182

Trades

600

lifetime

Volume

$2.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 10-26 17:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 67 days

Categories

Politics

73% 70% -$25

Crypto

13% 47% -$11

Sports

12% 31% -$9

Other

2% 36% -$14

Tech

1% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	11	$269	151	151	+0	No	+$9	05-31 18:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	4	$213	122	122	+0	No	+$6	06-07 01:43
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	9	$156	233	173	+59	Yes	-$51	06-15 03:50
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 10 2026	3	$122	62	62	+0	No	+$1	06-09 19:37
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	4	$120	69	69	+0	No	-$3	06-13 17:45
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	3	$90	46	46	+0	No	+$3	05-27 23:24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	6	$74	40	40	+0	No	+$2	05-26 22:57
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	16	$71	36	36	+0	No	+$0	04-26 16:16
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	2	$58	37	37	+0	No	$0	05-27 14:57
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?	4	$56	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-27 09:24
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	1	$48	49	0	+49	No	+$1	05-28 12:35
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	5	$47	24	24	+0	Yes	+$1	05-24 15:14
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	2	$45	24	24	+0	No	+$0	05-24 19:46
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	8	$43	25	25	+0	No	$0	06-29 23:06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	2	$37	19	19	+0	No	+$1	05-11 07:07
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	3	$36	22	22	+0	No	+$0	05-09 20:13
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	3	$35	18	18	+0	No	+$1	05-03 21:06
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	10	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$0	04-27 03:29
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	2	$23	14	14	+0	No	+$3	05-19 20:14
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	3	$21	14	14	+0	Yes	+$7	10-25 21:34
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	05-23 19:17
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	05-23 06:16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	3	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$1	05-22 21:03
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	6	$16	32	32	+0	No	-$1	10-04 10:20
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	4	$16	11	11	+0	No	$0	10-24 22:02
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	2	$14	8	8	+0	Yes	+$1	10-24 21:41
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	2	$14	7	7	+0	No	+$0	10-04 08:58
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	6	$14	41	41	+0	Yes	-$3	10-04 10:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	14	$14	11	11	+0	Up	$0	04-25 20:44
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	4	$13	43	43	+0	open	—	07-16 10:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 17:13:39	Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x4ceadc…
10-25 21:34:03	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xa828e8…
10-25 21:16:35	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe7d963…
10-25 10:24:30	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x455cf5…
10-24 22:07:54	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	13	48¢	$6	0x8b7b52…
10-24 22:03:47	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x3d2a6b…
10-24 22:02:11	Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$7	0x7915ea…
10-24 21:58:59	Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x31ce18…
10-24 21:53:50	Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	3	17¢	$1	0x20e23f…
10-24 21:53:38	Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x105eee…
10-24 21:41:38	Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	SELL	8	94¢	$7	0x72c52d…
10-24 21:18:14	Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x0aebdf…
10-24 21:17:41	Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x6250d1…
10-24 18:18:17	Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0xcf571a…
10-23 08:33:02	Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x948732…
10-17 09:15:26	val vit 100t1 2026 10 17	100 Thieves	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0x369f4c…
10-16 11:01:31	Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports - Map 1 Winner	100 Thieves	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x0ef5e2…
10-16 11:01:16	Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs	100 Thieves	SELL	2	64¢	$2	0x7f72af…
10-15 15:28:32	Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs	G2 Esports	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x66de31…
10-12 10:19:57	Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs	100 Thieves	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xa9203a…
10-12 10:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xfad41a…
10-12 10:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0xe7653d…
10-12 10:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe42dc8…
10-12 10:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x108378…
10-12 10:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0x229c21…
10-12 10:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x89c697…
10-12 09:59:17	Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs	G2 Esports	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x4df9e5…
10-11 13:55:39	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x756385…
10-11 13:38:39	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbc6679…
10-11 13:37:34	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	No	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x383627…
10-10 16:09:57	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x3db522…
10-10 14:35:24	Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	No	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xd439cd…
10-10 14:30:36	Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x2c87cc…
10-10 14:09:30	Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x096a6d…
10-10 10:45:48	Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x65b2d1…
10-10 10:12:45	Will Charles Leclerc win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x566cc2…
10-09 16:08:12	Will Max Verstappen achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf0a5dc…
10-09 15:16:43	Will George Russell achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x80f3fd…
10-09 15:01:25	Will Max Verstappen achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc49793…
10-09 14:56:34	Will Charles Leclerc win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x617ad7…
10-09 14:55:57	Will Max Verstappen win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	No	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0xf12f7f…
10-09 14:19:16	Will Max Verstappen win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x873efa…
10-09 11:54:01	Will George Russell achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xbcde4b…
10-05 01:29:22	val pr1 loud 2026 10 07	Paper Rex	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x558a1e…
10-04 12:24:04	val fut1 t1 2026 10 04	FUT Esports	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x42b34d…
10-04 10:20:01	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0xb7f27e…
10-04 10:13:58	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x941f3a…
10-04 10:04:40	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	17	12¢	$2	0xb29a09…
10-04 10:04:02	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	4	86¢	$3	0xc76860…
10-04 09:59:47	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	4	88¢	$3	0x23c2fe…
10-04 09:55:11	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xa302da…
10-04 09:54:31	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x83e669…
10-04 09:45:43	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xfc10d0…
10-04 09:45:28	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	No	SELL	37	5¢	$2	0x2e73fa…
10-04 09:42:17	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x16fadd…
10-04 09:40:07	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	No	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0x444ff8…
10-04 08:58:04	Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xa9d8ce…
10-03 11:48:29	Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xfd0a73…
10-03 11:48:02	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x1ba249…
10-03 09:23:18	Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xd38510…
10-03 09:23:14	Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	No	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x27a3c4…
10-03 08:54:15	Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x666a0b…
10-03 08:53:57	Valorant: G2 Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C	Team Liquid	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xbe6aaa…
10-03 08:40:47	Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	No	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0xf6bfc7…
10-03 06:05:47	Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	No	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x684f50…
10-03 06:04:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x78211d…
10-03 06:04:20	Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x2f082e…
10-02 16:53:24	Valorant: G2 Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C	Team Liquid	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf60061…
10-02 16:51:12	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	11	8¢	$1	0x6f9734…
10-01 14:59:29	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x880827…
10-01 11:50:27	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xcc50e7…
09-30 09:45:36	val 100t1 fut1 2026 09 30	100 Thieves	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0x43c65c…
09-29 12:07:45	val g21 pr1 2026 09 29	Paper Rex	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x288e8e…
09-26 13:38:08	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x6fa1d5…
09-26 13:36:26	Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xb3f5da…
09-26 12:38:53	Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xe91c44…
09-26 12:31:48	Valorant: 100 Thieves vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Champions Group A	T1	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x714bdd…
09-25 13:17:02	Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x47197a…
09-25 13:06:18	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?	No	SELL	2	88¢	$1	0xe2317e…
09-25 12:58:11	Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x1842cd…
09-25 12:49:36	Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x92b3ea…
09-25 12:35:50	Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xa5e4fd…
09-25 09:04:54	val g21 pr1 2026 09 29	Paper Rex	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xdd48a6…
09-25 09:04:36	Valorant: 100 Thieves vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Champions Group A	T1	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x36c4d9…
09-24 15:37:20	Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x752d02…
09-24 11:58:13	Valorant: Team Liquid vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C	Paper Rex	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xd1371f…
09-23 15:54:47	val tl1 pr1 2026 09 24	Paper Rex	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xba609d…
09-22 13:34:15	Will the Greenland agreement text be released by September 23, 2026? (copy) (copy)	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x2d2221…
09-22 11:55:33	Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xfdac89…
09-21 15:50:37	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xb34c01…
09-21 07:58:14	Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 25?	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xccaad6…
09-13 13:18:24	Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x470147…
09-13 13:14:34	Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x29fe12…
09-12 15:39:28	Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x8ebfef…
09-12 15:03:43	Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc0fe1e…
09-12 11:50:43	Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x2c038e…
09-12 11:48:55	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	16	5¢	$1	0x22d5f5…
09-10 05:10:04	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x155273…
09-06 00:13:04	Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0xbfd11f…
09-06 00:13:01	Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0xe70c3b…