Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$154

Unrealized P&L

+$7

Hit rate

68.9%

Resolved

3,036

Trades

11,067

lifetime

Volume

$22.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$163

7 positions

First seen

2026-05-20

last 07-18 06:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Other

100% 86% -$155

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-18).

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Yes	-160	-$46	90¢	$-143	-$97	07-16 04:43
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes	-159	-$105	8¢	$-13	+$93	07-01 06:35
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?	Yes	-13	-$3	47¢	$-6	-$3	05-24 06:34
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?	Yes	-182	-$6	0¢	$-0	+$6	07-12 22:34
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?	Yes	-182	-$5	0¢	$-0	+$5	07-12 22:35
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?	Yes	-123	-$4	0¢	$-0	+$4	06-23 06:55
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?	Yes	-123	-$1	0¢	$-0	+$0	06-20 16:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	7	$105	159	-159	open	—	07-01 06:35
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in May 2026?	5	$84	114	-114	Yes	-$30	06-09 18:47
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 23?	13	$80	180	-180	No	+$80	05-23 01:33
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 22?	8	$58	116	-116	Yes	-$58	06-22 14:00
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 23?	14	$53	180	-180	Yes	-$127	05-23 00:50
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on June 3?	2	$52	60	-60	Yes	-$8	06-01 21:25
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 30?	14	$51	128	-128	No	+$51	06-30 06:01
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on May 23?	7	$51	124	-124	Yes	-$73	05-23 05:43
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C or below on June 3?	1	$51	52	-52	Yes	-$2	06-02 16:41
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on May 30?	15	$50	120	-120	No	+$50	05-29 20:32
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 1?	11	$49	128	-128	No	+$49	05-31 14:58
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 23?	14	$48	149	-149	Yes	-$101	05-22 23:04
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 78°F or higher on May 31?	6	$47	53	-53	Yes	-$5	05-31 19:55
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	5	$46	160	-160	open	—	07-16 04:43
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 30?	16	$46	133	-133	No	+$46	06-30 07:54
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on May 25?	3	$45	60	-60	Yes	-$15	05-23 18:44
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 3?	13	$45	122	-122	No	+$45	06-03 09:37
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 70°F or higher on May 25?	5	$45	60	-60	Yes	-$15	05-23 19:48
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 90°F or higher on May 29?	8	$44	52	-52	Yes	-$8	05-29 15:37
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on May 30?	9	$42	120	-120	Yes	-$78	05-29 17:16
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 23?	9	$41	114	-114	No	+$41	06-23 07:17
Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	4	$41	49	-49	open	—	07-10 07:23
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 3?	10	$41	123	-123	Yes	-$82	06-03 10:03
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C or higher on June 1?	4	$41	111	-111	No	+$41	05-31 21:31
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 74°F or higher on May 26?	5	$41	43	-43	Yes	-$3	05-24 16:33
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 25?	7	$40	108	-108	Yes	-$68	06-24 16:25
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 23?	11	$40	112	-112	Yes	-$72	06-23 07:13
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 22?	2	$39	60	-60	Yes	-$21	06-21 02:40
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 22?	7	$38	57	-57	Yes	-$18	06-22 15:57
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 26?	10	$38	100	-100	Yes	-$62	05-26 09:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-18 06:32:19	Will Hong Kong have between 425-450mm of precipitation in July?	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x5d592c…
07-17 21:21:34	Will Hong Kong have 600mm or more of precipitation in July?	Yes	SELL	16	8¢	$1	0x332f03…
07-17 17:44:46	Will Hong Kong have between 425-450mm of precipitation in July?	Yes	SELL	1	32¢	$0	0x55f061…
07-16 21:19:55	Will Hong Kong have between 525-550mm of precipitation in July?	Yes	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x591819…
07-16 18:38:05	Will Hong Kong have between 450-475mm of precipitation in July?	Yes	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0xf7c2b2…
07-16 10:55:41	Will Hong Kong have between 475-500mm of precipitation in July?	Yes	SELL	25	6¢	$1	0xe77013…
07-16 08:00:19	Will Hong Kong have between 500-525mm of precipitation in July?	Yes	SELL	18	1¢	$0	0xa71fc4…
07-16 07:50:43	Will Hong Kong have between 550-575mm of precipitation in July?	Yes	SELL	18	5¢	$1	0x1cad32…
07-16 05:10:20	Will Hong Kong have between 475-500mm of precipitation in July?	Yes	SELL	15	7¢	$1	0x0b607a…
07-16 05:09:56	Will Hong Kong have between 425-450mm of precipitation in July?	Yes	SELL	12	11¢	$1	0xceb9ee…
07-16 05:07:41	Will Hong Kong have between 475-500mm of precipitation in July?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xb85853…
07-16 05:07:32	Will Hong Kong have between 450-475mm of precipitation in July?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xe9da9e…
07-16 05:07:17	Will Hong Kong have between 425-450mm of precipitation in July?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x04cfc9…
07-16 04:43:08	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Yes	SELL	27	36¢	$10	0x29107d…
07-16 02:51:19	Will Hong Kong have between 400-425mm of precipitation in July?	Yes	SELL	32	8¢	$2	0x254b74…
07-16 00:12:52	Will Hong Kong have between 525-550mm of precipitation in July?	Yes	SELL	15	8¢	$1	0xa682bd…
07-15 23:32:56	Will Hong Kong have between 475-500mm of precipitation in July?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x1eb4a3…
07-15 23:32:56	Will Hong Kong have between 575-600mm of precipitation in July?	Yes	SELL	23	10¢	$2	0x0bc091…
07-15 23:11:14	Will Hong Kong have less than 400mm of precipitation in July?	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x44bf69…
07-15 06:18:40	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0x86ea67…
07-15 06:17:10	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	16	5¢	$1	0x9b93e9…
07-15 06:13:04	Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 27 be between 80 and 83?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x140cd2…
07-15 06:11:34	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x1b27cf…
07-15 01:40:35	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x5fa9c7…
07-15 00:20:31	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	28	9¢	$3	0x4111a7…
07-14 23:25:35	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0xd26829…
07-14 23:01:14	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xdf636c…
07-14 21:12:05	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	11	44¢	$5	0xd16c8a…
07-14 20:17:46	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x713694…
07-14 18:28:29	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xae61c0…
07-14 18:26:55	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x5a2f61…
07-14 17:50:38	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	28	28¢	$8	0x3040bc…
07-14 17:48:38	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x832a44…
07-14 17:36:43	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	3	11¢	$0	0xdfe3f8…
07-14 17:07:41	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	21	6¢	$1	0x65feee…
07-14 13:30:40	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	13	38¢	$5	0x784623…
07-14 12:25:55	Will Hong Kong have between 400-425mm of precipitation in July?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x62116d…
07-14 11:47:53	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	35	19¢	$7	0xc39fa9…
07-14 11:37:34	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or higher on July 15?	Yes	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x1f50f4…
07-14 11:36:20	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	37	6¢	$2	0xa72892…
07-14 10:52:47	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xae5e20…
07-14 09:54:38	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	24	2¢	$0	0xcc4a65…
07-14 09:43:20	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	23	38¢	$9	0xd28605…
07-14 08:54:53	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	15	6¢	$1	0x1497f0…
07-14 08:44:07	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0x257ec0…
07-14 08:43:34	Will Hong Kong have less than 400mm of precipitation in July?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xf55410…
07-14 08:40:59	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C or higher on July 15?	Yes	SELL	9	44¢	$4	0x77c717…
07-14 07:53:05	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or higher on July 15?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x005e3b…
07-14 06:16:37	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	18	0¢	$0	0x7527d6…
07-14 06:14:56	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	7	22¢	$1	0x463731…
07-14 06:04:11	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x237233…
07-14 05:53:35	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C or higher on July 15?	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x00745a…
07-14 05:42:32	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	4	10¢	$0	0x1b8d4c…
07-14 05:36:34	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C or higher on July 15?	Yes	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0xf1e2e0…
07-14 05:35:59	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0xb6749f…
07-14 05:35:59	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	29	33¢	$10	0x5fe257…
07-14 05:33:55	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0xfc30ea…
07-14 04:42:34	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	19	5¢	$1	0xd4f37a…
07-14 04:16:50	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x973e50…
07-14 04:03:59	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x78a6d1…
07-14 03:31:28	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0xf4e8d1…
07-14 03:31:01	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	18	61¢	$11	0x420abe…
07-14 03:30:58	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	21	12¢	$3	0xe8a7b1…
07-14 03:30:16	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on July 14?	Yes	SELL	15	7¢	$1	0x20046f…
07-14 03:21:14	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	19	33¢	$6	0x76d46d…
07-14 03:10:25	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or higher on July 15?	Yes	SELL	27	2¢	$1	0xecb4e6…
07-14 03:05:43	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on July 13?	Yes	SELL	16	6¢	$1	0x179af9…
07-14 03:05:35	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on July 13?	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0x1ae0ca…
07-14 03:05:19	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on July 14?	Yes	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x52b7f6…
07-14 03:00:59	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0x50e824…
07-14 02:58:46	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	7	57¢	$4	0x3867b0…
07-14 02:55:05	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xaa3761…
07-14 02:54:52	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x9a1a3c…
07-14 02:50:10	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on July 14?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0xd7d939…
07-14 02:24:20	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x0a6234…
07-14 02:13:23	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	34	12¢	$4	0x3e1c6c…
07-14 02:06:59	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x30a2fa…
07-14 01:47:23	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	42	2¢	$1	0x422f40…
07-14 01:41:14	Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.8m & 5m square kilometers?	Yes	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x3716c2…
07-14 01:13:35	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	42	0¢	$0	0x04e67b…
07-14 01:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xa9ebdf…
07-13 23:56:44	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	13	35¢	$5	0xd4c85b…
07-13 23:21:35	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on July 14?	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x656e0c…
07-13 23:14:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	18	1¢	$0	0xda634d…
07-13 23:07:43	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	19	2¢	$0	0x300f1f…
07-13 23:04:13	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	44	6¢	$3	0x93c0d8…
07-13 22:31:40	Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.8m & 5m square kilometers?	Yes	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0xbd82be…
07-13 22:02:04	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x110294…
07-13 21:55:17	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0xae51cf…
07-13 21:48:29	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 14?	Yes	SELL	6	44¢	$3	0x0c0662…
07-13 21:27:05	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on July 13?	Yes	SELL	9	62¢	$6	0x21fbd2…
07-13 21:23:44	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on July 13?	Yes	SELL	4	62¢	$2	0x4ee09f…
07-13 21:22:53	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on July 13?	Yes	SELL	16	61¢	$10	0x2ef9ab…
07-13 21:22:28	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on July 13?	Yes	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0x69d2d5…
07-13 20:35:16	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	18	0¢	$0	0xac7bab…
07-13 20:14:02	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x7249f4…
07-13 20:13:13	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on July 14?	Yes	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x6e453d…
07-13 19:52:22	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x8b6b76…
07-13 19:48:44	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0xa96099…
07-13 19:40:01	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x9e5729…