Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$54

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

22.6%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

123

123 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$443

$443 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-10-05

last 10-27 22:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Other

74% 20% -$39

Crypto

21% 40% -$8

Tech

4% 0% -$4

Politics

2% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
over 60m committed to the 1w public sale	Yes		+0	-$1	32¢	$0	+$1	10-16 20:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in October 2026?	8	$85	89	89	+0	No	-$12	10-06 08:40
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	2	$31	41	41	+0	Up	+$1	10-22 01:08
Will MrBeast's next video get between 207 and 215 million views on week 1?	11	$27	46	5	+41	No	-$1	10-09 18:33
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 7?	3	$20	20	20	+0	No	-$1	10-07 01:08
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 8?	5	$18	23	11	+12	Yes	-$1	10-07 19:33
Will OpenRouter process between 165T and 175T tokens the week of October 5?	6	$17	24	24	+0	Yes	-$1	10-07 20:02
Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	4	$17	40	40	+0	Yes	-$4	10-07 16:19
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	3	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	10-22 00:25
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	2	$13	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	10-22 00:43
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on October 7?	3	$13	20	20	+0	No	-$1	10-06 23:27
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 7?	2	$12	20	20	+0	No	-$2	10-07 04:07
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 7?	2	$12	10	10	+0	Yes	$0	10-07 03:00
Will OpenRouter process less than 155T tokens the week of October 5?	2	$11	20	20	+0	No	-$3	10-06 23:16
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on October 7?	3	$10	12	12	+0	Yes	-$1	10-07 08:41
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 8?	3	$10	15	15	+0	No	+$0	10-07 13:29
Will zekken play for Sentinels in 2027?	3	$9	20	20	+0	open	—	10-15 17:36
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 7?	3	$9	10	10	+0	Yes	$0	10-06 14:55
Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 66 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	2	$7	20	20	+0	No	-$6	10-07 16:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	2	$7	18	0	+18	Up	-$7	10-06 09:30
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 7?	2	$7	6	6	+0	Down	$0	10-06 21:38
Will the EU lift its ban on Russian diesel imports by December 31, 2026?	2	$7	19	19	+0	open	—	10-10 03:58
Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in October 2026?	3	$7	6	4	+3	Yes	+$0	10-09 15:43
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	3	$6	7	3	+3	Up	+$0	10-27 22:51
over 60m committed to the 1w public sale	2	$6	20	20	+0	open	—	10-16 20:46
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 175 million views on week 1?	2	$6	13	13	+0	No	-$6	10-07 17:04
will minions and monsters be nominated for best animated feature film at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422	2	$6	20	20	+0	open	—	10-14 14:06
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 8?	2	$5	10	0	+10	No	$0	10-08 07:38
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	1	$5	17	0	+17	Up	-$5	10-22 00:00
will pltr dip to 192 in october 2026 from october 20	2	$5	20	20	+0	Yes	-$1	10-20 18:39
Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 120 and 149 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?	2	$5	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	10-08 20:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 22:51:11	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x072e15…
10-27 22:46:32	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xb8ad83…
10-27 22:46:00	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x856fdc…
10-27 22:42:29	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x4ede58…
10-27 22:36:32	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 27, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	15	12¢	$2	0x07216d…
10-27 22:36:02	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 27, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x43493f…
10-27 22:31:51	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0x0cbcdf…
10-27 22:30:36	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x5d4033…
10-27 22:27:54	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	0	8¢	$0	0x98cd09…
10-27 22:26:00	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xc48336…
10-27 22:01:44	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	15¢	$1	0x8c540c…
10-27 22:00:44	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xe4bd33…
10-27 21:46:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xc23f8e…
10-27 21:41:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xb33368…
10-27 21:40:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x2c36ce…
10-22 01:08:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	41	38¢	$16	0x70c6d2…
10-22 01:00:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	41	37¢	$15	0xd6c7bf…
10-22 00:43:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	98¢	$9	0xc6e5ad…
10-22 00:30:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x6b9328…
10-22 00:25:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x357c0a…
10-22 00:25:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x86f961…
10-22 00:16:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x1fef90…
10-22 00:00:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xe64b2a…
10-21 23:47:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x9c7d9c…
10-20 18:39:56	will pltr dip to 192 in october 2026 from october 20	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x36213e…
10-20 18:39:15	will pltr dip to 192 in october 2026 from october 20	No	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x782f0b…
10-17 06:11:34	Will "The Whisper Man" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xfcba22…
10-16 20:46:36	over 60m committed to the 1w public sale	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x0eb2dc…
10-16 20:37:45	over 60m committed to the 1w public sale	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x772b79…
10-15 17:36:20	Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xfb590c…
10-15 17:36:13	Will zekken play for Sentinels in 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x68c881…
10-15 02:08:29	dwts 35 week 6 elimination julsti	Yes	BUY	19	14¢	$3	0x269155…
10-14 14:06:02	will minions and monsters be nominated for best animated feature film at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x4b37e0…
10-14 14:04:20	will minions and monsters be nominated for best animated feature film at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xb3c20e…
10-12 16:38:47	Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x1268b2…
10-10 06:33:37	Will zekken play for Sentinels in 2027?	Yes	BUY	18	33¢	$6	0x5a0860…
10-10 06:33:37	Will zekken play for Sentinels in 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0x302f52…
10-10 03:58:10	Will the EU lift its ban on Russian diesel imports by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	15¢	$3	0x9a3cd6…
10-10 03:48:27	Will the EU lift its ban on Russian diesel imports by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	20¢	$4	0x811dfd…
10-09 18:33:19	Will MrBeast's next video get between 207 and 215 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x033d4b…
10-09 17:14:08	Will MrBeast's next video get between 207 and 215 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x04e48c…
10-09 17:09:49	Will MrBeast's next video get between 207 and 215 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x4e1a53…
10-09 17:09:35	Will MrBeast's next video get between 207 and 215 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xa9a25b…
10-09 16:58:33	Will MrBeast's next video get between 207 and 215 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x382285…
10-09 16:58:12	Will MrBeast's next video get between 207 and 215 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xa9a5c6…
10-09 16:58:01	Will MrBeast's next video get between 207 and 215 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	1	42¢	$0	0xd7e3dc…
10-09 16:33:07	Will MrBeast's next video get between 207 and 215 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x2c6067…
10-09 16:32:44	Will MrBeast's next video get between 207 and 215 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x646327…
10-09 16:27:46	Will MrBeast's next video get between 207 and 215 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x7be87f…
10-09 16:11:12	Will MrBeast's next video get between 207 and 215 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xf77168…
10-09 15:43:06	Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in October 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0x8cd251…
10-09 15:38:52	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 17.5 and 20 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0x78ed14…
10-09 07:53:21	Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x6945f3…
10-08 23:36:47	Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in October 2026?	No	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xfef853…
10-08 20:36:09	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 17.5 and 20 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0xef4a80…
10-08 20:00:56	Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 120 and 149 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x52cf9a…
10-08 20:00:23	Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 120 and 149 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xee0b8b…
10-08 16:06:11	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 9?	No	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x6f720c…
10-08 15:49:45	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 9?	No	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xd4fca3…
10-08 07:38:58	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x5c79e4…
10-08 07:38:13	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 8?	No	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x42cf3d…
10-08 06:56:13	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xc0f2c1…
10-08 06:55:19	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 8?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x7b965f…
10-08 06:50:13	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #2 US song this week?	No	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0xa5168e…
10-08 01:26:08	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #2 US song this week?	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x40ed52…
10-08 01:26:02	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?	No	SELL	17	2¢	$0	0x74e593…
10-07 20:24:58	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?	No	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x401af8…
10-07 20:24:41	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?	No	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x03b4e5…
10-07 20:24:08	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?	No	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xbe3c94…
10-07 20:02:05	Will OpenRouter process between 165T and 175T tokens the week of October 5?	Yes	SELL	18	34¢	$6	0x93138d…
10-07 19:53:34	Will OpenRouter process between 165T and 175T tokens the week of October 5?	Yes	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xee0a31…
10-07 19:52:41	Will OpenRouter process between 165T and 175T tokens the week of October 5?	Yes	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0x33a483…
10-07 19:47:22	Will OpenRouter process between 165T and 175T tokens the week of October 5?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x7ad0f2…
10-07 19:33:12	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 8?	No	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0x60c880…
10-07 18:10:43	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 8?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xd900d7…
10-07 17:51:28	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x11ee53…
10-07 17:04:49	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 175 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0x578d06…
10-07 16:52:08	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 175 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	13	44¢	$6	0xb7fdfe…
10-07 16:26:49	Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 66 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x0d9c67…
10-07 16:25:41	Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 66 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xe66588…
10-07 16:19:52	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	No	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xf80d4c…
10-07 16:14:13	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x7d7053…
10-07 16:13:25	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	No	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0xd19122…
10-07 16:03:58	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x587736…
10-07 13:29:58	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 8?	No	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0xee19a6…
10-07 13:29:58	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 8?	No	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xc16558…
10-07 13:28:17	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 8?	No	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xdf0647…
10-07 09:00:20	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 8?	No	SELL	11	52¢	$6	0x242cb9…
10-07 09:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 8?	No	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0xab5f44…
10-07 08:41:53	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on October 7?	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x7036ab…
10-07 08:41:08	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on October 7?	Yes	SELL	9	39¢	$4	0x767d50…
10-07 08:40:45	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	12	46¢	$6	0x2c4bc8…
10-07 04:07:23	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 7?	No	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x1d23e4…
10-07 04:06:33	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 7?	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x1bce26…
10-07 03:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 7?	Yes	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0xdfefa2…
10-07 03:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x7a8c69…
10-07 01:08:45	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 7?	Yes	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x68cfad…
10-07 01:05:45	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 7?	Yes	SELL	17	49¢	$8	0xfcfb83…
10-07 01:04:54	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xb1a565…
10-06 23:27:59	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on October 7?	No	SELL	11	31¢	$4	0x8f4e36…