Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.6%

Resolved

117

Trades

124

lifetime

Volume

$209

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-26

last 10-15 13:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Other

83% 51% +$18

Politics

12% 50% -$5

Tech

3% 33% -$4

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	2	$4	11	+11	No	-$1	09-18 00:35
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	09-19 07:10
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	08-14 08:53
will trump say communist or communism during remarks in new york 20260811183234688	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$0	08-13 00:43
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	09-09 17:04
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	1	$2	8	+8	Yes	+$6	09-20 03:12
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	08-15 22:44
Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	09-24 05:49
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-08 07:05
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	08-23 00:47
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	09-09 09:04
spx up or down on september 16 2026	1	$2	7	+7	Down	+$5	09-16 15:27
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-10 09:15
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	09-23 13:49
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	08-17 12:38
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	09-07 22:16
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$2	8	+8	Yes	-$2	09-09 00:47
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	09-07 14:06
will warsh say pandemic during september press conference 20260909	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	09-16 06:31
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	09-19 16:25
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	09-20 21:24
spx up or down on september 24 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Down	+$2	09-23 21:49
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	09-20 11:52
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	+$5	09-11 19:39
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	09-03 08:15
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	09-18 11:59
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	No	+$5	09-18 00:40
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $186 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	09-21 13:38
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $690 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	09-21 05:25
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	09-10 01:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 13:28:01	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xf5f51c…
10-15 05:04:20	will the tesla roadster fly for 1s	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf75f55…
10-14 21:03:52	Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 10% to 12.5%?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xd772f4…
10-10 11:24:09	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x7c0566…
10-10 01:33:29	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x1b95dc…
10-10 01:29:31	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x85696a…
10-09 05:19:17	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x196f50…
10-08 08:14:53	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x38ba90…
10-08 00:12:44	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x477cec…
10-07 16:12:20	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x63b97b…
10-07 08:02:21	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xbe3c61…
10-07 00:01:46	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x1055d0…
10-05 15:58:41	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x4afe2a…
10-03 16:11:02	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xb8c61b…
10-03 06:45:15	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x34b8eb…
10-03 06:00:42	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x9b854f…
10-02 07:42:45	Will there be exactly 2 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of September 28?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x3c9be8…
10-01 23:30:08	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xe5f292…
10-01 13:29:18	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x32903f…
09-30 05:26:32	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xe2dd66…
09-29 21:26:00	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x949b24…
09-28 12:50:24	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.4% in August?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x2c36c5…
09-28 04:50:11	will coin dip to 177 50 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xebf1f8…
09-28 04:50:06	will nvda dip to 216 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x607209…
09-27 20:49:47	Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in September?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x145024…
09-27 10:01:44	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x8254fa…
09-27 01:56:54	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x744ada…
09-26 15:05:18	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x8bfad4…
09-26 07:04:39	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x2c8dfe…
09-25 23:00:11	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on September 30?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x9623ae…
09-25 15:00:03	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xd2191b…
09-25 06:59:56	Will Elon tweet 800-839 times in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x706fe5…
09-25 06:59:50	Will OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 21?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xbfd536…
09-24 22:59:36	will xauusd reach 4300 in september 2026 from september 24	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x13221e…
09-24 14:45:15	Will Costco say "GLP-1" or "GLP 1" during earnings call?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x2997da…
09-24 05:49:47	Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x01097f…
09-24 05:49:44	Will Trump say "Board of Trade" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x4a9485…
09-23 21:49:31	spx up or down on september 24 2026	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x87c473…
09-23 13:49:25	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xeae667…
09-23 05:48:52	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xde5b6c…
09-22 09:40:28	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x1b6132…
09-21 13:38:50	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $186 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xdecb7f…
09-21 05:25:43	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $690 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xcdfafc…
09-20 21:24:49	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x76b69f…
09-20 11:52:51	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x0ca88f…
09-20 03:12:54	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x48f983…
09-19 16:25:38	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x471556…
09-19 07:10:06	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x410d76…
09-18 21:24:45	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x020401…
09-18 11:59:52	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x46b74d…
09-18 00:40:01	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x92d250…
09-18 00:35:13	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xe32caa…
09-17 16:30:13	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xa8a7f2…
09-17 08:00:04	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x2d22f9…
09-16 23:27:55	meta up or down on september 17 2026	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xc346e0…
09-16 15:27:44	spx up or down on september 16 2026	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x4a733a…
09-16 15:15:05	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x180e22…
09-16 06:31:15	will warsh say pandemic during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x0e40fd…
09-15 22:31:00	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x65f210…
09-15 14:12:27	Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?	Yes	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x9d6135…
09-11 19:39:49	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x8b0420…
09-10 09:15:57	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x3795f2…
09-10 01:14:52	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x539531…
09-09 17:04:45	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x672245…
09-09 09:04:21	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x23e9d4…
09-09 00:47:33	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xd81f7c…
09-08 15:24:03	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xde7057…
09-08 07:05:06	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x3321b7…
09-07 22:16:28	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xfc99f2…
09-07 14:06:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x4d8170…
09-03 16:18:13	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x364a6b…
09-03 08:15:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xa4f4fa…
09-02 23:20:40	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xf60bd2…
09-02 14:36:30	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x50b059…
09-01 02:56:48	will tsla dip to 360 by august 31 2026	No	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x88de8f…
08-30 18:54:48	Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 31-September 6?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x2bf05b…
08-29 22:35:33	Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in August?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xe800f7…
08-29 14:25:39	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x98e0cd…
08-29 03:24:37	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x11c8ac…
08-27 06:17:19	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in August?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x548692…
08-26 22:17:06	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x345794…
08-23 00:47:13	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xfccb2d…
08-22 02:16:27	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x17bb7e…
08-21 05:30:03	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in July?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xe00b70…
08-20 21:22:36	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xeb5818…
08-20 13:07:19	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xf30657…
08-17 12:38:42	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xb9265d…
08-17 04:26:58	will googl dip to 345 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x4c49ba…
08-16 20:00:54	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x014584…
08-16 09:51:46	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x88f660…
08-15 22:44:43	Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x5cc3c2…
08-15 13:58:19	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xc2d13f…
08-15 02:05:51	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xbdc437…
08-14 16:55:43	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x733821…
08-14 08:53:10	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xd72e55…
08-14 00:51:49	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in July?	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xfd330d…
08-13 16:50:55	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x385bd9…
08-13 08:45:13	will trump say transgender during remarks in new york 20260811183234693	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xbfe77c…
08-13 00:43:39	will trump say communist or communism during remarks in new york 20260811183234688	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xf82c5b…
08-06 13:14:54	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xce24a9…