Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$710

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

66.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$71

Open exposure

$12

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 11-11 23:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Other

32% 67% -$190

Politics

29% 50% -$249

Tech

18% 67% +$2

Sports

12% 0% -$273

Crypto

9% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No		+7	$7	99¢	$7	$0	11-11 23:24
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	No		+5	$5	95¢	$5	$0	11-11 23:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	2	$394	200	200	+0	Yes	+$4	03-03 19:34
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	1	$253	800	0	+800	Yes	-$253	01-31 08:25
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	1	$190	200	0	+200	No	+$10	01-30 04:03
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$178	200	0	+200	Yes	-$178	02-14 04:12
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	1	$176	200	0	+200	No	+$24	01-30 04:03
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	1	$104	400	0	+400	No	-$104	01-31 08:27
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	03-28 06:00
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	03-28 05:53
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	03-28 06:01
microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	03-28 05:56
will sp 500 spx hit 7100 high in march 2026	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	03-28 05:54
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$99	100	0	+100	No	+$1	03-28 05:53
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1	$80	200	0	+200	Yes	-$80	01-30 03:59
will the government shutdown last 1 day or more 842	1	$78	200	0	+200	Yes	-$78	01-30 04:01
will silver si hit high 140 by end of march	1	$78	78	0	+78	No	+$0	03-28 06:02
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	1	$17	500	0	+500	No	-$17	02-14 04:14
another us government shutdown by february 14	1	$14	100	0	+100	No	-$14	02-14 04:18
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	10-24 18:12
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	09-19 07:58
will xauusd dip to 3400 in august 2026	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	08-14 02:37
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	07-12 04:44
will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	1	$11	200	0	+200	No	-$11	03-28 05:58
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	04-06 07:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-03 07:20
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-07 07:58
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	1	$9	100	0	+100	Yes	-$9	02-14 04:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	1	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	11-11 23:24
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	11-11 23:23
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$3	200	0	+200	No	-$3	01-30 04:00
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	1	$2	200	0	+200	Yes	-$2	03-28 05:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-11 23:24:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x0da1f2…
11-11 23:23:45	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd2dcb7…
10-24 18:12:27	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x43c1ad…
09-19 07:58:46	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x55356f…
08-14 02:37:43	will xauusd dip to 3400 in august 2026	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x525aea…
07-12 04:44:20	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x99f095…
06-07 07:58:40	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa49e02…
05-03 07:20:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x49fdef…
04-06 07:33:27	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6d767e…
03-28 06:02:07	will silver si hit high 140 by end of march	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x01bb05…
03-28 06:01:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x119625…
03-28 06:00:43	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x88c009…
03-28 05:59:33	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	No	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x74fae4…
03-28 05:58:43	will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$11	0x580109…
03-28 05:57:33	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$1	0xa16fec…
03-28 05:56:15	microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xeff4c7…
03-28 05:54:39	will sp 500 spx hit 7100 high in march 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe83fc4…
03-28 05:53:57	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x956f46…
03-28 05:53:33	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xa924d6…
03-03 19:34:25	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	SELL	200	100¢	$199	0x940b4d…
02-14 04:24:37	will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	No	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x4db8bd…
02-14 04:18:39	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0xad26e4…
02-14 04:14:53	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	3¢	$17	0x7f3645…
02-14 04:12:59	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x032214…
02-14 04:11:09	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	200	97¢	$195	0x5a20a0…
01-31 08:27:50	us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	Yes	BUY	400	26¢	$104	0x2e1700…
01-31 08:25:26	will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	No	BUY	800	32¢	$253	0xf28a45…
01-30 04:03:56	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x715bd4…
01-30 04:03:34	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	No	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0xa49684…
01-30 04:01:48	will the government shutdown last 1 day or more 842	No	BUY	200	39¢	$78	0xcb1242…
01-30 04:00:02	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$3	0x1119b2…
01-30 03:59:06	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	200	40¢	$80	0x37d0de…