Fatal-Visit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$829

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 06-12 10:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

63% 100% +$0

Politics

32% — —

Other

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	1	$92	92	0	+92	open	—	02-16 23:50
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	3	$91	1,140	1,140	+0	open	—	02-13 13:19
us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	4	$48	2,796	2,796	+0	open	—	02-17 13:57
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$14	1,030	1,030	+0	open	—	02-13 09:20
ethereum above 1800 on june 7 2026	1	$14	14	0	+14	open	—	06-07 08:33
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 28?	1	$14	14	0	+14	open	—	05-28 11:21
bitcoin above 74k on april 12	1	$14	14	0	+14	open	—	04-12 12:35
bitcoin above 76k on april 11	1	$13	14	0	+14	open	—	04-11 12:10
bitcoin above 76k on april 10	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	04-10 14:36
bitcoin above 74k on april 9	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	04-09 08:36
bitcoin above 72k on april 7	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	04-07 13:13
ethereum above 2300 on april 6	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	04-05 23:26
ethereum above 1900 on april 3	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	04-03 12:57
ethereum above 2400 on april 1	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	04-01 10:00
ethereum above 2200 on march 31	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	03-31 14:21
ethereum above 2300 on march 30	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	03-30 08:54
ethereum above 2200 on march 29	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	03-29 09:36
ethereum above 1900 on march 26	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	03-26 01:39
bitcoin above 76k on march 25	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	03-25 08:00
ethereum above 1800 on march 23	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	03-23 12:39
ethereum above 2300 on march 22	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	03-22 12:08
will bitcoin reach 76k on march 21	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	03-21 14:50
will bitcoin reach 78k on march 20	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	03-20 14:22
will bitcoin reach 76k on march 19	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	03-19 13:43
will bitcoin reach 82k on march 18	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	03-18 12:48
will bitcoin reach 79k on march 15	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	03-15 17:55
bitcoin above 68k on march 16	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	03-16 10:18
bitcoin above 64k on march 13	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	03-13 10:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	05-22 13:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	05-13 12:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 10:33:21	ethereum above 1800 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x42b0ba…
06-07 08:33:51	ethereum above 1800 on june 7 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xf79ac9…
06-04 15:03:07	ethereum above 1900 on june 4 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x49800e…
05-28 11:21:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 28?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x26413d…
05-22 13:45:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x6a5f46…
05-21 10:06:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x89f88c…
05-18 13:25:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x200699…
05-15 13:08:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x45a266…
05-14 11:09:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x74b8b1…
05-13 12:28:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xcdadd3…
05-11 13:32:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa9487b…
05-10 15:14:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6e557e…
05-07 15:04:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa4beb2…
05-04 13:20:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x4e4374…
05-03 13:50:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x93ebde…
04-27 13:56:16	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xa4665f…
04-23 11:39:50	bitcoin above 82k on april 23	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6a1a14…
04-22 13:30:42	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa02f45…
04-21 13:08:14	ethereum above 2500 on april 21	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3f9151…
04-20 14:22:28	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 90 114	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd51168…
04-19 13:06:22	bitcoin above 78k on april 19	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd599cf…
04-16 13:09:18	bitcoin above 78k on april 16	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc06c36…
04-15 08:20:24	bitcoin above 78k on april 15	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb28a70…
04-14 10:56:49	ethereum above 2100 on april 14	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3c73ef…
04-13 13:17:33	bitcoin above 74k on april 13	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xecc20a…
04-12 12:35:09	bitcoin above 74k on april 12	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x36426b…
04-11 12:10:33	bitcoin above 76k on april 11	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0x1f46a5…
04-10 14:36:39	bitcoin above 76k on april 10	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x2d90e3…
04-09 08:36:41	bitcoin above 74k on april 9	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x9e30f2…
04-07 13:13:03	bitcoin above 72k on april 7	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x7f94d9…
04-05 23:26:07	ethereum above 2300 on april 6	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x16ce4d…
04-03 12:57:27	ethereum above 1900 on april 3	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xfbf052…
04-01 10:00:59	ethereum above 2400 on april 1	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xe269d4…
03-31 14:21:29	ethereum above 2200 on march 31	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xa10d4e…
03-30 08:54:06	ethereum above 2300 on march 30	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xff7116…
03-29 09:36:16	ethereum above 2200 on march 29	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x078d46…
03-26 01:39:19	ethereum above 1900 on march 26	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xde62ff…
03-25 08:00:59	bitcoin above 76k on march 25	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x8d2894…
03-23 12:39:05	ethereum above 1800 on march 23	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xc60341…
03-22 12:08:11	ethereum above 2300 on march 22	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x765d48…
03-21 14:50:39	will bitcoin reach 76k on march 21	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x09b600…
03-20 14:22:51	will bitcoin reach 78k on march 20	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x8c9f5a…
03-19 13:43:57	will bitcoin reach 76k on march 19	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x488812…
03-18 12:48:13	will bitcoin reach 82k on march 18	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x02422c…
03-16 10:18:57	bitcoin above 68k on march 16	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x6a4173…
03-15 17:55:03	will bitcoin reach 79k on march 15	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xa02b1e…
03-13 10:01:53	bitcoin above 64k on march 13	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x78cb02…
03-11 10:04:51	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xa56207…
03-01 19:23:25	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	Yes	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xc12e55…
02-22 03:31:54	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x669c5b…
02-21 07:28:30	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x629c3a…
02-18 10:03:44	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	SELL	165	0¢	$0	0xe66634…
02-17 13:57:15	us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	Yes	SELL	2,796	1¢	$22	0x4098d9…
02-17 13:56:51	us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	Yes	BUY	1,916	1¢	$17	0x95d3ad…
02-17 13:56:47	us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	Yes	BUY	747	1¢	$7	0xe7f593…
02-17 13:56:47	us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	Yes	BUY	133	1¢	$1	0xa4a1fe…
02-16 23:50:35	us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x43dd7a…
02-13 14:55:11	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	SELL	53	0¢	$0	0x819fef…
02-13 14:54:59	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	SELL	165	0¢	$0	0x26f03d…
02-13 14:54:29	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	SELL	167	0¢	$1	0x890163…
02-13 14:54:23	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	SELL	165	0¢	$0	0x931be5…
02-13 14:53:59	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	SELL	167	0¢	$1	0x06beeb…
02-13 14:53:53	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	SELL	165	0¢	$0	0x6a2230…
02-13 14:53:21	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	SELL	167	0¢	$1	0x56d635…
02-13 14:53:01	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	SELL	167	0¢	$1	0x486df3…
02-13 14:52:45	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	SELL	167	0¢	$1	0xa3328b…
02-13 14:52:03	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	SELL	168	0¢	$1	0xc28554…
02-13 14:51:35	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	SELL	168	0¢	$1	0xb9bdad…
02-13 14:51:29	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	SELL	131	0¢	$0	0x5a3245…
02-13 13:19:37	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,114	4¢	$41	0x590cb9…
02-13 13:19:09	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	26	4¢	$1	0xd444d0…
02-13 10:28:55	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,140	4¢	$49	0x6c191f…
02-13 09:20:09	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	1,030	1¢	$7	0xb780f8…
02-13 06:26:11	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,030	1¢	$7	0x298ae4…
02-12 13:57:49	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	BUY	2,015	0¢	$6	0xa47db3…