Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.37K

Unrealized P&L

+$39

Hit rate

46.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.40K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$70

Open exposure

$151

1 position

First seen

2026-08-04

last 09-28 03:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

61% 57% -$1,368

Politics

39% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+2,000	$112	8¢	$151	+$39	09-21 22:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	30	$1.9K	1,541	1,541	+0	open	—	08-12 11:02
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?	9	$922	3,900	0	+3,900	Yes	-$922	09-28 03:31
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	4	$742	600	600	+0	No	+$86	09-21 22:20
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	10	$698	500	500	+0	open	—	09-25 13:35
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	2	$615	500	500	+0	open	—	09-19 20:54
Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?	19	$461	5,000	0	+5,000	No	-$461	08-18 23:39
Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?	5	$265	150	150	+0	No	+$11	09-19 20:17
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?	3	$236	150	150	+0	open	—	09-19 20:16
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$168	110	110	+0	Yes	+$50	09-16 18:00
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?	2	$155	100	100	+0	No	+$23	09-19 20:18
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$154	4,200	0	+4,200	No	-$154	09-16 18:02
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	3	$112	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	09-21 22:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-28 03:31:30	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?	No	BUY	89	32¢	$28	0x31edaf…
09-26 12:56:30	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 31	No	BUY	311	24¢	$75	0x9d6eb5…
09-25 13:35:09	Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	102	70¢	$71	0x8dca44…
09-22 09:57:07	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?	No	BUY	446	20¢	$89	0xa94d0b…
09-22 09:57:06	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?	No	BUY	54	20¢	$11	0xfcb56b…
09-21 22:26:06	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 31	No	BUY	1,000	24¢	$240	0x0eb66f…
09-21 22:24:15	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	6¢	$58	0x2c68f6…
09-21 22:23:13	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 31	No	BUY	1,000	24¢	$240	0x5f0975…
09-21 22:21:51	Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	398	70¢	$280	0xbeaea8…
09-21 22:20:43	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	No	SELL	600	69¢	$414	0xa548d9…
09-19 21:12:05	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 31	No	BUY	500	26¢	$129	0xa2c315…
09-19 21:10:59	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	No	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x4adda4…
09-19 20:56:02	Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	69¢	$138	0xc76f9a…
09-19 20:55:12	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	900	5¢	$49	0x1d5fbc…
09-19 20:54:30	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	65¢	$325	0x116464…
09-19 20:21:47	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	No	BUY	300	65¢	$195	0x9bc4df…
09-19 20:18:47	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 31	No	BUY	400	24¢	$96	0xc6a946…
09-19 20:18:02	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?	No	SELL	100	89¢	$89	0xb0b5a0…
09-19 20:17:18	Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	150	92¢	$138	0xc5eafe…
09-19 20:16:00	Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	150	79¢	$118	0xadab7b…
09-17 16:13:18	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 31	No	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0xe05017…
09-17 16:12:43	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	No	BUY	200	34¢	$68	0x672a6f…
09-17 16:09:13	Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0xedba5a…
09-17 16:08:27	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	No	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0xb82f3b…
09-17 15:37:55	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xe03c03…
09-17 15:34:24	Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x079d9c…
09-17 13:00:03	Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	160	67¢	$107	0xc77185…
09-17 07:07:13	Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	67¢	$0	0x3b1e6d…
09-16 18:02:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4,000	0¢	$4	0x51bcef…
09-16 18:00:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	110	99¢	$109	0x4309c1…
09-14 01:06:36	Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	56	84¢	$47	0x4e3d76…
09-13 09:44:09	Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	130	79¢	$103	0x37204b…
09-12 21:31:22	Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	84¢	$12	0x501bff…
09-12 21:23:57	Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0xf2e716…
09-12 14:50:42	Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	33	72¢	$24	0x2da004…
09-12 12:20:06	Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x8b9cd2…
09-12 10:07:40	Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x3fdc42…
09-12 07:32:22	houthis enter aden by december 31 2026	No	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x66d14b…
09-12 07:30:37	houthis enter aden by december 31 2026	No	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0xa279d4…
09-09 15:22:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	110	54¢	$59	0xfc372b…
08-18 23:39:52	Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x6ffe32…
08-18 23:39:33	Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	800	0¢	$1	0x48c69c…
08-18 18:00:52	Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	150	8¢	$12	0x32f239…
08-18 17:56:27	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	58¢	$290	0x0336ad…
08-18 03:22:00	Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	452	8¢	$36	0x60f950…
08-17 07:10:13	Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	45	8¢	$4	0x46a8c5…
08-17 06:46:24	Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0x83fc26…
08-15 04:32:49	Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	63	9¢	$6	0xa1187c…
08-15 03:32:30	Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	77	9¢	$7	0x02ce1c…
08-15 00:31:24	Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x90fe54…
08-15 00:30:19	Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	0	9¢	$0	0x986759…
08-15 00:30:15	Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	260	9¢	$23	0xe4790e…
08-15 00:30:15	Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0x6f4897…
08-15 00:30:15	Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	952	10¢	$95	0x3ad00c…
08-14 16:53:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	75¢	$150	0xcc5fdd…
08-13 00:19:34	Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0xfa7ef0…
08-12 14:06:55	Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x20a747…
08-12 13:58:46	Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	110	13¢	$14	0x262e63…
08-12 13:53:30	Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	300	16¢	$49	0x73a447…
08-12 13:52:34	Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	700	13¢	$91	0x53c0b3…
08-12 13:26:03	Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	840	12¢	$101	0xccb4ee…
08-12 11:02:36	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,541	76¢	$1,171	0xa8e930…
08-12 03:32:04	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xa9ac7f…
08-12 03:32:04	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	45¢	$9	0x2a6595…
08-12 03:32:04	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x0b82cd…
08-12 03:32:04	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x016fb4…
08-12 03:27:22	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	45¢	$38	0xd9a327…
08-11 20:38:10	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	40¢	$24	0x950348…
08-11 20:38:07	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0xd6f209…
08-11 19:31:57	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	130	43¢	$56	0x3c07aa…
08-06 00:37:26	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	42¢	$50	0xf35cb0…
08-05 19:16:29	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	43¢	$22	0x8ad915…
08-05 19:16:27	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xc1317e…
08-05 14:20:23	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	43¢	$6	0xeaa41f…
08-05 14:20:23	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xc62e44…
08-05 14:20:20	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x9e3295…
08-05 14:20:17	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	43¢	$14	0x4aad95…
08-05 11:58:14	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x0a4589…
08-05 11:31:03	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x0f659d…
08-05 11:30:33	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xa638c3…
08-05 11:30:33	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	44¢	$14	0x1e34aa…
08-05 11:30:32	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x128965…
08-04 20:08:00	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xfc9960…
08-04 20:08:00	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x9065cb…
08-04 20:07:59	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xd8cd5a…
08-04 20:07:57	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0xa6272b…
08-04 17:50:14	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	514	49¢	$250	0x5ca293…