Left-Evidence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

44.1%

Resolved

Trades

943

lifetime

Volume

$76.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$81

Open exposure

$145

1 position

First seen

2026-01-13

last 06-14 10:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

54% 100% +$0

Politics

35% 0% $-3

Crypto

9% 50% $-11

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes		+148	$145	98¢	$145	+$0	06-14 10:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	8	$4.7K	2,245	2,536	-291	open	—	02-04 13:42
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	11	$4.2K	2,092	2,382	-290	open	—	02-27 10:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	24	$4.1K	2,617	2,772	-155	open	—	04-29 22:42
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	23	$4.0K	2,137	2,337	-200	open	—	01-29 08:22
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	31	$3.8K	1,899	2,233	-334	open	—	03-06 18:35
highest temperature in shanghai on march 20 2026 14c	31	$3.3K	2,128	1,214	+914	open	—	03-20 08:17
highest temperature in shanghai on march 22 2026 18c	61	$3.2K	2,090	1,176	+914	open	—	03-22 14:22
highest temperature in shanghai on march 23 2026 16c	14	$2.6K	1,293	1,325	-32	open	—	03-23 09:46
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 5 748 625	27	$2.3K	1,340	1,615	-276	open	—	03-05 19:31
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 180 199	1	$2.2K	2,184	0	+2,184	open	—	02-15 10:15
bitcoin above 66k on february 13	7	$1.7K	843	843	+0	open	—	02-13 16:29
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	4	$1.6K	1,267	500	+767	open	—	04-01 02:07
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	5	$1.6K	600	1,030	-430	open	—	05-11 06:56
bitcoin above 80k on february 4	2	$1.6K	785	785	+0	open	—	02-04 15:46
lol blg g2 2026 03 18	9	$1.3K	643	643	+0	open	—	03-18 15:14
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	26	$1.2K	720	780	-60	open	—	05-14 02:17
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	12	$1.1K	600	700	-100	open	—	03-05 12:48
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 21 2026 25c	9	$1.1K	485	615	-130	open	—	03-21 14:42
highest temperature in shanghai on march 15 2026 16c	12	$1.0K	852	195	+656	open	—	03-15 08:34
nba phx mia 2026 01 13	1	$990	1,980	0	+1,980	open	—	01-13 15:12
highest temperature in hong kong on march 21 2026 22c	8	$975	435	550	-115	open	—	03-22 00:51
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	12	$885	500	700	-200	open	—	05-02 03:12
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$884	189	772	-583	open	—	03-30 13:42
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 22 2026 28c	4	$831	416	416	+0	open	—	03-22 12:26
donald trump of truth social posts february 20 february 27 60 79	7	$826	827	0	+827	open	—	02-27 09:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	9	$825	837	0	+837	open	—	04-30 11:49
highest temperature in hong kong on march 22 2026 25c	2	$796	400	400	+0	open	—	03-23 02:35
highest temperature in shanghai on march 22 2026 20c	12	$761	385	385	+0	open	—	03-22 10:12
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	5	$757	240	540	-300	open	—	04-01 01:48
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	5	$752	759	0	+759	open	—	03-23 10:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-19 02:50:55	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	356	100¢	$355	0x0b0c65…
06-19 02:00:44	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	33	97¢	$31	0x9e2947…
06-19 02:00:43	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x1b9d16…
06-19 01:58:28	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x94fe07…
06-19 01:56:10	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x99df00…
06-19 01:48:17	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x336b82…
06-19 01:45:43	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0x070710…
06-19 01:35:49	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	64	93¢	$59	0xe95f8c…
06-14 10:02:21	Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x27fdfb…
06-14 09:58:42	Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0x7ad052…
05-15 07:43:54	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x6f0dd6…
05-15 07:07:06	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	19	98¢	$19	0x8b854e…
05-15 07:03:25	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	16	98¢	$15	0x54947d…
05-15 07:02:12	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xd2e7d4…
05-15 06:59:55	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$11	0xe29c5e…
05-15 06:56:48	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0xa03910…
05-15 01:43:57	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xbdd0e1…
05-15 01:41:43	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x9c3a6c…
05-15 01:41:34	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1	66¢	$0	0x8d5300…
05-14 02:17:55	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xc3e15c…
05-14 01:59:24	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x5ddaeb…
05-13 15:12:46	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	122	96¢	$117	0xb5f87c…
05-13 15:00:14	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	28	96¢	$26	0x7044b3…
05-13 09:18:24	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0xc008e2…
05-13 08:15:22	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xbdb9c1…
05-13 07:55:11	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x1ebb9c…
05-13 07:47:29	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xff593b…
05-13 04:16:28	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	180	97¢	$175	0x8aaa6e…
05-12 12:37:51	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x83af8f…
05-12 12:35:43	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xe69121…
05-12 12:30:23	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0xfddc8d…
05-12 08:47:10	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	339	70¢	$239	0xd4ff1b…
05-12 08:47:10	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0xc5845e…
05-12 08:47:09	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	71	70¢	$50	0xc2823d…
05-12 08:47:09	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	36	70¢	$25	0x39a110…
05-12 07:12:25	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0x209954…
05-12 07:03:13	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0x492a56…
05-12 06:47:21	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x00ce71…
05-12 06:37:30	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xda8053…
05-12 06:34:58	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xfffceb…
05-12 06:33:44	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	27	66¢	$18	0x2d3312…
05-12 06:32:53	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	13	67¢	$8	0xc00ec4…
05-12 06:31:38	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x241509…
05-12 06:29:58	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xa744ae…
05-12 06:28:48	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	200	72¢	$144	0xaf58ed…
05-11 06:56:21	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	SELL	830	100¢	$827	0x3b3895…
05-10 00:43:23	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	SELL	200	96¢	$193	0x18221a…
05-09 19:51:13	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	97¢	$193	0x920725…
05-09 19:37:27	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0x956cf1…
05-09 09:00:50	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	97¢	$193	0x78c442…
05-06 13:24:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	7	50¢	$4	0x764888…
05-06 05:06:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	No	SELL	171	97¢	$167	0xb36528…
05-06 04:58:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	No	SELL	29	97¢	$28	0x1a7ac6…
05-06 02:58:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	7	36¢	$3	0xf85db9…
05-06 00:49:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x758ca2…
05-06 00:17:58	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	200	88¢	$176	0x4509d3…
05-05 13:57:54	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0x960cf9…
05-05 11:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x35ca85…
05-05 11:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x30549f…
05-05 11:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xb7832a…
05-05 11:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x56aba1…
05-05 11:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0x319870…
05-02 03:12:00	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x5c01bf…
05-02 02:24:52	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	45	86¢	$39	0x165ecd…
05-02 02:24:02	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	335	86¢	$288	0x392998…
04-30 11:49:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	166	99¢	$163	0xc55a7c…
04-30 11:41:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x635d23…
04-30 11:35:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7f7281…
04-30 11:31:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x08e4aa…
04-30 11:31:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x24f92c…
04-30 11:31:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x0ba01c…
04-30 11:31:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x42fa1f…
04-30 11:12:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	402	99¢	$397	0x580dd1…
04-30 11:08:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	235	98¢	$231	0x592b7a…
04-29 22:42:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	SELL	598	31¢	$185	0xba2830…
04-29 14:00:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	SELL	199	83¢	$165	0x9d4822…
04-29 14:00:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	SELL	266	83¢	$221	0xd47ab4…
04-27 15:13:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x228817…
04-27 15:12:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	SELL	355	84¢	$298	0xf43c7e…
04-25 00:52:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	104	81¢	$84	0x7a534a…
04-25 00:41:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	154	81¢	$125	0x56e09c…
04-25 00:17:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x9ee2db…
04-24 13:35:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	No	SELL	118	41¢	$48	0xbfeb33…
04-24 11:38:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	No	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0x895797…
04-24 11:38:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	No	BUY	91	40¢	$36	0xd8a477…
04-24 11:31:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0xd67923…
04-23 17:21:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	185	75¢	$139	0xcba9cc…
04-23 17:13:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0xcd1e02…
04-23 17:00:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x2fff6f…
04-23 16:53:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x58bc96…
04-23 12:51:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	200	78¢	$156	0x2e655e…
04-23 12:18:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0xb7aa63…
04-23 12:18:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	40	78¢	$32	0x9fbed0…
04-23 12:04:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	502	78¢	$391	0xb0d31f…
04-23 03:41:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	SELL	498	76¢	$378	0xc2ec8c…
04-23 03:34:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	SELL	498	75¢	$373	0x7f440c…
04-22 15:42:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	SELL	312	78¢	$244	0x0fa14e…
04-22 15:37:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	SELL	40	79¢	$32	0x247e81…
04-22 15:36:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0xf6fb74…
04-22 11:25:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?	No	SELL	103	32¢	$33	0xd71ee4…