Crowded-Enigma — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.1%

Resolved

Trades

173

lifetime

Volume

$19.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$112

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 06-01 07:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

41% 75% $-9

Sports

25% — —

Politics

22% — —

Other

12% 100% +$4

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	4	$3.5K	1,765	1,765	+0	open	—	01-14 12:16
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	8	$1.0K	509	509	+0	open	—	01-30 03:40
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$765	383	383	+0	open	—	02-01 05:51
Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$721	361	361	+0	open	—	01-25 04:05
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$511	256	256	+0	open	—	02-10 11:23
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$466	234	234	+0	open	—	01-25 03:49
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$445	223	223	+0	open	—	01-30 02:57
will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	3	$368	246	123	+123	open	—	03-14 04:09
Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$258	129	129	+0	open	—	02-13 03:34
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$256	128	128	+0	open	—	01-18 06:31
will japan win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$255	128	128	+0	open	—	02-09 11:39
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	2	$243	123	123	+0	open	—	03-03 04:10
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	2	$243	123	123	+0	open	—	03-03 04:52
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	2	$242	124	124	+0	open	—	05-26 08:29
will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	2	$229	115	115	+0	open	—	03-20 12:07
will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	2	$229	115	115	+0	open	—	03-25 08:32
will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	2	$229	115	115	+0	open	—	03-20 12:26
will freecash get paid real money be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 13	1	$129	129	0	+129	open	—	02-13 04:07
ethereum above 1800 on february 11	1	$128	129	0	+129	open	—	02-11 03:58
will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on february 4	1	$128	128	0	+128	open	—	02-04 11:24
will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on february 3	1	$128	128	0	+128	open	—	02-03 12:21
elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 165 189	1	$128	128	0	+128	open	—	02-02 06:53
ethereum above 2800 on february 1	1	$128	128	0	+128	open	—	02-01 05:59
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on february 24	1	$128	128	0	+128	open	—	02-24 08:29
elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 165 189	1	$128	128	0	+128	open	—	02-23 03:19
ethereum above 1800 on february 10	1	$128	128	0	+128	open	—	02-10 11:31
bitcoin above 74k on february 9	1	$127	128	0	+128	open	—	02-09 12:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	1	$125	126	0	+126	No	+$1	05-12 10:02
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	1	$124	124	0	+124	open	—	05-24 12:39
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10?	1	$124	124	0	+124	No	+$0	05-10 08:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 07:32:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x2cb12b…
06-01 07:26:16	Knicks vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x7e8315…
05-31 11:38:39	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xa362cb…
05-31 11:34:45	Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x9d87f7…
05-29 07:29:55	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xdf33ff…
05-29 07:25:20	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x010ff7…
05-28 04:07:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x026c5a…
05-28 03:59:29	Vicenza: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Joel Schwaerzler	Joel Schwaerzler	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x7ecc61…
05-26 08:47:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xb1c639…
05-26 08:33:21	Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox	Atlanta Braves	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x1ec71d…
05-26 08:29:32	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	124	95¢	$118	0x87346e…
05-25 11:27:13	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0x207a99…
05-24 12:39:36	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0xb8597b…
05-22 09:51:02	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $244 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0xb1a9b3…
05-22 09:50:17	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $114 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x72fd7c…
05-21 03:34:34	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0xa38ea1…
05-19 11:37:53	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0xdb8c20…
05-19 10:09:01	Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs	Nuclear TigeRES	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xcfcf5a…
05-18 12:48:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x64fc78…
05-17 12:48:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x507770…
05-15 06:21:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x151a2e…
05-14 12:29:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x56f4e3…
05-14 12:20:44	Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xb22b4e…
05-13 04:16:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	714	1¢	$5	0x57597b…
05-13 04:15:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	423	1¢	$3	0xcd4349…
05-13 04:15:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	152	1¢	$1	0x74f848…
05-13 04:14:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	159	1¢	$1	0x6faa50…
05-12 10:02:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	126	99¢	$125	0x6863f8…
05-11 12:22:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0xbd2cad…
05-10 08:48:53	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0xef4940…
05-09 12:36:21	Valorant: Eintracht Frankfurt vs FOKUS (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Playoffs	FOKUS	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xc56dc5…
05-07 08:33:31	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $275 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xa0d675…
04-30 09:29:04	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0xc33311…
04-29 07:19:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0xdaba7b…
04-28 05:52:48	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0xd18496…
04-27 08:45:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x5638b9…
04-26 11:36:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 26?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$118	0x7c51e5…
04-25 12:23:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 25?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0xfe84e6…
04-25 12:18:28	Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Chicago Cubs	BUY	8	43¢	$3	0x55c9d1…
04-24 12:20:48	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on april 24	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x18b4af…
04-23 12:46:18	bitcoin above 82k on april 23	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x2bc5aa…
04-22 04:03:26	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on april 22	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0xec382a…
04-21 12:51:34	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 21	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x660384…
04-20 07:50:02	ethereum above 2600 on april 20	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0xe335ae…
04-19 11:59:08	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 19	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0xa52436…
04-16 07:22:12	will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on april 16	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0xdcc8bf…
04-15 05:28:16	bitcoin above 70k on april 15	Yes	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x6a8096…
04-14 11:16:09	ethereum above 2200 on april 14	Yes	BUY	122	100¢	$121	0x9ca6b5…
04-13 06:01:13	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on april 13	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0x859bd7…
04-12 12:42:55	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 12	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0xb425d2…
04-10 08:44:35	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 76000 on april 10	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0x563ed4…
04-09 05:55:11	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 9	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0xab36c8…
04-08 11:41:21	bitcoin above 76k on april 8	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x060184…
04-08 09:24:03	atp augeral cilic 2026 04 08	Felix Auger-Aliassime	BUY	8	69¢	$6	0xa7f032…
04-07 12:00:09	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 340 359	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x586138…
04-06 05:31:41	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on april 6	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x5484d9…
04-05 07:57:57	ethereum above 2200 on april 5	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0xcc82c1…
04-04 11:26:59	bitcoin above 64k on april 4	Yes	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x6a0db9…
04-02 05:56:09	bitcoin above 72k on april 2	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x3103b0…
04-01 09:53:05	bitcoin above 64k on april 1	Yes	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x8d46b9…
03-31 09:45:21	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x125a07…
03-30 09:47:38	ethereum above 1800 on march 30	Yes	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0xecf190…
03-29 11:52:06	will ethereum dip to 1600 march 23 29	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x37df7d…
03-28 07:31:23	elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 115 139	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x5ad746…
03-28 07:16:57	ufc mar12 tfortu 2026 03 28	Tyrell Fortune	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xaeff92…
03-27 13:52:57	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 27	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x4d171b…
03-26 14:36:27	bitcoin above 72k on march 26	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xd2d44c…
03-25 08:34:33	ethereum above 1900 on march 25	Yes	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xedb6be…
03-25 08:32:47	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	SELL	115	100¢	$115	0xa9b4b2…
03-25 08:15:37	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xa7cfc3…
03-24 11:45:15	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 440 459	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x0f4859…
03-22 08:53:03	will ethereum dip to 1600 march 16 22	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xbda79e…
03-21 04:13:45	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on march 21	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xafcfec…
03-20 12:32:29	bitcoin above 74k on march 20	No	BUY	115	100¢	$114	0xa9c88d…
03-20 12:26:17	will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	No	SELL	115	100¢	$115	0x1823b5…
03-20 12:08:49	will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x869057…
03-20 12:07:49	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	SELL	115	100¢	$115	0x0103ef…
03-20 10:55:41	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xe7fb55…
03-17 11:32:17	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 320 339	Yes	BUY	775	0¢	$3	0xe2fbd6…
03-17 11:31:35	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on march 17	Yes	BUY	925	0¢	$2	0xf608b0…
03-17 11:30:07	bitcoin above 78k on march 17	Yes	BUY	699	0¢	$3	0xf153d4…
03-16 07:35:33	ethereum above 1900 on march 16	Yes	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x61ee8c…
03-14 04:09:37	will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x706d30…
03-13 06:21:01	ethereum above 1800 on march 13	Yes	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0xe49d8d…
03-10 06:11:55	ethereum above 2300 on march 10	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x48cf96…
03-09 12:07:01	elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 165 189	No	BUY	123	100¢	$122	0x593dc1…
03-09 11:56:01	will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	No	SELL	123	100¢	$122	0x187b85…
03-09 11:33:27	will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x3c4bd9…
03-08 09:42:17	ethereum above 1800 on march 8	Yes	BUY	123	100¢	$122	0x99a8fd…
03-07 12:29:19	elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 165 189	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0xc0c1e5…
03-06 04:27:55	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 6	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0xb24db4…
03-03 04:59:15	bitcoin above 74k on march 3	No	BUY	122	99¢	$121	0x81ae4c…
03-03 04:52:59	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	123	99¢	$121	0xddf26d…
03-03 04:16:07	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	123	99¢	$122	0x5aa567…
03-03 04:10:07	Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	123	99¢	$122	0x629779…
03-03 03:45:03	Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	123	99¢	$122	0x6625ce…
03-02 12:23:17	will the price of ethereum be between 1500 1600 on march 2	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xf43903…
02-28 09:52:09	will bitcoin dip to 45k in february 2026 429 933 793	No	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0x108cae…
02-28 09:38:51	nhl ott tor 2026 02 28	Senators	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xaf0b7e…
02-27 09:59:13	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	119	97¢	$115	0xcb6425…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	67	$257.5K	4,200	05-31 18:21
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	67	$10.8K	6,473	04-16 13:10
Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f	66	$94.6K	1,630	05-26 14:33
(anonymous) 0x90bb…531f	61	$852	2,305	06-04 03:08
Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965	60	$326.3K	2,770	05-28 15:28
Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5	53	$118.7K	949	05-28 03:43
Reasonable-Mover 0x0f62…922e	53	$2.23K	54	05-29 00:12
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	50	$4.35K	1,433	05-30 06:09