Bad-Rally — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$456

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-01

last 05-15 16:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

69% 50% $-1

Other

26% — —

Politics

3% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in q1 2026	1	$100	117	0	+117	open	—	04-01 09:45
btc updown 5m 1775315100	3	$20	31	13	+17	open	—	04-04 15:09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	1	$20	29	0	+29	open	—	04-02 20:01
btc updown 5m 1775640600	2	$20	28	0	+28	open	—	04-08 09:31
btc updown 5m 1775315700	1	$20	23	0	+23	open	—	04-04 15:19
btc updown 5m 1775316000	2	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	04-04 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	3	$18	15	9	+6	open	—	05-14 16:39
btc updown 5m 1775290500	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	04-04 08:19
btc updown 5m 1775847900	1	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	04-10 19:05
trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	1	$10	24	0	+24	open	—	04-07 20:45
btc updown 5m 1775063700	1	$10	33	0	+33	open	—	04-01 17:17
btc updown 5m 1775315400	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	04-04 15:10
btc updown 5m 1775641500	1	$10	23	0	+23	open	—	04-08 09:46
will chatgpt be back in as the 1 free app in the us apple store by april 10	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	04-10 18:57
btc updown 5m 1775642400	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	04-08 10:00
btc updown 5m 1775048100	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	04-01 12:59
btc updown 5m 1775372100	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-05 06:59
btc updown 5m 1775640900	2	$6	32	0	+32	open	—	04-08 09:39
btc updown 5m 1775064300	1	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	04-01 17:25
btc updown 5m 1775847600	2	$6	11	11	+0	open	—	04-10 19:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	open	—	05-14 15:44
btc updown 5m 1775038800	1	$5	500	0	+500	open	—	04-01 10:24
btc updown 5m 1775640300	1	$5	500	0	+500	open	—	04-08 09:29
btc updown 5m 1775848200	1	$5	280	0	+280	open	—	04-10 19:13
btc updown 5m 1775472000	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	04-06 10:40
btc updown 5m 1775290200	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	04-04 08:14
btc updown 5m 1775048700	1	$5	18	0	+18	open	—	04-01 13:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	1	$5	21	0	+21	Up	$-5	05-12 22:51
btc updown 5m 1775316300	1	$5	18	0	+18	open	—	04-04 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$5	05-12 22:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 16:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x0530ec…
05-14 16:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x979b71…
05-14 16:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	89¢	$2	0x5188a0…
05-14 16:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xe0be0b…
05-14 16:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xad5263…
05-14 16:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xdda991…
05-14 16:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x3b5f45…
05-14 16:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x968556…
05-14 16:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	9	93¢	$8	0x6d6066…
05-14 16:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x0aba96…
05-14 15:45:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x4d978b…
05-14 15:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x179be8…
05-14 15:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x496ba6…
05-13 19:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x354f79…
05-12 23:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xac648e…
05-12 22:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x2c5840…
05-12 22:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x1abcb0…
04-11 15:21:17	bitcoin above 74k on april 11	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x73dc88…
04-10 19:13:05	btc updown 5m 1775848200	Down	BUY	280	2¢	$5	0x778dc8…
04-10 19:05:39	btc updown 5m 1775847900	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xa10d00…
04-10 19:03:17	btc updown 5m 1775847600	Down	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0x075719…
04-10 19:00:21	btc updown 5m 1775847600	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xab05f7…
04-10 18:57:59	will chatgpt be back in as the 1 free app in the us apple store by april 10	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x510bff…
04-08 10:00:53	btc updown 5m 1775642400	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x018848…
04-08 09:46:35	btc updown 5m 1775641500	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x3ef8cc…
04-08 09:40:17	btc updown 5m 1775641200	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x8c6bcc…
04-08 09:39:31	btc updown 5m 1775640900	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xc07e6c…
04-08 09:35:21	btc updown 5m 1775640900	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x69856d…
04-08 09:31:11	btc updown 5m 1775640600	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x4ad210…
04-08 09:30:17	btc updown 5m 1775640600	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x8db6e1…
04-08 09:29:43	btc updown 5m 1775640300	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xd86497…
04-08 09:20:41	btc updown 5m 1775640000	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x7f6584…
04-07 20:45:19	trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	No	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x425833…
04-06 20:34:09	btc updown 5m 1775507400	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x6775e4…
04-06 20:23:09	btc updown 5m 1775506800	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xa2d791…
04-06 10:48:13	will trump say pilot or crew or staff 5 times during monday news conference	No	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xe7afd2…
04-06 10:40:13	btc updown 5m 1775472000	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x7f3090…
04-05 06:59:53	btc updown 5m 1775372100	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbdbd69…
04-05 06:52:39	btc updown 5m 1775371800	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xfe935b…
04-04 15:29:17	btc updown 5m 1775316300	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xd69c59…
04-04 15:24:57	btc updown 5m 1775316000	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x6fbe3a…
04-04 15:24:49	btc updown 5m 1775316000	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x0e7d39…
04-04 15:19:11	btc updown 5m 1775315700	Up	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xd7a3c8…
04-04 15:10:45	btc updown 5m 1775315400	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xcf6c44…
04-04 15:09:37	btc updown 5m 1775315100	Down	SELL	13	3¢	$0	0xc153a9…
04-04 15:08:31	btc updown 5m 1775315100	Up	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x447388…
04-04 15:07:43	btc updown 5m 1775315100	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x641696…
04-04 08:19:13	btc updown 5m 1775290500	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xbe4f9a…
04-04 08:14:33	btc updown 5m 1775290200	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x03b6f5…
04-02 20:01:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0xfaa1fe…
04-01 17:25:29	btc updown 5m 1775064300	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x1bd8f8…
04-01 17:17:55	btc updown 5m 1775063700	Down	BUY	33	31¢	$10	0x50f685…
04-01 17:14:27	btc updown 5m 1775063400	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1a93db…
04-01 13:21:47	btc updown 5m 1775049600	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x2a994c…
04-01 13:06:45	btc updown 5m 1775048700	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x575b5d…
04-01 12:59:45	btc updown 5m 1775048100	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x340157…
04-01 11:13:27	btc updown 5m 1775041800	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xf0bd98…
04-01 11:03:09	btc updown 5m 1775041200	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x452782…
04-01 10:51:51	btc updown 5m 1775040600	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xd1e27f…
04-01 10:24:39	btc updown 5m 1775038800	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x04a228…
04-01 09:45:47	will tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in q1 2026	Yes	BUY	117	85¢	$100	0xe40820…