Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$407

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

84.8%

Resolved

211

Trades

303

lifetime

Volume

$5.43K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-10

last 09-30 05:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Other

84% 68% -$407

Tech

13% 100% +$2

Sports

2% 100% +$0

Crypto

1% 75% -$4

Politics

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes		+10	$2	2¢	$0	-$2	04-30 12:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 25, 2026?	3	$692	356	356	+0	No	+$2	09-22 21:02
will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	23	$630	401	400	+1	No	+$55	08-16 15:19
Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	2	$521	529	0	+529	No	+$8	09-11 21:45
Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	3	$486	502	0	+502	No	+$15	09-17 14:49
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	4	$460	309	161	+148	No	+$6	09-03 11:24
Will the biggest earthquake on September 30, 2026 be under 5.3?	3	$410	410	400	+10	No	-$384	09-30 05:20
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?	26	$189	456	455	+1	Yes	-$50	08-16 15:19
Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	1	$179	185	0	+185	No	+$6	09-03 11:38
Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	1	$154	154	0	+154	No	+$0	09-28 05:33
Will the biggest earthquake on September 28, 2026 be 5.7 to 5.8?	2	$149	155	0	+155	No	+$6	09-29 00:29
Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	3	$113	116	0	+116	No	+$3	09-05 14:34
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	3	$91	158	70	+88	No	-$1	08-27 23:47
Will the biggest earthquake on September 28, 2026 be under 5.3?	2	$78	81	0	+81	No	+$3	09-28 06:01
Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	1	$75	75	0	+75	Yes	+$0	09-07 06:56
Will the biggest earthquake on September 28, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4?	5	$68	90	40	+50	Yes	+$17	09-29 05:10
Will the biggest earthquake on September 30, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?	1	$67	80	0	+80	Yes	-$67	09-30 05:06
Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	3	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	08-15 01:40
Will the biggest earthquake on September 30, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4?	1	$51	60	0	+60	No	+$9	09-30 05:07
Will the biggest earthquake on September 27, 2026 be 6.1 or more?	1	$49	50	0	+50	No	+$1	09-27 21:14
Will the biggest earthquake on September 29, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4?	3	$43	56	5	+51	No	+$7	09-29 19:20
Will the biggest earthquake on September 28, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	09-29 17:24
Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	09-28 12:11
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	4	$21	15	15	+0	No	+$1	09-19 23:20
trump renames ai by september 30	4	$18	25	25	+0	Yes	+$1	09-28 13:15
Will the biggest earthquake on September 30, 2026 be 5.7 to 5.8?	1	$17	20	0	+20	No	+$3	09-30 05:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4AM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	09-09 08:08
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	2	$12	8	8	+0	Yes	+$0	09-25 04:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 10?	4	$12	10	10	+0	No	+$0	09-10 00:10
dota2 pari heroic 2026 04 19 game2 first blood	2	$10	10	0	+10	PARIVISION	-$5	04-19 18:02
ucl atm1 bru 2026 02 24 draw	2	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-11 12:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-30 05:20:53	Will the biggest earthquake on September 30, 2026 be under 5.3?	Yes	SELL	400	2¢	$8	0xe9bbff…
09-30 05:14:09	Will the biggest earthquake on September 30, 2026 be under 5.3?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x491572…
09-30 05:08:54	Will the biggest earthquake on September 30, 2026 be under 5.3?	Yes	BUY	400	98¢	$392	0x293b31…
09-30 05:07:08	Will the biggest earthquake on September 30, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4?	No	BUY	60	84¢	$51	0x6c464f…
09-30 05:06:45	Will the biggest earthquake on September 30, 2026 be 5.7 to 5.8?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xf33a8e…
09-30 05:06:35	Will the biggest earthquake on September 30, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?	No	BUY	80	84¢	$67	0x16b30b…
09-29 19:20:41	Will the biggest earthquake on September 29, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x9ea680…
09-29 17:24:27	Will the biggest earthquake on September 28, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x968229…
09-29 14:43:27	Will the biggest earthquake on September 29, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?	Yes	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0x721ce7…
09-29 13:42:30	Will the biggest earthquake on September 29, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x04582f…
09-29 13:41:08	Will the biggest earthquake on September 29, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4?	No	BUY	51	82¢	$42	0x82bb2b…
09-29 13:05:33	Will the biggest earthquake on September 29, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xe85dc0…
09-29 05:10:59	Will the biggest earthquake on September 28, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2a9c78…
09-29 00:29:39	Will the biggest earthquake on September 28, 2026 be 5.7 to 5.8?	No	BUY	120	98¢	$118	0x66186b…
09-28 23:48:26	Will the biggest earthquake on September 28, 2026 be 5.7 to 5.8?	No	BUY	35	89¢	$31	0x665340…
09-28 23:46:54	Will the biggest earthquake on September 28, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4?	Yes	BUY	30	79¢	$24	0xf0d4ff…
09-28 15:31:41	Will the biggest earthquake on September 28, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4?	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xc52daf…
09-28 13:15:21	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0x256cb3…
09-28 12:55:24	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xf64c06…
09-28 12:11:02	Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xf09f8d…
09-28 11:08:39	Will the biggest earthquake on September 28, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4?	No	SELL	40	44¢	$18	0xd6ac58…
09-28 10:33:02	Will the biggest earthquake on September 28, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4?	No	BUY	40	28¢	$11	0xd03e07…
09-28 10:30:35	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	SELL	15	40¢	$6	0x4182eb…
09-28 06:14:32	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	BUY	15	28¢	$4	0xbd9836…
09-28 06:01:47	Will the biggest earthquake on September 28, 2026 be under 5.3?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xf2ff8d…
09-28 05:33:24	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	154	100¢	$154	0x1f4d6e…
09-28 05:29:27	Will the biggest earthquake on September 28, 2026 be under 5.3?	No	BUY	41	95¢	$39	0x86b3aa…
09-27 21:14:02	Will the biggest earthquake on September 27, 2026 be 6.1 or more?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xcc3472…
09-25 04:49:51	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0xde365b…
09-25 01:12:32	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0xb2d9f5…
09-22 21:02:10	Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 25, 2026?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xe8dbe4…
09-22 20:58:30	Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 25, 2026?	No	SELL	352	98¢	$343	0x23a51b…
09-22 19:59:51	Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	356	97¢	$345	0x30eeb4…
09-19 23:20:06	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0x324bac…
09-19 22:47:57	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x3dc57a…
09-18 20:40:03	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x38a5a7…
09-18 16:56:42	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x91a49a…
09-17 14:49:36	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xa63a57…
09-17 14:43:55	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xd5ef94…
09-17 14:42:00	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	352	97¢	$341	0xe57752…
09-11 21:45:01	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	225	98¢	$220	0x1c9a7c…
09-11 21:44:04	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	304	99¢	$301	0xfddebd…
09-10 00:10:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 10?	Yes	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xea68e5…
09-10 00:02:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 10?	Yes	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xcdb91a…
09-09 21:36:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	58¢	$4	0xc35ed3…
09-09 21:34:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 10?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xddb38f…
09-09 08:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0xe078c8…
09-09 08:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x44438e…
09-07 06:56:54	Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x430ce7…
09-05 14:34:01	Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x062848…
09-05 14:21:15	Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xd79db7…
09-05 14:19:31	Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	82	97¢	$79	0xde1216…
09-03 11:38:16	Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	185	97¢	$179	0x144983…
09-03 11:24:00	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	161	99¢	$159	0xa1fe82…
09-03 11:23:52	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	148	99¢	$146	0x64bcd0…
09-03 06:54:51	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	61	96¢	$58	0xcaf314…
08-27 23:47:36	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	88	97¢	$86	0xe2d7e0…
08-27 21:23:42	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	70	1¢	$1	0x610c7d…
08-27 21:22:24	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	70	6¢	$4	0xa0534a…
08-16 15:19:12	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	SELL	83	86¢	$71	0x4a0c6d…
08-16 15:19:12	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	83	14¢	$12	0x30790a…
08-16 15:18:55	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	29	15¢	$4	0x5f441b…
08-16 15:18:55	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	SELL	29	86¢	$25	0x166127…
08-16 15:18:24	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	SELL	283	86¢	$243	0x82e9ac…
08-16 15:18:22	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	283	15¢	$42	0xf560f5…
08-15 14:18:01	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	15¢	$8	0x1e36d4…
08-15 14:17:57	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x1aa4d9…
08-15 13:44:58	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0xc6d01b…
08-15 13:44:58	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	BUY	25	83¢	$21	0x5618c3…
08-15 11:27:55	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	21¢	$5	0xa9e4cc…
08-15 11:27:54	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	BUY	25	78¢	$20	0xe95fb1…
08-15 11:26:58	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	BUY	40	78¢	$31	0xdcb4fa…
08-15 11:26:58	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	21¢	$8	0xd762e3…
08-15 03:11:33	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	BUY	35	76¢	$27	0xef8003…
08-15 03:11:33	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	35	23¢	$8	0x0800a0…
08-15 03:11:09	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0xd8690f…
08-15 03:11:07	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0xb659f2…
08-15 01:40:33	Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xf7ea91…
08-15 01:20:15	Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x9564e5…
08-15 00:41:36	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0x5b93cf…
08-15 00:41:34	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	51	26¢	$13	0x4fc340…
08-14 23:45:45	Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x437715…
08-14 23:11:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 23:10 UTC	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x6f37f0…
08-14 08:18:19	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xee3a74…
08-14 08:18:19	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x742599…
08-14 08:18:06	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	45	25¢	$11	0x96f20a…
08-14 08:18:06	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	BUY	45	73¢	$33	0x82a71d…
08-12 01:46:36	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xdf3c8a…
08-12 01:46:36	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x359cb6…
08-12 01:12:04	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x6820a8…
08-12 01:12:04	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x088e12…
08-12 00:42:24	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x886613…
08-12 00:42:24	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x808b92…
08-12 00:20:28	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x37b968…
08-12 00:20:28	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x05894e…
08-11 23:56:25	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x982f8d…
08-11 23:56:25	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x780e91…
08-11 23:51:58	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	37¢	$6	0xe3199f…
08-11 23:51:57	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0xd90c02…
08-11 23:42:03	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x771d74…