Waterlogged-Bread — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$58

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

93.8%

Resolved

Trades

113

lifetime

Volume

$1.41K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

5 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 16:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 96% $-58

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	+2	$2	99¢	$2	+$0	05-05 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	+2	$2	99¢	$2	+$0	05-05 16:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	+2	$2	98¢	$2	$-0	05-05 16:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	+2	$2	57¢	$1	$-1	05-05 16:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	+2	$2	54¢	$1	$-1	05-05 16:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	1	$20	21	+21	Up	+$1	05-04 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	1	$20	21	+21	Up	+$1	05-04 21:59
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Up	+$0	05-05 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Down	+$0	05-04 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Down	+$0	05-04 21:44
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Down	+$0	05-04 23:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Down	+$0	05-04 22:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Down	+$0	05-05 00:29
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Down	+$0	05-04 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Down	+$0	05-05 00:39
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Down	+$0	05-05 00:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Up	+$0	05-04 23:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Up	+$0	05-04 22:14
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Up	+$0	05-04 22:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Up	+$0	05-04 23:14
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Up	$-20	05-05 00:44
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Down	+$0	05-05 00:49
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Down	+$0	05-04 21:44
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Down	+$0	05-04 20:39
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Up	+$0	05-04 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Down	+$0	05-04 21:19
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Up	+$0	05-04 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Up	+$0	05-04 23:29
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Up	+$0	05-04 22:14
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Down	+$0	05-04 21:19
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Up	$-20	05-04 23:19
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Up	+$0	05-05 00:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Down	+$0	05-04 21:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Up	+$0	05-05 00:14
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Up	+$0	05-05 00:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 16:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x96d4cd…
05-05 16:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb6866b…
05-05 16:19:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x881566…
05-05 16:09:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x716f2b…
05-05 16:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4c0d43…
05-05 15:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x1a299b…
05-05 15:29:54	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x513b15…
05-05 15:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x431681…
05-05 15:19:54	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x1fdc37…
05-05 15:09:54	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe14744…
05-05 15:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xb98955…
05-05 15:04:52	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbdf2d6…
05-05 14:59:54	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x345648…
05-05 14:59:54	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd28bfa…
05-05 14:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8a4070…
05-05 14:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x84e3ef…
05-05 14:44:54	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x34f448…
05-05 14:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x1cb839…
05-05 14:44:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9b90dc…
05-05 14:24:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb51258…
05-05 06:15:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x18511f…
05-05 06:00:00	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xbf9e6e…
05-05 05:59:50	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x16a5e2…
05-05 05:59:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x80a20e…
05-05 05:40:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x3d66d4…
05-05 05:35:00	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xa0aec8…
05-05 05:19:50	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x060d63…
05-05 05:09:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe2c275…
05-05 05:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x342515…
05-05 04:44:54	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xbe5b31…
05-05 04:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x955451…
05-05 04:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe5390c…
05-05 04:44:50	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xffabd1…
05-05 04:44:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x09d6e1…
05-05 04:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xc191ac…
05-05 04:34:56	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x139fdc…
05-05 04:09:52	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xdf77aa…
05-05 03:50:00	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x33fcfa…
05-05 03:45:00	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x648cf5…
05-05 03:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x5db8b6…
05-05 03:34:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x570cbb…
05-05 03:34:58	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x327ab0…
05-05 03:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x7e9eae…
05-05 03:30:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x1f3e6b…
05-05 03:24:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x5ce1e8…
05-05 03:09:50	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x387777…
05-05 03:09:48	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x949be9…
05-05 02:45:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xfe71ab…
05-05 02:44:48	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xfddfef…
05-05 02:35:02	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x16cac3…
05-05 02:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xaebe10…
05-05 02:25:02	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x3d2c3d…
05-05 00:49:50	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xc45b03…
05-05 00:49:50	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x7a5a26…
05-05 00:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8b6bd1…
05-05 00:44:52	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x88598a…
05-05 00:44:50	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x2bfe4c…
05-05 00:39:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xbc61fc…
05-05 00:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x5fd136…
05-05 00:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x551c23…
05-05 00:29:50	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xeeee8b…
05-05 00:29:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x0c551d…
05-05 00:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x992a57…
05-05 00:19:50	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4ebc4e…
05-05 00:19:50	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x721f20…
05-05 00:14:52	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x2bea9d…
05-05 00:14:50	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x5b774b…
05-05 00:14:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x178fec…
05-05 00:04:50	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd8233f…
05-04 23:54:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xc644f1…
05-04 23:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xb0aac3…
05-04 23:49:50	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x01f5ff…
05-04 23:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf12bef…
05-04 23:44:52	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x5a67ff…
05-04 23:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x0f6f22…
05-04 23:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x6c3c14…
05-04 23:24:50	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xcdd643…
05-04 23:24:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x65604e…
05-04 23:19:56	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe2d64d…
05-04 23:19:50	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xdffaf9…
05-04 23:14:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x032ec4…
05-04 23:04:50	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x5eee94…
05-04 22:44:50	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x59c7f6…
05-04 22:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xf8fd42…
05-04 22:39:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf9b323…
05-04 22:34:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x252b68…
05-04 22:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x591cd6…
05-04 22:14:50	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x7c4e97…
05-04 22:14:50	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x827773…
05-04 22:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xdf8bf2…
05-04 22:14:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x792b91…
05-04 22:09:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x0e7c12…
05-04 21:59:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x6f1242…
05-04 21:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x0a301e…
05-04 21:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x0e8272…
05-04 21:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xbb7f4c…
05-04 21:49:48	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x0d1f14…
05-04 21:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x153c9d…
05-04 21:44:52	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x7c58a7…
05-04 21:39:52	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4de5e5…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Huge-Tic 0x1058…fd57	105	$1.32K	105	05-05 16:29
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	44	$932	96	05-05 16:27
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	42	$5.34K	140	05-05 16:24
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	39	$5.06K	218	05-05 16:29
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	35	$554	148	05-05 16:29
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	33	$696	67	05-05 16:29
Stiff-Radiator 0x9919…0a5d	33	$578	43	05-05 16:29
Slow-Minute 0xdf0d…9f79	25	$22.2K	28	05-05 16:09