Tempting-Fairy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

36.7%

Resolved

Trades

136

lifetime

Volume

$12.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$93

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-25 13:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 65 days

Categories

Other

45% 0% -$3

Crypto

45% 92% +$11

Politics

8% 0% $0

Sports

2% 0% $0

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	6	$544	273	273	+0	No	$0	01-22 04:24
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	4	$381	192	192	+0	No	$0	03-01 03:58
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	4	$351	177	177	+0	No	$0	01-07 13:15
bitcoin above 74k on february 10	3	$288	192	96	+96	No	$0	02-10 11:27
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 140 159	2	$192	96	96	+0	No	$0	03-28 10:58
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?	2	$192	96	96	+0	No	$0	06-17 13:22
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$192	96	96	+0	No	$0	07-06 04:08
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$192	96	96	+0	No	$0	04-23 08:53
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	2	$192	96	96	+0	No	$0	06-28 06:19
Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	2	$192	96	96	+0	open	—	07-17 10:03
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	2	$192	96	96	+0	open	—	09-29 13:20
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$192	96	96	+0	No	$0	04-28 05:27
will the next dutch government be another combination	2	$192	96	96	+0	No	$0	02-10 11:25
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 340 359	2	$192	96	96	+0	No	$0	04-07 03:08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	2	$192	96	96	+0	No	$0	05-13 06:07
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$192	96	96	+0	No	$0	05-26 12:43
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 580plus	2	$192	96	96	+0	No	$0	03-06 13:23
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 120 139	2	$192	96	96	+0	No	$0	03-15 10:53
elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 215 239	2	$192	96	96	+0	No	$0	03-22 09:18
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 215 239	2	$192	96	96	+0	No	$0	03-17 10:37
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 100 119	2	$192	96	96	+0	No	$0	03-12 07:38
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 80 99	2	$192	96	96	+0	No	$0	03-09 05:43
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 160 179	2	$192	96	96	+0	No	$0	03-18 09:29
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	2	$192	96	96	+0	open	—	10-25 13:47
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	2	$192	96	96	+0	No	$0	02-06 14:40
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$192	96	96	+0	No	$0	04-13 12:41
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 180 199	2	$192	96	96	+0	No	$0	02-05 10:40
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$192	96	96	+0	No	$0	03-27 07:18
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 160 179	2	$192	96	96	+0	No	$0	02-04 09:07
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$191	96	96	+0	No	$0	03-31 09:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 13:47:36	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xffa225…
10-25 13:47:02	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0x7dc195…
10-25 13:46:50	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x019b1d…
09-29 13:23:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 29?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xc902f1…
09-29 13:20:29	Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0x595c00…
09-29 13:20:12	Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xb12ddb…
07-17 10:04:31	bitcoin above 66k on july 17 2026	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x401a0a…
07-17 10:03:43	Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0x444c7b…
07-17 10:03:33	Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x0612e9…
07-06 04:09:07	bitcoin above 58k on july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xfc58ac…
07-06 04:08:43	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0xa1bee7…
07-06 04:08:37	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xa25785…
06-28 06:22:46	bitcoin above 64k on june 28 2026	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xd44896…
06-28 06:19:11	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0x1b6d03…
06-28 06:19:02	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x8688ea…
06-17 13:24:41	bitcoin above 68k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x5b1b8b…
06-17 13:22:55	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?	No	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0x8b1840…
06-17 13:22:40	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xbca6bf…
05-26 12:45:30	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xdaeec7…
05-26 12:43:43	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0x2139e6…
05-26 12:43:39	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x2ebc6f…
05-19 07:23:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xf792bf…
05-19 07:22:11	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	96	99¢	$95	0x4df5c9…
05-19 07:21:52	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	96	99¢	$95	0xc30fe8…
05-13 06:08:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x3a6e91…
05-13 06:07:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0xf8ec4a…
05-13 06:06:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x7d3791…
04-28 05:27:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x061221…
04-28 05:27:14	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0x536338…
04-28 05:27:06	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x651961…
04-24 13:33:34	bitcoin above 74k on april 24	Yes	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x0bbfce…
04-23 08:54:46	bitcoin above 70k on april 23	Yes	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xecc443…
04-23 08:53:58	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0xa77556…
04-23 08:53:52	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xec3b20…
04-19 15:27:50	will bitcoin reach 82k on april 19	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xb6f9f9…
04-13 12:41:21	bitcoin above 66k on april 13	Yes	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xb9d7c9…
04-13 12:41:03	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0x8bccb0…
04-13 12:40:57	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xd5f8c6…
04-07 03:09:05	bitcoin above 60k on april 7	Yes	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x2a7be2…
04-07 03:08:41	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 340 359	No	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0x6f4467…
04-07 03:08:27	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 340 359	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x26df56…
03-31 09:29:51	will bitcoin reach 74k on march 31	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x36fb26…
03-31 09:29:31	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	96	99¢	$96	0xa79165…
03-31 09:29:25	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	96	99¢	$96	0xf8513e…
03-28 11:01:21	will bitcoin reach 74k on march 28	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x55ebfd…
03-28 10:58:23	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 140 159	No	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0x7e97a3…
03-28 10:58:17	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 140 159	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x579448…
03-27 07:18:29	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 27	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xd7c2f5…
03-27 07:18:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	96	99¢	$96	0xafea13…
03-27 07:17:35	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x6c3982…
03-25 08:02:49	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 25	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x5d8fbb…
03-22 09:19:25	will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 22	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x0c9c87…
03-22 09:18:17	elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 215 239	No	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0x9a02dd…
03-22 09:18:09	elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 215 239	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x65be32…
03-18 09:29:57	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on march 18	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xb8758b…
03-18 09:29:37	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 160 179	No	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0xbf08d6…
03-18 09:29:27	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 160 179	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xf32f24…
03-17 10:37:57	bitcoin above 80k on march 17	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x396c8a…
03-17 10:37:27	elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 215 239	No	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0x2f5220…
03-17 10:37:19	elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 215 239	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xc4eb0a…
03-15 10:54:17	will bitcoin dip to 64k march 9 15	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x472927…
03-15 10:53:37	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 120 139	No	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0xf86ae5…
03-15 10:53:31	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 120 139	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x979a15…
03-12 07:45:35	bitcoin above 62k on march 12	Yes	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xe32652…
03-12 07:38:55	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 100 119	No	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0xbe2153…
03-12 07:38:47	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 100 119	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x327dd7…
03-09 05:43:55	will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on march 9	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xd67104…
03-09 05:43:05	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 80 99	No	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0x195fa1…
03-09 05:42:59	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 80 99	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x9c7ca6…
03-06 13:24:11	bitcoin above 64k on march 6	Yes	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x2b4a02…
03-06 13:23:17	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 580plus	No	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0x9c24c7…
03-06 13:23:11	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 580plus	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xd43dca…
03-02 10:50:51	will the price of bitcoin be between 56000 58000 on march 2	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x69c085…
03-02 10:50:21	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0x71b8dd…
03-02 10:50:13	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x7bf8e2…
03-01 03:59:59	bitcoin above 74k on march 1	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xafb10f…
03-01 03:58:53	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	96	99¢	$96	0x1fb91a…
03-01 03:58:43	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xfc9b45…
02-10 11:27:43	bitcoin above 74k on february 10	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x7136cc…
02-10 11:27:23	bitcoin above 74k on february 10	No	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0x3ae60a…
02-10 11:27:05	bitcoin above 74k on february 10	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x519f8c…
02-10 11:25:49	will the next dutch government be another combination	No	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0x5ff2c9…
02-10 11:25:35	will the next dutch government be another combination	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xd0db15…
02-06 14:41:07	bitcoin above 76k on february 6	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xe84e3f…
02-06 14:40:19	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0xa9a638…
02-06 14:40:11	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x68c593…
02-05 10:40:53	bitcoin above 78k on february 5	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x7845be…
02-05 10:40:19	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 180 199	No	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0x9df77e…
02-05 10:40:09	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 180 199	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x9ba545…
02-04 09:07:28	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on february 4	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xf912fa…
02-04 09:07:10	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 160 179	No	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0xbac4ed…
02-04 09:06:52	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 160 179	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xc504fe…
02-03 13:13:12	bitcoin above 84k on february 3	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x055e08…
02-03 13:12:28	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	96	99¢	$95	0x64887e…
02-03 13:12:06	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	96	99¢	$95	0xea689e…
02-02 13:46:58	bitcoin above 84k on february 2	No	BUY	96	100¢	$95	0xa95ce8…
02-02 13:46:24	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 700 719	No	SELL	96	100¢	$95	0x80e95c…
02-02 13:46:16	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 700 719	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x6fdb6d…
01-31 07:15:32	bitcoin above 88k on january 31	No	BUY	96	100¢	$95	0x1259c2…
01-31 07:13:12	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 240 259	No	SELL	96	100¢	$95	0x589aa2…