Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.18K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

38.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,411

lifetime

Volume

$165.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$117

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 09-20 12:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Other

62% 38% -$2,334

Politics

36% 47% +$384

Crypto

2% 33% -$225

Tech

1% 0% -$4

Sports

0% 0% —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	538	$30.8K	31,806	31,805	+1	No	-$222	07-23 02:51
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	144	$22.2K	28,561	27,741	+820	Yes	+$645	03-29 23:04
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	86	$20.8K	21,275	19,017	+2,258	No	-$1,217	07-24 15:49
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	24	$9.0K	9,874	9,874	+0	No	-$22	08-29 18:54
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	13	$5.0K	4,898	4,898	+0	Yes	+$19	06-14 08:16
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	30	$4.8K	5,214	5,214	+0	Yes	+$37	04-12 10:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	22	$4.6K	6,527	6,527	+0	No	-$12	05-31 04:36
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	10	$3.5K	1,897	2,466	-569	No	-$2	04-14 23:33
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	10	$3.1K	2,403	2,403	+0	No	-$5	07-29 07:42
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	19	$2.8K	3,234	3,234	+0	open	—	07-23 04:38
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	13	$2.7K	2,312	2,312	+0	No	-$4	05-14 12:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	10	$2.5K	2,400	2,400	+0	Yes	$0	06-14 18:40
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	11	$2.5K	5,000	4,809	+191	Yes	+$2	04-30 21:09
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 1?	6	$2.4K	3,344	1,922	+1,422	Down	-$618	05-01 11:18
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	18	$2.3K	4,300	4,300	+0	No	+$16	05-31 17:12
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	13	$2.2K	2,270	2,270	-0	No	+$16	03-24 14:36
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	8	$2.2K	2,478	2,478	+0	No	-$2	06-08 14:35
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	16	$2.1K	3,030	3,030	+0	Yes	-$272	04-25 20:10
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	25	$2.1K	5,591	5,591	+0	No	+$87	04-25 14:11
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	55	$2.1K	2,067	2,267	-200	Yes	+$81	03-13 08:36
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	8	$1.8K	12,500	12,500	+0	No	+$56	05-29 06:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	34	$1.7K	1,598	1,598	+0	Yes	$0	05-28 03:42
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	14	$1.7K	1,399	1,165	+234	No	+$48	05-12 08:45
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	18	$1.7K	1,887	1,887	+0	Yes	+$50	04-27 09:29
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	5	$1.6K	913	913	+0	open	—	09-20 12:20
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?	2	$1.5K	800	800	+0	Yes	-$2	09-20 01:10
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	5	$1.5K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	09-19 15:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	6	$1.5K	5,942	4,279	+1,663	No	-$359	04-22 05:26
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	4	$1.5K	808	808	+0	No	+$14	04-18 00:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	4	$1.4K	3,239	3,239	+0	No	+$41	06-12 14:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-20 12:20:10	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	84	84¢	$70	0x6c8521…
09-20 12:20:01	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	29	84¢	$25	0x3f798e…
09-20 12:19:58	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	BUY	113	84¢	$95	0x31735f…
09-20 05:26:00	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	800	90¢	$723	0x169fb8…
09-20 05:25:55	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	BUY	800	92¢	$735	0x4ef07f…
09-20 01:10:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?	Yes	SELL	800	92¢	$739	0xcbd7ae…
09-20 01:10:37	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?	Yes	BUY	800	93¢	$742	0xf10b91…
09-19 15:44:54	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	928	48¢	$450	0x81c6b8…
09-18 12:14:27	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	570	49¢	$280	0x605d43…
09-18 11:29:12	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x860aff…
09-18 05:38:15	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1,316	49¢	$649	0x508d83…
09-18 05:38:13	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	184	49¢	$91	0x7e28d0…
09-10 06:28:37	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	700	91¢	$634	0x8428a0…
09-10 06:28:34	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	700	91¢	$638	0x547a28…
09-05 13:04:31	Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5,208	3¢	$150	0xd077ef…
09-05 13:04:21	Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,592	4¢	$171	0xa2fe9f…
09-05 13:04:18	Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9,800	5¢	$490	0x9297ca…
08-29 18:54:57	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	900	84¢	$757	0x2973b3…
08-29 18:54:54	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	900	84¢	$760	0xb53fc9…
08-27 01:49:42	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2,800	21¢	$600	0x9f031f…
08-27 01:49:37	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,800	22¢	$613	0xc79f99…
08-23 04:32:22	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	74	23¢	$17	0x3397d5…
08-22 23:47:09	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	74	23¢	$17	0x6dbe28…
08-22 02:00:00	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	850	80¢	$683	0x447c2c…
08-22 00:19:36	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	850	81¢	$685	0xe5404f…
08-18 08:02:04	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	71¢	$708	0x364f9b…
08-18 08:02:00	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	71¢	$707	0x231595…
08-15 02:13:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 02:10 UTC	Down	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x7b729f…
08-14 15:53:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	104	24¢	$25	0xca5770…
08-14 15:47:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0x32cc3e…
08-14 15:42:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x029b1a…
08-13 21:18:51	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,600	40¢	$634	0x3d71f3…
08-13 21:18:46	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,600	40¢	$638	0x2cba9a…
08-13 08:42:33	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,250	43¢	$538	0x0b3f17…
08-13 08:42:28	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,250	43¢	$540	0xf9a3d8…
08-12 05:10:49	cs2 vit 100t 2026 08 12	100 Thieves	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x8207d5…
08-09 16:46:09	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	819	41¢	$336	0x450c26…
08-09 16:15:18	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	117	41¢	$48	0x765c0f…
08-09 15:16:45	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x9f4648…
08-09 14:35:54	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	41¢	$82	0x832890…
08-09 14:35:48	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	41¢	$5	0x65ac54…
08-09 14:16:00	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	122	41¢	$50	0x139834…
08-09 13:49:33	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	41¢	$9	0x7eb70f…
08-09 13:46:24	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	41¢	$41	0x349733…
08-09 13:34:37	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xaafb96…
08-01 00:17:35	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,400	41¢	$571	0x59e156…
07-29 07:42:17	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	No	SELL	248	65¢	$161	0xdc648c…
07-29 07:37:45	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	No	SELL	652	65¢	$425	0x5850f5…
07-29 06:29:03	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	No	BUY	900	66¢	$598	0x16693c…
07-29 02:26:42	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	No	SELL	24	65¢	$16	0x34b9cb…
07-29 02:26:11	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	No	SELL	876	65¢	$574	0xab2861…
07-29 02:22:27	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	No	BUY	900	65¢	$583	0x9b4c8d…
07-29 01:47:33	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	No	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x19bd3f…
07-29 01:47:33	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	No	SELL	176	63¢	$111	0x0eaadc…
07-29 01:45:12	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	No	SELL	407	63¢	$255	0x8f3393…
07-29 01:42:15	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	No	BUY	603	63¢	$378	0xbf54a2…
07-28 03:07:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 29	No	SELL	1,100	3¢	$30	0xddfe26…
07-28 02:51:55	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 29	No	BUY	1,100	3¢	$32	0x83424e…
07-27 14:19:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	No	SELL	268	2¢	$5	0x947c36…
07-27 14:04:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	No	BUY	268	2¢	$6	0x51c389…
07-24 15:49:55	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	49	0¢	$0	0x27c495…
07-24 15:49:36	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	293	0¢	$0	0x917774…
07-24 15:30:57	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	2,600	45¢	$1,180	0x7f56bb…
07-24 09:33:42	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	1,103	47¢	$518	0x3b9b5b…
07-23 15:50:13	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	SELL	1,288	51¢	$654	0xd34730…
07-23 15:50:13	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,103	48¢	$524	0xd34730…
07-23 15:47:24	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	SELL	15	51¢	$8	0x126d89…
07-23 15:44:34	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	SELL	28	51¢	$14	0xdc13bf…
07-23 15:40:45	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	SELL	448	51¢	$228	0x4d90a1…
07-23 15:40:40	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x2035be…
07-23 15:39:55	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	SELL	8	51¢	$4	0x7b4d6c…
07-23 15:36:55	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	SELL	98	51¢	$50	0x34ea6b…
07-23 15:36:13	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	SELL	15	51¢	$8	0x5d14f9…
07-23 15:35:58	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	SELL	118	51¢	$60	0xcd3fd2…
07-23 15:34:55	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	SELL	16	51¢	$8	0xd82841…
07-23 15:28:36	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	BUY	2,055	51¢	$1,044	0x28a344…
07-23 14:07:49	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	SELL	621	50¢	$310	0xe1f780…
07-23 14:07:36	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	SELL	34	50¢	$17	0x2569a5…
07-23 14:07:31	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	BUY	654	50¢	$327	0xcce497…
07-23 13:59:25	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	1,148	48¢	$550	0x85bcbd…
07-23 12:08:10	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	SELL	165	53¢	$87	0x2dc8f5…
07-23 12:07:46	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0x3eb4a3…
07-23 12:07:31	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xe1335c…
07-23 12:04:16	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0xb0e6fd…
07-23 11:51:34	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	SELL	30	53¢	$16	0x121b2b…
07-23 11:50:45	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	SELL	9	53¢	$5	0xe02acc…
07-23 11:48:22	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	SELL	165	53¢	$87	0xedf519…
07-23 11:46:57	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	SELL	73	53¢	$38	0x71399f…
07-23 11:21:46	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	SELL	185	53¢	$97	0x402e6b…
07-23 11:12:22	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	504	48¢	$241	0x05a133…
07-23 11:10:31	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	BUY	655	52¢	$343	0x4310da…
07-23 07:27:25	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	115	48¢	$55	0x61f881…
07-23 06:43:51	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	202	48¢	$97	0xd49854…
07-23 06:43:51	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xbb8b86…
07-23 06:43:51	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0x371ee6…
07-23 06:42:43	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,973	48¢	$945	0xa7933d…
07-23 04:38:30	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	700	15¢	$108	0x42eb99…
07-23 02:51:25	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	37	71¢	$26	0x1c028e…
07-23 02:48:24	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	28	71¢	$20	0xd13b1f…
07-23 02:48:01	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	81	71¢	$57	0xd85b93…