Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$75

Unrealized P&L

-$40

Hit rate

59.5%

Resolved

162

Trades

430

lifetime

Volume

$1.92K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$10

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-20

last 10-26 17:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Crypto

68% 58% -$33

Other

31% 50% -$41

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+33	$20	12¢	$4	-$16	09-22 15:28
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+84	$20	3¢	$3	-$17	09-22 15:29
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	+114	$5	2¢	$2	-$3	10-26 17:10
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	+38	$5	2¢	$1	-$4	10-26 17:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	4	$331	383	179	+204	No	-$69	09-04 14:27
will tsla reach 360 in august 2026	2	$118	104	104	+0	Yes	+$18	08-19 11:53
bitcoin up or down on february 26	7	$46	45	45	+0	Down	+$4	02-26 15:49
bitcoin above 68k on february 25	4	$43	192	192	+0	Yes	+$13	02-25 15:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 10:55 UTC	4	$32	20	20	+0	Down	+$2	02-25 10:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 05:45 UTC	5	$31	32	31	+0	Up	-$9	03-01 05:50
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	2	$30	67	67	+0	open	—	09-14 10:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 09:55 UTC	6	$29	27	27	+0	Down	-$1	02-26 09:59
bitcoin above 62k on february 24	8	$29	86	86	+0	Yes	+$4	02-24 13:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 05:35 UTC	6	$27	18	18	+0	Down	+$4	03-01 05:40
will tsla reach 330 by august 3 2026	2	$26	22	22	+0	Yes	+$6	08-06 13:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 06:45 UTC	2	$24	23	23	+0	Up	+$4	02-26 06:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 07:05 UTC	2	$23	15	15	+0	Up	+$4	02-28 07:07
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	2	$23	71	71	+0	No	+$3	08-11 07:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 06:10 UTC	2	$23	18	18	+0	Up	+$3	02-26 06:11
will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	7	$23	151	151	+0	No	+$2	02-25 14:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 07:00 UTC	2	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	02-28 07:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 06:55 UTC	2	$21	14	14	+0	Up	+$1	02-26 06:57
will nvda reach 232 in august 2026	2	$21	18	18	+0	No	+$1	08-23 03:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 04:25 UTC	2	$20	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	03-01 04:29
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$20	84	0	+84	open	—	09-22 15:29
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$20	33	0	+33	open	—	09-22 15:28
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $365-$370 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7?	2	$19	67	67	+0	No	-$1	08-05 16:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 10:20 UTC	4	$18	18	18	+0	Down	-$2	02-26 10:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 06:05 UTC	2	$17	23	23	+0	Up	-$3	02-26 06:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 06:50 UTC	2	$16	26	25	+0	Up	-$4	02-26 06:51
will bitcoin reach 66k on august 6	1	$15	150	0	+150	No	-$15	08-06 15:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 15:30 UTC	8	$15	11	11	+0	Up	+$3	02-28 15:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 05:55 UTC	4	$15	11	11	+0	Up	+$3	03-01 06:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 04:20 UTC	5	$14	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	03-01 04:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 17:14:44	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xf75bf7…
10-26 17:10:44	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	114	4¢	$5	0xad7e4b…
09-22 15:29:12	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	84	24¢	$20	0xb24160…
09-22 15:28:18	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x68bbce…
09-14 10:35:13	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	67	30¢	$20	0x8281d7…
09-04 14:27:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0xca944a…
08-28 06:17:19	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xa3f9ae…
08-25 15:58:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in August?	Yes	SELL	43	6¢	$3	0x752792…
08-23 03:44:43	will nvda reach 232 in august 2026	No	SELL	18	61¢	$11	0xf346df…
08-21 12:23:10	will bitcoin dip to 70k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x2bedf8…
08-19 12:00:52	will nvda reach 232 in august 2026	No	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xb0e8d0…
08-19 11:53:31	will tsla reach 360 in august 2026	No	SELL	104	65¢	$68	0x8e50df…
08-16 15:42:36	will bitcoin dip to 62k august 10 16 2026	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xc3d238…
08-16 14:20:22	will bitcoin dip to 62k august 10 16 2026	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xeeba38…
08-15 15:13:48	will tsla reach 360 in august 2026	No	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0x0f255b…
08-14 13:58:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	100	75¢	$75	0x81b214…
08-13 15:37:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	79	71¢	$56	0x5887f0…
08-11 07:59:37	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	Yes	SELL	71	18¢	$13	0xf35fc8…
08-11 05:43:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x5bbe4c…
08-10 01:30:22	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xe5c483…
08-07 15:39:52	Will Google (GOOGL) close at $360-$365 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x8af33b…
08-07 01:20:37	will bitcoin dip to 64k on august 6	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xa9ee3f…
08-06 15:30:02	will bitcoin reach 66k on august 6	Yes	BUY	150	10¢	$15	0xcbc198…
08-06 14:02:02	Will Google (GOOGL) close at $345-$350 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xfbff9f…
08-06 13:57:44	will tsla reach 330 by august 3 2026	No	SELL	22	74¢	$16	0x70ee0e…
08-05 16:10:09	Will Google (GOOGL) close at $365-$370 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7?	Yes	SELL	67	13¢	$9	0xd55858…
08-05 13:41:03	Will Google (GOOGL) close at $365-$370 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x59210f…
08-05 13:31:48	will tsla reach 330 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x46701c…
03-01 12:55:33	will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on march 2	Yes	BUY	46	2¢	$1	0x05cabc…
03-01 12:47:37	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 1	Yes	SELL	24	2¢	$1	0x0a937a…
03-01 12:46:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 12:45 UTC	Up	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0xca8b68…
03-01 12:46:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x40f9bc…
03-01 12:41:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 12:40 UTC	Down	SELL	2	23¢	$1	0x6bc086…
03-01 12:40:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 12:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x6bd10b…
03-01 12:39:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 12:35 UTC	Down	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x06336e…
03-01 12:37:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 12:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x8cedc3…
03-01 12:37:05	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 1	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe9aa50…
03-01 08:33:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 08:30 UTC	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x2b36c6…
03-01 08:33:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 08:30 UTC	Up	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0xc9dc5f…
03-01 08:31:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x67bfe6…
03-01 08:30:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xd9d86d…
03-01 07:57:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 07:55 UTC	Down	SELL	4	69¢	$3	0xd919af…
03-01 07:56:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x131a1e…
03-01 07:56:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xd7a008…
03-01 07:53:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 07:50 UTC	Up	SELL	1	54¢	$1	0x03c4d3…
03-01 07:50:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x2dc58d…
03-01 07:49:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 07:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x1d6afe…
03-01 07:48:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 07:45 UTC	Up	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x63fd43…
03-01 07:48:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xd21ee7…
03-01 07:48:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x32a969…
03-01 07:34:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 07:30 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4bcc39…
03-01 07:34:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xe17244…
03-01 07:11:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 07:10 UTC	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x2168d3…
03-01 06:47:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xa1c321…
03-01 06:46:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x293aab…
03-01 06:44:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 06:40 UTC	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x56099f…
03-01 06:44:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 06:40 UTC	Down	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0x6b4764…
03-01 06:42:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 06:40 UTC	Up	SELL	1	55¢	$1	0x0fac18…
03-01 06:41:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 06:40 UTC	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x0a24e4…
03-01 06:41:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 06:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xecd98b…
03-01 06:40:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 06:35 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x08b134…
03-01 06:35:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 06:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x8900e8…
03-01 06:33:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 06:30 UTC	Down	SELL	3	88¢	$3	0x93d21e…
03-01 06:32:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x7dd1fe…
03-01 06:29:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 06:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x823635…
03-01 06:29:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 06:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x004cef…
03-01 06:23:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 06:20 UTC	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x9aa45d…
03-01 06:21:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 06:20 UTC	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xc71416…
03-01 06:20:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 06:20 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xfb9ebd…
03-01 06:17:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 06:15 UTC	Down	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0x56341b…
03-01 06:15:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x835c7f…
03-01 06:15:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 06:10 UTC	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x6bc6bc…
03-01 06:14:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 06:10 UTC	Up	SELL	3	18¢	$1	0xe04970…
03-01 06:12:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 06:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x2680bb…
03-01 06:11:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x7e00b3…
03-01 06:08:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 06:05 UTC	Down	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xea5e34…
03-01 06:05:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xb8e3db…
03-01 06:04:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 06:00 UTC	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x2e7f26…
03-01 06:04:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x42cf34…
03-01 06:02:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x49054c…
03-01 06:00:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 05:55 UTC	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xbd6c3f…
03-01 05:58:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 05:55 UTC	Down	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x4ac1fc…
03-01 05:57:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 05:55 UTC	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x048853…
03-01 05:56:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 05:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x9d0449…
03-01 05:54:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 05:50 UTC	Down	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x79d638…
03-01 05:52:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 05:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x803f89…
03-01 05:51:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 05:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xadcb71…
03-01 05:50:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 05:45 UTC	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x369100…
03-01 05:49:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 05:45 UTC	Down	SELL	21	3¢	$1	0xbd6b41…
03-01 05:49:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x118885…
03-01 05:46:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x8e68cd…
03-01 05:45:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf666e0…
03-01 05:43:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 05:40 UTC	Down	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0x61c75d…
03-01 05:42:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 05:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xa7fd49…
03-01 05:40:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 05:35 UTC	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x518426…
03-01 05:39:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x9af9fa…
03-01 05:39:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x3ac838…
03-01 05:39:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x159371…
03-01 05:39:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 05:35 UTC	Up	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x70d91f…
03-01 05:38:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x14bbe9…