Infamous-Daughter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$499

Unrealized P&L

-$346

Hit rate

16.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,050

lifetime

Volume

$121.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$116

Open exposure

$1.44K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 07-21 02:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

66% 100% +$4

Politics

26% 67% $-503

Sports

7% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+2,200	$1,526	54¢	$1.2K	$-349	07-02 13:26
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	-200	$-169	86¢	$-171	$-2	07-04 01:12
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+104	$88	90¢	$93	+$5	07-03 18:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	10	$13.8K	7,280	7,280	+0	open	—	05-07 16:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	26	$9.7K	5,113	5,113	+0	open	—	05-22 18:53
Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	43	$8.3K	8,413	4,931	+3,482	open	—	05-16 22:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	12	$8.0K	4,332	4,332	+0	open	—	05-23 21:11
will tamilaga vettri kazhagam tvk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	2	$7.4K	8,442	0	+8,442	open	—	04-24 23:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	18	$5.1K	2,903	2,903	+0	open	—	07-01 00:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	22	$4.5K	2,208	2,602	-394	open	—	05-29 19:08
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	16	$3.5K	2,978	851	+2,126	open	—	05-30 14:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	6	$3.5K	1,920	1,920	+0	open	—	05-06 10:41
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	3	$3.1K	700	2,500	-1,800	open	—	06-11 02:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	19	$3.1K	2,600	1,000	+1,600	open	—	05-29 01:42
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	8	$3.0K	1,550	1,550	+0	open	—	06-06 02:33
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	5	$2.7K	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	06-08 12:38
Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	10	$2.3K	2,800	5	+2,795	open	—	05-16 22:46
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	19	$1.9K	8,767	0	+8,767	open	—	06-17 17:28
Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	3	$1.6K	1,252	1,252	+0	open	—	05-16 20:22
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	4	$1.5K	2,200	0	+2,200	open	—	07-02 13:26
will turkey be a party to the us x iran memorandum of understanding 20260611230522912	5	$1.2K	645	645	+0	open	—	06-21 22:24
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	9	$1.2K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-07 07:50
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels	2	$1.1K	1,153	0	+1,153	open	—	05-17 03:54
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?	3	$1.0K	525	525	+0	open	—	06-13 04:34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	1	$1.0K	1,096	0	+1,096	open	—	05-26 01:05
will recep tayyip erdogan sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950080	2	$950	500	500	+0	open	—	06-15 16:33
iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	7	$933	1,237	509	+727	open	—	06-24 18:12
will king abdullah ii sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950084	14	$848	0	998	-998	open	—	06-16 09:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	7	$827	450	450	+0	open	—	04-24 23:27
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	2	$782	407	407	+0	open	—	05-17 17:46
will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	4	$736	400	400	+0	open	—	06-17 19:23
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	3	$718	400	400	+0	open	—	07-06 06:08
will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 8 be less than 60	15	$591	430	330	+100	open	—	03-06 00:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 02:08:06	mlb lad phi 2026 07 20	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x5edc00…
07-16 18:36:34	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	SELL	155	25¢	$39	0x00b8cb…
07-15 03:19:13	Will Post Malone perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	90	80¢	$72	0x147192…
07-15 02:29:32	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	SELL	100	70¢	$70	0xad2ce2…
07-14 22:31:52	will ansem dip to 0pt06 before 2027	Yes	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x7ff173…
07-14 17:56:44	will ansem flip pump by december 31 2026 20260702152126830	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x389c13…
07-14 01:59:16	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0xc19a62…
07-13 07:16:53	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1	Yes	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0x801f33…
07-07 15:49:38	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	BUY	28	67¢	$19	0x489256…
07-07 13:01:17	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	BUY	72	67¢	$48	0xa05725…
07-06 06:08:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	400	98¢	$392	0x2f3d44…
07-05 00:02:43	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	155	64¢	$99	0x28ed56…
07-04 01:12:17	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	400	86¢	$345	0x2013ae…
07-03 21:35:13	will cape verde reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120766	No	SELL	25	93¢	$23	0x41858d…
07-03 21:34:11	will argentina reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120771	Yes	SELL	100	93¢	$93	0xd34c12…
07-03 19:20:44	will ansem flip pump by december 31 2026 20260702152126830	No	BUY	89	72¢	$64	0x6296b5…
07-03 18:09:58	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	85¢	$88	0x92d56e…
07-03 17:58:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	24	59¢	$14	0xb25bd0…
07-02 21:52:59	will ansem flip pump by december 31 2026 20260702152126830	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x6155a4…
07-02 19:23:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	150	99¢	$148	0x4b7f0e…
07-02 13:26:05	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	129	62¢	$80	0xcd1f5a…
07-02 13:16:20	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0x5c6a67…
07-02 13:13:58	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	62¢	$38	0x2459f6…
07-02 12:26:31	will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by december 31 20260629164744652	Yes	BUY	12	76¢	$9	0xd1ef42…
07-02 06:37:44	Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x59aae2…
07-02 06:34:04	will spain reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120763	Yes	SELL	100	86¢	$86	0x5955fc…
07-01 00:48:22	will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by december 31 20260629164744652	Yes	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x03ff7a…
07-01 00:48:22	will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by december 31 20260629164744652	Yes	BUY	59	76¢	$45	0x00de21…
07-01 00:40:40	will ansem dip to 0pt04 before 2027	Yes	BUY	180	83¢	$150	0xc74c00…
07-01 00:40:20	will ansem dip to 0pt08 before 2027	Yes	BUY	119	91¢	$108	0x08b0fa…
07-01 00:24:13	will france reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120767	Yes	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x93eeeb…
07-01 00:22:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$199	0xe3b257…
06-30 17:55:32	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xf6447b…
06-29 16:42:01	Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0xdf5fd6…
06-29 16:40:43	Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0xbf0d54…
06-28 04:31:47	Will Andrew Tate attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xcc1149…
06-28 04:14:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0xf35094…
06-28 01:43:52	will austria be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003088	No	SELL	88	94¢	$83	0x660cdf…
06-27 06:08:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0x4d9a78…
06-27 05:57:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0x932df3…
06-27 04:13:11	will iran be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003054	Yes	BUY	60	47¢	$28	0x0eafa7…
06-25 02:21:50	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	70¢	$1,402	0xbfb714…
06-25 02:20:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1,703	96¢	$1,627	0xb717ef…
06-25 01:33:02	will sweden be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003092	Yes	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x799a70…
06-25 01:29:49	will brazil be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003063	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xa040a7…
06-25 01:14:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0xf4af2c…
06-24 18:21:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$193	0xb1eac7…
06-24 18:12:01	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	327	2¢	$7	0x14841e…
06-23 23:10:47	will netherlands reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120755	Yes	SELL	100	60¢	$60	0xaa06e9…
06-23 19:18:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	200	76¢	$152	0x1c9521…
06-22 22:10:23	will algeria be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003072	No	SELL	50	67¢	$34	0x631517…
06-22 22:02:52	will qatar be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003058	No	SELL	50	84¢	$42	0x4c637f…
06-22 14:06:20	will algeria be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003072	No	BUY	11	67¢	$7	0x440aed…
06-22 09:27:32	will algeria be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003072	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xe5619a…
06-22 04:13:50	will algeria be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003072	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x98ec7a…
06-22 00:51:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0x4da04c…
06-22 00:06:44	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	90¢	$21	0x7f09f2…
06-21 23:55:52	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$0	0x7030d9…
06-21 23:44:22	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	90¢	$40	0x76be70…
06-21 23:29:29	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$1	0x4b9dd7…
06-21 23:19:31	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	90¢	$28	0xca7683…
06-21 23:02:44	will brazil be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003063	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xf42c48…
06-21 23:00:47	will iraq be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003061	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x45e30d…
06-21 22:56:55	will qatar be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003058	No	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x78d928…
06-21 22:50:40	will austria be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003088	No	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0xaa080e…
06-21 22:46:50	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0x5adef3…
06-21 22:45:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x0723d4…
06-21 22:31:23	starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	Yes	SELL	90	90¢	$81	0xd6b32f…
06-21 22:24:02	will turkey be a party to the us x iran memorandum of understanding 20260611230522912	No	SELL	645	98¢	$633	0xc46a8d…
06-21 13:02:46	will algeria be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003072	No	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x4c3dce…
06-21 01:58:08	will scotland be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003089	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x7e6411…
06-21 00:57:04	will senegal be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003070	No	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xaef090…
06-20 23:18:29	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	Yes	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0x1af6ab…
06-20 23:05:23	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	89¢	$34	0x459e74…
06-20 23:05:10	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0x4b6c0b…
06-20 23:05:05	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x1dd67c…
06-20 23:01:07	starmer out by june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	61	84¢	$51	0x32138f…
06-20 22:59:17	starmer out by june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xc53ca9…
06-20 22:52:31	starmer out by june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xbdfa1f…
06-20 17:56:26	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x94973d…
06-20 17:54:17	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	40	57¢	$23	0x877fd2…
06-20 17:49:44	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	28	59¢	$17	0xe8100d…
06-20 17:49:44	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0xcd4b58…
06-20 17:36:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	99	92¢	$91	0xaaf89e…
06-20 17:36:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	0	92¢	$0	0x7a47a5…
06-20 17:35:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$0	0xdefcfd…
06-20 17:34:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x10c042…
06-19 17:15:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0xaa24cb…
06-19 17:13:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x7a695a…
06-19 16:52:59	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x446fb4…
06-19 16:51:40	will haiti be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003097	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x63a328…
06-19 08:38:02	will south africa reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120737	No	BUY	66	97¢	$63	0xd6a7d6…
06-19 06:07:23	will south africa reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120737	No	BUY	14	96¢	$14	0x010590…
06-18 15:47:59	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0x6b98fa…
06-18 15:46:29	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	SELL	120	10¢	$12	0x1f540d…
06-18 14:59:25	will turkey be a party to the us x iran memorandum of understanding 20260611230522912	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0xa5bdcf…
06-18 14:58:53	will turkey be a party to the us x iran memorandum of understanding 20260611230522912	No	BUY	310	96¢	$298	0xefd95f…
06-18 14:58:20	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	SELL	120	10¢	$12	0x9af184…
06-18 14:55:28	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	263	96¢	$251	0xc17bfb…
06-18 14:55:05	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0xff9d35…