Infamous-Daughter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.26K

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

74.9%

Resolved

525

Trades

1,744

lifetime

Volume

$196.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$113

Open exposure

$1.09K

10 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 10-30 02:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 175 days

Categories

Other

60% 72% -$2,132

Politics

34% 67% -$2,251

Sports

5% 83% +$113

Crypto

0% 80% +$10

Tech

0% 50% +$5

Pop-Culture

0% 50% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	+298	$289	97¢	$290	+$1	10-30 01:41
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	+185	$150	81¢	$150	+$0	10-30 01:50
Panthers vs. Packers	Packers	+100	$94	100¢	$100	+$6	10-30 02:08
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	+100	$94	98¢	$98	+$4	10-24 02:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	+100	$95	94¢	$94	$0	10-30 01:25
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	No	+100	$91	90¢	$90	$0	10-30 01:28
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	No	+100	$83	81¢	$81	-$2	10-30 02:08
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+100	$70	76¢	$76	+$6	10-19 01:24
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+100	$67	68¢	$68	+$0	10-25 05:34
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+80	$58	60¢	$48	-$11	10-27 20:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tamilaga vettri kazhagam tvk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	6	$15.1K	8,442	8,442	+0	Yes	+$270	05-01 02:34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	10	$13.8K	7,280	7,280	+0	No	+$279	05-07 16:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	26	$9.7K	5,113	5,113	+0	No	+$262	05-22 18:53
Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	43	$8.3K	8,413	4,931	+3,482	Yes	-$900	05-16 22:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	12	$8.0K	4,332	4,332	+0	No	+$52	05-23 21:11
will the communist party of india marxist cpim win the most seats in the 2026 kerala legislative assembly election	27	$7.1K	4,050	4,050	+0	No	+$938	05-04 14:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	18	$5.1K	2,903	2,903	+0	No	-$27	07-01 00:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	24	$4.8K	2,602	2,602	+0	No	+$307	05-29 19:08
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	8	$4.7K	2,500	2,500	+0	No	+$192	06-11 02:00
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	19	$3.7K	2,460	2,460	+0	Yes	-$134	05-07 07:48
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	16	$3.5K	2,978	851	+2,126	No	+$89	05-30 14:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	6	$3.5K	1,920	1,920	+0	No	-$52	05-06 10:41
Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	12	$3.1K	1,974	1,289	+684	open	—	10-26 19:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	19	$3.1K	2,600	1,000	+1,600	No	+$112	05-29 01:42
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	8	$3.0K	1,550	1,550	+0	No	+$57	06-06 02:33
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?	13	$2.9K	1,567	1,567	+0	Yes	+$202	06-14 16:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	5	$2.7K	1,400	1,400	+0	No	+$32	06-08 12:38
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	7	$2.6K	2,200	2,200	+0	open	—	07-25 17:26
Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	10	$2.3K	2,800	5	+2,795	No	-$2,337	05-16 22:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	26	$2.3K	10,251	0	+10,251	Yes	-$2,326	06-17 17:28
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	3	$2.0K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	05-19 20:21
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	6	$2.0K	1,043	1,043	+0	No	+$37	08-05 21:17
will king abdullah ii sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950084	15	$1.7K	998	998	+0	No	+$0	06-16 09:05
Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	3	$1.6K	1,252	1,252	+0	No	-$212	05-16 20:22
Will Tina Browne be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	8	$1.6K	841	841	+0	open	—	10-18 19:32
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	7	$1.3K	1,526	1,526	+0	Yes	-$104	06-08 14:08
will turkey be a party to the us x iran memorandum of understanding 20260611230522912	5	$1.2K	645	645	+0	No	+$18	06-21 22:24
Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	12	$1.2K	1,468	0	+1,468	No	+$288	08-06 23:23
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	9	$1.2K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$56	05-07 07:50
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?	8	$1.1K	558	558	+0	No	+$8	06-19 07:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 02:08:55	Panthers vs. Packers	Packers	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x71d842…
10-30 02:08:25	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x545c76…
10-30 01:50:01	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	185	81¢	$150	0xde6614…
10-30 01:41:09	Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	BUY	298	97¢	$289	0x5282a1…
10-30 01:29:25	Will CCa win the most seats in Santa Cruz de Tenerife in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x138b46…
10-30 01:28:54	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	586	94¢	$552	0xf57deb…
10-30 01:28:34	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x8e4d4c…
10-30 01:25:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x2031e6…
10-30 01:18:31	Elon Musk meets with Putin by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	160	79¢	$127	0xa32245…
10-30 00:17:16	Will Petr Hlaváček be the next Mayor of Prague?	Yes	SELL	95	96¢	$91	0x7c3de6…
10-27 20:20:26	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	80	73¢	$58	0x32a9fb…
10-27 20:19:39	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	210	26¢	$55	0x52086d…
10-26 19:56:32	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	339	79¢	$268	0x635222…
10-26 19:52:17	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	586	89¢	$522	0x61078e…
10-26 19:51:17	Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	684	96¢	$660	0x205e16…
10-26 19:50:38	Will Petr Hlaváček be the next Mayor of Prague?	Yes	SELL	67	95¢	$64	0x711ef0…
10-25 05:34:27	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0xad6938…
10-25 05:32:47	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	124	19¢	$23	0xeb6aec…
10-24 02:36:33	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x2f6207…
10-24 02:35:42	Pelicans vs. Jazz	Jazz	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0xbf8e4e…
10-24 02:30:50	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	179	100¢	$179	0xb80e89…
10-23 03:03:47	Will CCa win the most seats in Santa Cruz de Tenerife in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x8f6aa1…
10-23 03:01:23	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	261	94¢	$246	0xd73ee2…
10-23 03:01:23	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	94¢	$37	0x36b8e2…
10-23 03:00:08	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	179	95¢	$170	0x674730…
10-23 02:56:51	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	SELL	48	86¢	$41	0x6a6e7f…
10-23 02:56:20	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	SELL	100	87¢	$87	0xc58ad1…
10-22 02:01:21	will pp win the most seats in santa cruz de tenerife in the 2026 spanish general election	Yes	BUY	61	73¢	$45	0xe71b2f…
10-22 01:40:35	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	130	28¢	$36	0x0dbd78…
10-21 18:06:12	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	SELL	34	95¢	$32	0x515bcf…
10-21 18:05:51	Will the Republican Party control the Pennsylvania Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	127	32¢	$41	0xe82685…
10-21 18:05:44	Will the Democratic Party control the Pennsylvania Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	159	38¢	$61	0x5cf869…
10-20 18:29:47	Lyon curfew effectively lifted by October 31?	Yes	BUY	107	61¢	$65	0x243d81…
10-20 17:55:02	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	70	95¢	$66	0xd243d4…
10-19 01:24:33	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0xf131a3…
10-19 01:23:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	120	88¢	$106	0xef0e34…
10-19 00:57:57	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	254	10¢	$26	0xcc75f1…
10-19 00:56:12	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	70	69¢	$48	0xa0e987…
10-19 00:55:17	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	34	54¢	$18	0x51ce71…
10-19 00:52:54	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	210	82¢	$172	0x4f41ba…
10-18 19:32:51	Will Tina Browne be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	No	SELL	774	97¢	$752	0x43d537…
10-16 06:37:06	Will Garth Frizzell win the 2026 Prince George mayoral election?	No	BUY	90	86¢	$77	0x4d3ee2…
10-12 03:37:44	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	BUY	148	84¢	$124	0xbd0f36…
10-12 03:19:27	Will Petr Hlaváček be the next Mayor of Prague?	Yes	BUY	162	95¢	$154	0x18d0e9…
10-12 03:00:33	Will Greens win the third most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0x4fde06…
10-12 03:00:00	Will the Democratic Party control the Minnesota Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	361	80¢	$289	0x9bd5a8…
10-12 02:18:11	Will Ledger announce compensation or reimbursement for affected users by October 31?	No	BUY	270	89¢	$240	0xfece72…
10-12 02:10:47	Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by November 30?	No	SELL	250	97¢	$243	0xfc2e35…
10-08 21:29:38	Gemini Argon released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x85e288…
10-05 22:05:04	Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by November 30?	No	BUY	250	90¢	$225	0x2b14f5…
10-05 16:13:25	Will Tina Browne be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x73febf…
10-05 16:13:25	Will Tina Browne be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x33e1e0…
10-05 16:13:25	Will Tina Browne be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x0e1c6a…
10-05 16:10:29	Will Tina Browne be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xe57ced…
10-05 16:10:29	Will Tina Browne be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xb994c0…
10-01 07:05:47	Will Jūlija Stepaņenko be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?	No	SELL	64	99¢	$63	0xfd453a…
10-01 07:05:47	Will Jūlija Stepaņenko be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?	No	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0xeca017…
09-29 23:38:36	Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	35	97¢	$34	0x3cf53c…
09-26 11:22:33	Will Ainārs Šlesers be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?	No	SELL	55	93¢	$51	0x557a35…
09-26 11:22:17	Will the Democratic Party control the Wisconsin Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	107	83¢	$89	0xace148…
09-26 11:21:45	Will the Republican Party control the Minnesota Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	38	88¢	$33	0x481c4f…
09-26 11:21:27	Will the Bitcoin halving occur by March 31, 2028?	No	SELL	30	45¢	$14	0xc526b2…
09-26 11:21:17	Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	62¢	$20	0xabab46…
09-26 11:21:06	Will the next Grok model (4.8+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	54	60¢	$32	0x4ae85e…
09-26 10:54:06	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	100	92¢	$92	0x6096bd…
09-26 10:53:54	Will the Democratic Party control the Texas Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x97532f…
09-26 10:53:42	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	50	31¢	$16	0x2b945a…
09-26 10:53:26	Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?	Yes	SELL	119	53¢	$63	0x6f26a4…
09-26 06:10:15	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xca2c84…
09-25 19:40:41	nothing ever happens september 27	Nothing	SELL	45	99¢	$44	0x1fdc31…
09-25 10:48:48	Will $ANSEM dip to $0.04 before 2027?	Yes	SELL	180	24¢	$43	0xcdea55…
09-25 10:45:50	Will $ANSEM dip to $0.06 before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	55¢	$55	0x953688…
09-24 09:18:23	Will the next Grok model (4.8+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	54	73¢	$39	0x05548d…
09-24 09:16:44	Will Ainārs Šlesers be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?	No	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0xb9a53c…
09-24 08:43:42	Will Greens win the third most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0xc892bb…
09-23 10:00:08	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	31	37¢	$11	0xac0bf1…
09-23 09:24:32	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0xc04332…
09-23 06:40:25	Will Sofia Jarl be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Dalarna?	No	SELL	62	97¢	$61	0xaddee2…
09-23 04:57:34	nothing ever happens september 27	Nothing	BUY	45	90¢	$40	0x45fd26…
09-21 11:12:00	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	244	70¢	$172	0x9895b3…
09-18 19:07:01	Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	300	97¢	$291	0x176528…
09-18 19:06:24	Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	460	96¢	$440	0xa0e5e0…
09-18 19:06:07	Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	644	95¢	$612	0xe7d9ef…
09-18 19:01:13	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Attorney General election?	Yes	SELL	61	68¢	$41	0x755778…
09-18 19:00:24	Will the Democratic Party control the Minnesota Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	229	81¢	$185	0x29d8cc…
09-18 18:51:34	Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	35	92¢	$32	0x69cf73…
09-18 18:51:07	FTC opens investigation into AI book destruction in 2026?	No	SELL	40	89¢	$36	0x4d826f…
09-18 18:50:33	Will $ANSEM dip to $0.08 before 2027?	Yes	SELL	119	83¢	$99	0xbed987…
09-18 18:44:45	Will Yashar win 30 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x0ba215…
09-18 18:44:25	Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the popular vote in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election by less than 4%?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xd56d83…
09-18 18:43:58	Will UTJ win 11 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0xe4c4f1…
09-18 18:43:37	Will the Republican Party control the Maine Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	75	89¢	$67	0x397921…
09-18 18:43:10	Will Grüne win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	SELL	100	73¢	$73	0xb021b1…
09-18 18:42:55	Will Danjuma Laah win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election?	No	SELL	94	95¢	$89	0xaa1dd6…
09-18 18:42:37	Will the Democratic Party control the Maine Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	122	88¢	$108	0x30e7aa…
09-18 18:42:03	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	600	62¢	$369	0x27a578…
09-18 18:41:46	Berlin State Election: More Votes to Linke or Grüne?	Linke	SELL	160	90¢	$144	0xbdff28…
09-18 18:41:34	Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	158	67¢	$106	0x32d998…
09-18 18:41:16	Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	289	95¢	$275	0x7f9e46…
09-18 09:40:40	Will Danjuma Laah win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x39e98c…