Realistic-Control — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$200

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-07 08:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 67% +$18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	3	$13	21	+21	Up	+$8	05-07 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	2	$13	14	+14	open	—	05-07 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	2	$12	14	+14	Up	+$2	05-07 04:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	2	$12	14	+14	Up	+$2	05-06 15:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	3	$11	21	+21	Down	+$10	05-04 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	2	$9	14	+14	Up	$-9	05-07 05:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	2	$9	14	+14	Down	+$5	05-07 03:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	2	$8	14	+14	Up	+$6	05-07 00:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	2	$8	14	+14	Up	+$6	05-06 16:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$7	14	+14	Up	+$7	05-06 17:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	2	$7	14	+14	Up	$-7	05-07 04:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	2	$7	14	+14	Down	$-7	05-07 04:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	1	$7	7	+7	Up	+$0	05-07 02:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	2	$7	14	+14	open	—	05-07 08:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	1	$6	7	+7	Down	$-6	05-07 02:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	1	$6	7	+7	Up	+$1	05-07 01:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	1	$5	7	+7	Up	+$2	05-07 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	1	$5	7	+7	Up	+$2	05-07 01:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$5	7	+7	Down	$-5	05-04 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	1	$5	7	+7	Up	+$2	05-06 15:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	1	$4	7	+7	Down	$-4	05-06 18:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	1	$4	7	+7	Down	$-4	05-07 02:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	1	$4	7	+7	Up	+$3	05-06 15:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	1	$4	7	+7	Up	$-4	05-06 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	1	$4	7	+7	Up	+$3	05-07 02:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	1	$4	7	+7	Up	+$3	05-07 01:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	1	$4	7	+7	Up	+$3	05-07 05:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	1	$4	7	+7	Down	+$3	05-06 18:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	1	$4	7	+7	Up	$-4	05-06 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	1	$3	5	+5	open	—	05-07 07:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 08:33:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x55ac0b…
05-07 08:33:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x1f65d8…
05-07 07:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xabd575…
05-07 07:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x608acf…
05-07 07:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x01696f…
05-07 05:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x7555bb…
05-07 05:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x12eac4…
05-07 05:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x8fa582…
05-07 05:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0xa882b3…
05-07 05:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0x13e2e5…
05-07 05:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xfbbafe…
05-07 05:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x4dbacc…
05-07 04:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0xd1ea74…
05-07 04:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x5e5463…
05-07 04:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x79b222…
05-07 04:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x01b84e…
05-07 04:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0xf5d220…
05-07 04:13:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0xe99133…
05-07 03:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0xb53208…
05-07 03:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0x767b1a…
05-07 02:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xed352d…
05-07 02:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x991267…
05-07 02:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x0de93c…
05-07 02:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0xcd1294…
05-07 01:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0xdea3b1…
05-07 01:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0xf77b00…
05-07 01:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x7d8900…
05-07 00:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x91aaea…
05-07 00:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0xad754a…
05-06 19:44:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xe95b5d…
05-06 18:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x8d9328…
05-06 18:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0x7e3457…
05-06 17:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x01fd2f…
05-06 17:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0xb99273…
05-06 17:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0xe2a6ef…
05-06 16:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xeb4889…
05-06 16:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0xa842d1…
05-06 15:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x6cb6e5…
05-06 15:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0xcd3c7b…
05-06 15:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x975183…
05-06 15:32:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x6d407c…
05-04 22:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x9fb02d…
05-04 22:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x1b18ef…
05-04 22:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xba69c4…
05-04 22:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x6521e5…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	30	$4.32K	388	05-07 08:33
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	28	$5.79K	196	05-07 08:34
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	28	$1.97K	189	05-07 08:33
Equal-Renaissance 0x1c4e…4150	27	$883	192	05-07 08:34
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	26	$7.96K	307	05-07 08:33
Mad-Plot 0x2709…20f5	24	$1.63K	153	05-07 08:34
Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f	24	$1.57K	202	05-07 08:33
Babyish-Cribbage 0x2a6c…0b42	24	$639	180	05-07 08:33