Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.4%

Resolved

Trades

215

lifetime

Volume

$567

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 11-02 18:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Politics

71% 82% +$2

Other

26% 76% +$2

Sports

3% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	20	$45	24	24	+0	Yes	+$0	03-01 18:36
will lus marques mendes win the 2026 portugal presidential election	6	$37	19	19	+0	No	+$0	01-20 10:29
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	6	$29	18	15	+2	Yes	+$4	02-05 08:18
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	4	$29	4	25	-20	No	$0	02-05 18:54
another us government shutdown by february 14	7	$25	31	31	+0	No	-$14	02-13 06:19
Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?	4	$23	12	12	+0	Yes	+$1	08-05 05:32
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	7	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$0	06-30 22:03
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	12	$23	11	11	+0	No	+$0	03-31 19:57
will the department of homeland security receive full year funding by february 28 2026	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$1	02-28 06:52
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	9	$18	15	15	+0	No	-$9	03-31 15:29
ilhan omar town hall attack staged	8	$18	10	9	+2	No	+$0	02-27 03:52
will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	6	$14	13	3	+10	Yes	+$1	03-04 08:18
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?	3	$13	7	7	+0	Yes	+$1	07-28 18:33
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	5	$11	11	1	+10	Yes	+$0	01-28 20:35
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$11	8	8	+0	Yes	+$1	04-05 17:30
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?	2	$10	6	6	+0	Yes	+$1	07-01 05:09
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	07-28 18:33
Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?	5	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	06-17 03:12
will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	2	$10	15	15	+0	No	+$0	02-28 08:20
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	04-12 19:53
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	02-28 17:57
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	2	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-02 19:31
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	07-05 03:24
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	2	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	08-08 20:10
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	6	$9	7	3	+4	No	+$0	03-04 01:22
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	1	$9	0	12	-12	Yes	+$9	05-20 03:24
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	18	$9	5	5	+0	No	-$1	04-20 22:26
Will Kristi Noem be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	2	$8	7	7	+0	Yes	+$2	03-05 18:40
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	6	$7	6	2	+4	No	+$1	03-31 19:59
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	2	$6	4	4	+0	No	+$0	04-12 15:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 18:13:54	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x544790…
08-10 14:43:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb12ffa…
08-10 14:33:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x37afd7…
08-08 20:10:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x852afd…
08-08 20:08:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xfbfde0…
08-05 05:32:57	Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x9d18bf…
07-29 04:15:27	Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x7635bd…
07-29 03:28:14	Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$4	0xacf56a…
07-29 03:04:35	Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb251df…
07-28 18:33:35	Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x515df5…
07-28 18:33:35	Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4cbd29…
07-24 20:47:21	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x575298…
07-24 19:53:00	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x771764…
07-24 18:43:18	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x9e09a8…
07-24 18:40:43	will trump meet with netanyahu by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x43af24…
07-12 03:23:52	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x5f8faf…
07-12 03:22:50	Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x6862b8…
07-05 03:24:32	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x7df2b1…
07-02 19:31:53	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7307c2…
07-02 18:44:46	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf286e8…
07-02 02:25:43	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf88621…
07-01 05:09:01	Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x84b5d5…
06-30 23:02:56	Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xd42374…
06-30 22:03:47	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x7f696b…
06-30 20:11:04	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xb24ff7…
06-30 20:09:43	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xc9750c…
06-28 22:02:22	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xc71ee3…
06-24 18:12:13	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x343962…
06-23 15:34:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x6e7289…
06-23 15:34:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xa95f0e…
06-23 15:34:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x67a347…
06-20 19:06:17	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb7449b…
06-20 18:19:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x00570f…
06-20 18:14:43	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf6bde1…
06-20 18:09:56	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xdcb0be…
06-20 03:53:56	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x57cf90…
06-18 10:28:35	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x147198…
06-18 06:34:08	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 19 2026 20260615222831704	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd7ed29…
06-18 00:11:31	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 19 2026 20260615222831704	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xce5cd3…
06-18 00:11:08	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x3958c0…
06-18 00:07:47	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xcaaff6…
06-17 23:54:41	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x486deb…
06-17 23:50:35	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x399023…
06-17 22:30:43	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xfa5e5d…
06-17 17:33:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xfc095b…
06-17 06:49:47	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0ac757…
06-17 03:13:49	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x703086…
06-17 03:12:49	Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x82675b…
06-17 03:12:30	Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x8d31f5…
06-17 03:12:18	Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xcd7120…
06-17 03:12:13	Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x5a06b8…
06-08 06:38:27	Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x269038…
06-06 05:43:40	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x756f61…
05-22 17:05:32	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	3	91¢	$2	0xa5aea1…
05-21 23:31:50	Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xd8c49f…
05-20 03:24:03	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	71¢	$9	0x4a01d7…
04-20 22:26:28	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	1	57¢	$1	0x9384b1…
04-20 22:26:16	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	0	59¢	$0	0x3bec18…
04-20 22:26:08	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	0	59¢	$0	0xc6091d…
04-20 22:16:42	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	0	60¢	$0	0x7f4e72…
04-20 22:08:54	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	0	61¢	$0	0x3cb02f…
04-20 20:18:28	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0xb49de9…
04-20 20:01:02	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	0	59¢	$0	0xea7744…
04-20 19:20:56	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	0	59¢	$0	0xdc788f…
04-13 08:29:35	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x6d8458…
04-12 19:53:37	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xcf0c72…
04-12 19:15:57	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0c921b…
04-12 18:53:13	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x5d31b9…
04-12 15:09:03	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	4	84¢	$3	0x0865e3…
04-12 13:20:59	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x8517b5…
04-12 13:15:41	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x09c14d…
04-12 13:12:05	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	0	87¢	$0	0x21b1f7…
04-12 12:55:27	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x16d9fe…
04-12 04:57:03	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xc80f55…
04-12 04:11:55	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x285a83…
04-12 04:11:35	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x1386d6…
04-12 04:10:43	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x3dba0f…
04-10 18:05:55	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x6f35ec…
04-10 14:07:57	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xb78a8f…
04-07 23:57:15	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa01b46…
04-07 23:52:23	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x6d26d2…
04-05 18:52:13	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xcf8ae1…
04-05 17:30:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	SELL	8	76¢	$6	0x7d131e…
04-01 22:07:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x948aaf…
03-31 19:59:37	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xb239d0…
03-31 19:57:51	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa56d17…
03-31 19:10:29	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x30cded…
03-31 15:29:29	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0xd3bffa…
03-31 14:34:55	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x2cf81a…
03-31 14:28:33	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	0	32¢	$0	0x6c5437…
03-31 14:27:07	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	0	32¢	$0	0x34651d…
03-30 06:06:00	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0x3e5b0e…
03-28 20:39:30	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0x975484…
03-27 23:11:45	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x2ad9fd…
03-27 15:36:57	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x1df834…
03-26 02:36:23	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	Yes	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xd2c5c8…
03-26 02:26:13	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x5c5662…
03-26 01:54:45	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x5f2ebb…
03-25 22:48:55	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xb40b32…
03-25 20:24:31	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa7945b…