Agile-Light — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$264

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.3%

Resolved

Trades

150

lifetime

Volume

$4.17K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 06-16 19:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 60% $-264

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 80 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	2	$230	149	149	+0	Up	+$50	05-08 21:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	6	$173	109	99	+10	Down	+$13	05-09 07:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$146	95	95	+0	Down	+$39	05-08 18:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	5	$144	2,609	109	+2,500	Up	$-6	05-09 07:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	3	$133	92	52	+40	Up	$-29	05-08 14:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	2	$125	239	0	+239	Up	$-98	05-09 07:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$124	82	82	+0	Down	+$24	05-08 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	3	$110	113	32	+81	Up	$-47	05-08 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	4	$108	78	78	+0	Down	+$8	05-09 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$104	54	54	+0	Down	+$4	05-08 14:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	4	$102	71	71	+0	Down	+$2	05-09 07:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	1	$100	135	0	+135	Up	+$35	05-08 18:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	1	$100	146	0	+146	Up	$-100	05-08 21:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	2	$92	50	50	+0	Up	+$6	05-08 16:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	3	$90	51	51	+0	Up	+$12	05-08 13:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	4	$89	78	78	+0	Down	+$8	05-10 06:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	6	$83	56	56	+0	Down	+$17	05-08 18:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	2	$82	54	54	+0	Down	+$23	05-08 14:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	3	$80	67	40	+27	Down	+$6	05-09 08:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	2	$66	49	49	+0	Down	+$14	05-08 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$65	55	55	+0	Up	+$13	05-08 18:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	2	$65	40	40	+0	Down	+$15	05-09 07:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	2	$63	40	40	+0	Up	+$17	05-08 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	2	$62	37	37	+0	Up	+$12	05-09 07:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	1	$61	0	61	-61	Up	$-1	05-08 14:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	2	$59	39	39	+0	Down	+$9	05-09 08:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	2	$58	42	42	+0	Up	+$8	05-09 08:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	2	$58	34	34	+0	Down	+$8	05-09 08:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	2	$57	34	34	+0	Up	+$7	05-09 08:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$57	20	44	-24	Down	+$6	05-08 15:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 19:24:28	btc updown 15m 1781637300	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xf5ebe7…
06-16 19:22:16	btc updown 15m 1781637300	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xb1b3c1…
06-16 19:21:53	btc updown 15m 1781637300	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xfcb956…
06-16 19:16:52	btc updown 15m 1781637300	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x262198…
06-16 19:00:05	btc updown 15m 1781635500	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb8bf57…
06-16 18:59:22	btc updown 15m 1781635500	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x5a1ef7…
05-13 14:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x08ef91…
05-13 14:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x5fdd17…
05-13 13:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	8	8¢	$1	0xce44d0…
05-13 13:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x7c6cf1…
05-13 13:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xf1c567…
05-11 23:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	41	9¢	$4	0x177eb9…
05-11 20:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	41	59¢	$24	0x942cba…
05-10 06:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	37	69¢	$25	0x9eafb3…
05-10 05:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	37	60¢	$22	0xc497d5…
05-10 05:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	41	56¢	$23	0x1fd856…
05-10 04:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	41	44¢	$18	0x9c89e8…
05-10 02:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	15	68¢	$10	0xe8bc10…
05-10 02:06:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x834abb…
05-09 19:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x77eafd…
05-09 19:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x8aef64…
05-09 18:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xde4b6f…
05-09 18:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x0b40de…
05-09 18:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	16	90¢	$14	0x5c28d4…
05-09 18:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xd88c24…
05-09 18:49:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	14	86¢	$12	0x71644d…
05-09 18:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	12	16¢	$2	0x977960…
05-09 18:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xe49c42…
05-09 18:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x136615…
05-09 10:19:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xfbb3bf…
05-09 09:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	38	8¢	$3	0x578391…
05-09 09:32:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x24984f…
05-09 09:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	43	66¢	$28	0xea70da…
05-09 09:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	33	87¢	$29	0x2ed88e…
05-09 09:25:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	33	63¢	$21	0x861a95…
05-09 09:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	SELL	23	93¢	$21	0xfd3afb…
05-09 09:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	23	78¢	$18	0x24fd3d…
05-09 09:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	19	98¢	$19	0xb59efd…
05-09 09:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	19	73¢	$14	0x13ce9d…
05-09 09:07:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0xe17634…
05-09 09:05:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0xfbaf3d…
05-09 08:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	30	98¢	$30	0x35cd92…
05-09 08:56:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x028fc2…
05-09 08:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	42	79¢	$33	0xaa9476…
05-09 08:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x96206f…
05-09 08:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	39	86¢	$34	0xbad454…
05-09 08:47:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x2b3f61…
05-09 08:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0xeb0297…
05-09 08:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	40	74¢	$30	0xcfd182…
05-09 08:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x722149…
05-09 08:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	29	97¢	$28	0xdd6ea3…
05-09 08:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x10df1c…
05-09 08:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0xa615cd…
05-09 08:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0xf8b9c6…
05-09 08:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	38	79¢	$30	0xf0c016…
05-09 08:20:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0xa0e559…
05-09 08:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	36	83¢	$30	0xc9a532…
05-09 08:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x5c2830…
05-09 08:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	33	93¢	$31	0x81eb58…
05-09 08:12:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0xfd6a51…
05-09 08:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	34	96¢	$33	0x98ad5a…
05-09 08:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0xf0aaa7…
05-09 08:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	34	95¢	$32	0x67e7c6…
05-09 08:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0xdaa27f…
05-09 07:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	37	79¢	$29	0x786651…
05-09 07:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x3c656c…
05-09 07:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	42	69¢	$29	0xd34f46…
05-09 07:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x976186…
05-09 07:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	78	23¢	$18	0x4dc1c6…
05-09 07:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0x774c24…
05-09 07:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	27	99¢	$26	0x775254…
05-09 07:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x727bd5…
05-09 07:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0xe03df0…
05-09 07:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	51	84¢	$43	0x856ce3…
05-09 07:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x3dabf0…
05-09 07:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	58	45¢	$26	0x7ba26c…
05-09 07:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0xe5b9cf…
05-09 07:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	53	99¢	$52	0x39052a…
05-09 07:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xde8afe…
05-09 07:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0xebd952…
05-09 07:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	46	87¢	$40	0x7c7922…
05-09 07:36:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x769d01…
05-09 07:36:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3577ab…
05-09 07:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0xba1650…
05-09 07:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0x738096…
05-09 07:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x3f7a2c…
05-09 07:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x25476e…
05-09 07:19:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0x9a3ed1…
05-09 07:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0xe538c7…
05-09 07:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0xc4c524…
05-09 07:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xf2b039…
05-09 07:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x30b243…
05-09 07:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x25f5c6…
05-09 07:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x9d0389…
05-09 07:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x8f1903…
05-09 07:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	SELL	44	59¢	$26	0x387e09…
05-09 07:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0xb6a200…
05-09 06:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x3cc39c…
05-09 06:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0xe1ee36…
05-08 21:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	31	70¢	$22	0xb52142…