Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.2%

Resolved

115

Trades

122

lifetime

Volume

$210

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-20

last 10-12 21:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Other

86% 57% +$11

Politics

12% 46% -$7

Tech

3% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	2	$4	12	+12	Yes	+$3	08-20 20:03
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$3	10	+10	No	-$1	09-12 08:40
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 30	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	07-25 00:33
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	08-19 22:33
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	1	$2	8	+8	Yes	-$2	08-02 00:12
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	No	+$4	08-16 07:55
Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	08-18 07:46
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	1	$2	8	+8	Yes	+$6	08-15 13:49
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$0	08-03 19:34
will trump say save america during michigan remarks 20260724162420366	1	$2	8	+8	Yes	-$2	07-26 12:34
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	08-08 23:55
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	08-17 05:36
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-12 01:24
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	+$4	08-05 03:36
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.45 and $0.50 on August 31, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-20 07:36
Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	08-05 19:40
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	08-07 19:48
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	08-13 06:40
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	08-25 05:03
Will USD be between 1.8M and 1.9M Iranian rials on August 31?	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	08-22 05:03
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	08-04 03:35
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	1	$2	10	+10	Yes	+$8	08-13 23:22
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	08-14 19:26
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	08-15 05:00
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	08-02 19:06
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	08-17 15:38
will trump say job 15 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421449	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-04 11:35
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	08-02 10:50
will wti reach 95 in august 2026	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	08-21 04:05
will trump say barack hussein obama during his rally with darline graham	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	08-21 20:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-12 21:13:47	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xa1694e…
10-10 11:04:06	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x84334e…
10-10 01:36:58	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xb2f22f…
10-09 05:24:36	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x661831…
10-03 02:15:47	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x06fb5c…
10-02 17:56:33	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xe64b86…
10-01 09:11:41	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x3f4f12…
10-01 01:11:33	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x5ceb24…
09-28 16:24:51	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x8912a6…
09-26 18:52:38	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x898d20…
09-26 10:23:57	will wti reach 95 in september 2026 from september 25	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xd741a0…
09-25 13:10:47	spx up or down on september 25 2026	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x87a9d7…
09-25 04:20:36	Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x87d3ac…
09-24 20:17:00	Will Elon tweet 800-839 times in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xba33f9…
09-23 00:14:37	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $190 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xb07123…
09-22 16:09:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xaf128e…
09-22 08:08:21	Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.1M and 7.2M in August?	Yes	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0x3f4cf1…
09-19 22:46:52	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x3487f5…
09-19 13:18:32	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	No	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x2d796f…
09-19 05:09:49	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0x2850e6…
09-18 20:45:30	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0xa81a68…
09-17 21:49:19	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xba2921…
09-17 13:20:01	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0xf95a7c…
09-17 03:54:21	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x347424…
09-13 19:46:04	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x203de6…
09-13 04:37:46	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x9edf4f…
09-12 08:40:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0x151b55…
09-11 19:59:37	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0xf2d9bb…
09-09 22:38:10	Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August?	No	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0xfc68e4…
09-09 14:24:36	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	47¢	$2	0x45c5cb…
09-09 06:24:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xa227a0…
09-08 21:27:48	laptop airdrop by september 9	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xef554b…
09-08 09:36:42	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xfc81d8…
09-08 00:49:43	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xdafcca…
09-07 15:18:12	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?	No	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x60802b…
09-07 07:03:42	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x6ed63c…
09-03 03:47:22	Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or more in August?	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x33c21e…
09-02 19:29:46	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0xef6ba9…
09-02 11:19:13	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $510 Week of August 31 2026?	No	BUY	2	73¢	$2	0x046be0…
09-02 00:54:57	Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in August?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xe4411c…
09-02 00:04:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xed1d88…
08-28 01:53:31	will trump say moon base during remarks at nasa	Yes	BUY	7	22¢	$2	0x716497…
08-27 17:52:27	will trump say nuclear during remarks at nasa	No	BUY	2	73¢	$2	0x65c1d9…
08-27 09:51:40	Will Warsh say "2008" or "Financial Crisis" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	No	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0xb248e0…
08-27 01:49:24	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xbd1eb2…
08-25 05:03:46	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xf8eb6f…
08-24 21:03:30	Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x0d4d2b…
08-23 00:15:07	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xf9515c…
08-22 15:47:55	will warsh say challenge during jackson hole speech on august 28	No	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xc4da68…
08-22 05:03:49	Will USD be between 1.8M and 1.9M Iranian rials on August 31?	No	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x9a02d3…
08-21 20:20:45	will trump say barack hussein obama during his rally with darline graham	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xe691dc…
08-21 12:10:39	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x0227d5…
08-21 04:05:25	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x4c332b…
08-20 20:03:09	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xf3bd4e…
08-20 07:42:39	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	No	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x43b83d…
08-20 07:36:01	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.45 and $0.50 on August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xcfa9a6…
08-19 22:33:03	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x3cbdfc…
08-19 14:10:10	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x17f6e1…
08-19 05:48:21	wti closes above 84 on august 19 2026	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x6651f8…
08-18 15:52:40	Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%?	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x8e382c…
08-18 07:46:31	Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xd30f9b…
08-17 23:38:39	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xaf5a67…
08-17 15:38:25	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x65c4fb…
08-17 05:36:46	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xc91930…
08-16 21:36:37	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in July?	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xc1624a…
08-16 07:55:13	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	No	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xaa9034…
08-15 23:17:49	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xe6e8b0…
08-15 13:49:52	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x1f9604…
08-15 05:00:30	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x9ecd71…
08-14 19:26:16	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xcc6faa…
08-13 23:22:28	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x69896e…
08-13 14:45:33	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.2% in July?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x669e7d…
08-13 06:40:46	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xf288d9…
08-13 06:36:48	will trump say hottest during remarks in new york 20260811183234691	Yes	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x8070c8…
08-12 09:26:10	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xda8997…
08-12 01:24:27	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x583295…
08-11 05:12:45	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xa38986…
08-09 08:11:51	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x63c5ef…
08-08 23:55:40	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xf6f130…
08-08 03:50:10	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x3d745c…
08-07 19:48:52	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xc68e18…
08-06 23:44:05	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xa074d7…
08-06 15:43:05	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x306765…
08-05 19:40:29	Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	No	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x8da555…
08-05 11:39:06	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x2b8a02…
08-05 03:36:44	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x883f0d…
08-04 19:36:23	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xa1ed11…
08-04 11:35:47	will trump say job 15 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421449	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x4a40a7…
08-04 03:35:26	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xcab6aa…
08-03 19:34:08	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xe88ff8…
08-03 11:11:17	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x19ff4f…
08-03 03:10:57	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x8f9f24…
08-02 19:06:20	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x7ac3d2…
08-02 10:50:15	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x9a3677…
08-02 10:15:59	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x30cd6c…
08-02 00:12:41	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xa5b8e2…
08-01 16:10:48	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xf85c39…
08-01 13:52:23	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x4dcb41…
08-01 03:39:38	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x8be669…
07-31 19:37:26	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xb4683c…