Troubled-Overnighter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$17.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$420

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-13 01:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 100% +$10

Politics

0% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No		+2	$2	99¢	$2	+$0	06-02 02:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 11	1	$1.1K	1,083	0	+1,083	open	—	01-11 02:21
will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 10	1	$1.1K	1,082	0	+1,082	open	—	01-10 01:50
will the price of bitcoin be less than 82000 on january 9	1	$1.1K	1,080	0	+1,080	open	—	01-09 03:53
bitcoin above 86k on january 8	1	$1.1K	1,080	0	+1,080	open	—	01-08 02:03
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 11?	1	$1.1K	1,080	0	+1,080	Yes	+$3	05-11 00:53
will the price of ethereum be between 2800 2900 on january 7	1	$1.1K	1,078	0	+1,078	open	—	01-07 01:59
will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on january 6	1	$1.1K	1,077	0	+1,077	open	—	01-06 02:11
will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on january 5	1	$1.1K	1,075	0	+1,075	open	—	01-05 01:45
will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on january 4	1	$1.1K	1,074	0	+1,074	open	—	01-04 01:44
will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on january 3	1	$1.1K	1,073	0	+1,073	open	—	01-03 01:34
will the price of ethereum be between 3300 3400 on january 2	1	$1.1K	1,072	0	+1,072	open	—	01-02 01:14
Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on May 9?	1	$1.1K	1,073	0	+1,073	No	+$2	05-09 01:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?	1	$1.1K	1,070	0	+1,070	No	+$2	05-07 00:33
ethereum above 3200 on january 1	1	$1.1K	1,069	0	+1,069	open	—	01-01 07:40
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 5?	1	$1.1K	1,066	0	+1,066	No	+$2	05-05 03:01
Will the price of Solana be above $50 on May 3?	1	$1.1K	1,054	0	+1,054	open	—	05-03 02:01
will israel nuke iran by january 31	2	$11	6	5	+1	open	—	01-19 09:13
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on february 11	1	$8	1,106	0	+1,106	open	—	02-11 01:55
will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on february 4	1	$7	1,094	0	+1,094	open	—	02-04 05:44
will the price of bitcoin be less than 84000 on january 19	2	$4	2,139	0	+2,139	open	—	01-19 03:46
ethereum above 1700 on february 18	1	$3	1,094	0	+1,094	open	—	02-18 02:03
Will Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	04-14 02:15
Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	05-21 09:25
ethereum above 1600 on february 25	1	$2	1,118	0	+1,118	open	—	02-25 02:13
ethereum above 1600 on march 9	1	$2	1,113	0	+1,113	open	—	03-09 02:32
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-06 11:20
will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on april 17	1	$2	1,088	0	+1,088	open	—	04-17 00:36
will the price of ethereum be greater than 2600 on april 8	1	$2	1,085	0	+1,085	open	—	04-08 01:08
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	06-02 02:36
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 28?	1	$2	1,077	0	+1,077	open	—	04-28 00:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 01:02:46	ethereum above 1800 on june 13 2026	Yes	BUY	1,056	0¢	$2	0xfbe2e8…
06-04 06:06:01	ethereum above 1500 on june 4 2026	No	BUY	1,050	0¢	$2	0x54771b…
06-02 02:36:34	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8147be…
05-21 09:25:58	Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x8aff78…
05-11 00:53:57	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	1,080	100¢	$1,077	0x7a326c…
05-09 01:10:56	Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on May 9?	No	BUY	1,073	100¢	$1,071	0x06227c…
05-07 00:33:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	1,070	100¢	$1,068	0xe397a3…
05-05 03:01:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 5?	No	BUY	1,066	100¢	$1,064	0x0652aa…
05-03 02:01:06	Will the price of Solana be above $50 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	1,054	100¢	$1,052	0x5f8728…
04-28 00:45:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	1,077	0¢	$2	0x73915b…
04-17 00:36:08	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on april 17	Yes	BUY	1,088	0¢	$2	0x3d3a77…
04-14 02:15:21	Will Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xe15cae…
04-08 01:08:59	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2600 on april 8	Yes	BUY	1,085	0¢	$2	0xb152fc…
04-06 11:20:51	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa2fa28…
03-29 03:16:24	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 29	Yes	BUY	1,064	0¢	$2	0xa19b75…
03-20 03:42:33	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 20	Yes	BUY	1,051	0¢	$2	0x2e23d3…
03-09 02:32:31	ethereum above 1600 on march 9	No	BUY	1,113	0¢	$2	0x0e6799…
02-25 02:13:04	ethereum above 1600 on february 25	No	BUY	1,118	0¢	$2	0x7d35bb…
02-18 02:03:33	ethereum above 1700 on february 18	No	BUY	1,094	0¢	$3	0xf33baf…
02-11 01:55:47	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on february 11	Yes	BUY	1,106	1¢	$8	0x94ba47…
02-04 05:44:42	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on february 4	Yes	BUY	1,094	1¢	$7	0xcd952d…
02-02 03:50:16	will msft close above 480 week february 6 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x534afe…
01-30 06:52:52	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x911eff…
01-29 08:27:36	will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1a2b29…
01-28 03:46:59	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on january 28	Yes	BUY	1,080	0¢	$1	0xd3410f…
01-26 11:49:27	will googl dip to 215 in january	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x386a6c…
01-19 09:13:34	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x047326…
01-19 03:46:42	will the price of bitcoin be less than 84000 on january 19	Yes	BUY	1,068	0¢	$2	0xfe9372…
01-19 03:41:26	will the price of bitcoin be less than 84000 on january 19	Yes	BUY	1,071	0¢	$2	0x99d6bd…
01-18 09:07:46	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x042d3c…
01-11 02:21:56	will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 11	No	BUY	1,083	100¢	$1,082	0x2ef2ac…
01-10 01:50:24	will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 10	No	BUY	1,082	100¢	$1,081	0x6f757b…
01-09 03:53:12	will the price of bitcoin be less than 82000 on january 9	No	BUY	1,080	100¢	$1,079	0xf8f370…
01-08 02:03:31	bitcoin above 86k on january 8	Yes	BUY	1,080	100¢	$1,078	0x981418…
01-07 01:59:37	will the price of ethereum be between 2800 2900 on january 7	No	BUY	1,078	100¢	$1,077	0x9c1cb1…
01-06 02:11:41	will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on january 6	No	BUY	1,077	100¢	$1,075	0xa01f8f…
01-05 01:45:01	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on january 5	No	BUY	1,075	100¢	$1,074	0x8c8ca3…
01-04 01:44:47	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on january 4	No	BUY	1,074	100¢	$1,073	0x385ce7…
01-03 01:34:57	will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on january 3	No	BUY	1,073	100¢	$1,072	0xa461a5…
01-02 01:14:49	will the price of ethereum be between 3300 3400 on january 2	No	BUY	1,072	100¢	$1,071	0x88f2ec…
01-01 07:40:11	ethereum above 3200 on january 1	No	BUY	1,069	100¢	$1,066	0xf10aa4…