Outrageous-Circadian — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$478

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.4%

Resolved

Trades

854

lifetime

Volume

$106.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$124

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 07-22 19:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

93% 67% $-478

Crypto

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spx up or down on july 7 2026	25	$3.6K	1,940	1,940	+0	open	—	07-07 18:44
spx opens up or down on june 18 2026	13	$3.5K	1,799	1,799	+0	open	—	06-18 12:31
spx opens up or down on june 12 2026	5	$3.4K	1,863	1,764	+99	open	—	06-12 13:10
spx opens up or down on june 29 2026	21	$3.3K	1,736	1,736	-0	open	—	06-29 13:21
spx opens up or down on june 26 2026	17	$3.2K	1,668	1,668	+0	open	—	06-26 13:19
spx opens up or down on june 10 2026	2	$3.1K	1,613	1,613	+0	open	—	06-10 13:32
spx opens up or down on june 25 2026	26	$3.1K	1,601	1,601	+0	open	—	06-25 13:18
spx opens up or down on july 9 2026	9	$2.9K	1,489	1,489	+0	open	—	07-09 16:41
spx opens up or down on june 9 2026	4	$2.9K	1,501	1,501	+0	open	—	06-09 12:32
spx opens up or down on july 8 2026	12	$2.7K	2,762	0	+2,762	open	—	07-08 12:21
spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	2	$2.6K	1,389	1,389	+0	open	—	06-08 11:39
spx opens up or down on june 5 2026	9	$2.4K	1,296	1,296	+0	open	—	06-05 12:49
spx up or down on july 9 2026	9	$2.2K	2,302	0	+2,302	open	—	07-09 19:01
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 26?	7	$2.2K	1,209	1,209	+0	open	—	05-26 10:04
spx opens up or down on june 4 2026	4	$2.2K	1,201	1,201	+0	open	—	06-04 10:32
spx opens up or down on july 1 2026	25	$2.1K	1,190	1,190	+0	open	—	07-01 13:26
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 3?	3	$1.9K	1,233	1,233	+0	open	—	06-03 12:58
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	2	$1.8K	938	938	+0	Down	+$7	05-12 13:08
spx opens up or down on july 13 2026	9	$1.8K	1,900	0	+1,900	open	—	07-13 12:19
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?	4	$1.8K	1,002	1,002	+0	open	—	05-21 12:49
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?	18	$1.7K	959	958	+0	Down	+$73	05-11 12:50
spx up or down on january 22 2026	5	$1.7K	871	871	+0	open	—	01-22 22:15
spx opens up or down on june 30 2026	13	$1.7K	1,424	1,424	+0	open	—	06-30 12:35
spx opens up or down on june 23 2026	7	$1.6K	832	832	+0	open	—	06-23 15:03
spx opens up or down on june 11 2026	4	$1.6K	858	858	-0	open	—	06-11 12:46
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	2	$1.6K	850	850	+0	Up	+$89	05-08 13:22
spx up or down on july 16 2026	16	$1.6K	943	943	+0	open	—	07-16 16:45
spx opens up or down on july 21 2026	13	$1.5K	865	732	+133	open	—	07-21 14:47
spx opens up or down on june 24 2026	18	$1.4K	864	864	+0	open	—	06-24 13:28
spx opens up or down on july 6 2026	10	$1.4K	1,025	463	+562	open	—	07-06 12:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 19:55:31	spx up or down on july 22 2026	Up	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0xbe22d9…
07-22 19:50:27	spx up or down on july 22 2026	Up	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x79da1c…
07-22 19:47:25	spx up or down on july 22 2026	Up	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0x4b35cf…
07-22 19:42:54	spx up or down on july 22 2026	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc45a95…
07-22 13:31:01	spx opens up or down on july 22 2026	Down	SELL	383	100¢	$382	0x911fc3…
07-22 13:27:31	spx opens up or down on july 22 2026	Down	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x4c8f03…
07-22 13:06:45	spx opens up or down on july 22 2026	Down	BUY	59	98¢	$58	0x0a498f…
07-22 12:51:36	spx opens up or down on july 22 2026	Down	BUY	274	99¢	$271	0x27961f…
07-21 14:47:16	spx opens up or down on july 21 2026	Up	SELL	712	100¢	$711	0xc1575c…
07-21 10:39:52	spx opens up or down on july 21 2026	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x11825e…
07-21 07:30:22	spx opens up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x114d6f…
07-21 07:27:15	spx opens up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xbfbfe0…
07-21 07:27:13	spx opens up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	110	93¢	$102	0xc78ea2…
07-21 07:27:13	spx opens up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	110	93¢	$102	0xc4d167…
07-21 07:27:12	spx opens up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	110	93¢	$102	0xc13392…
07-21 07:27:10	spx opens up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0xe0c4c2…
07-21 07:27:09	spx opens up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x060a4e…
07-21 07:26:12	spx opens up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	110	94¢	$103	0x4f08f9…
07-21 07:26:10	spx opens up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	110	94¢	$103	0xc4014a…
07-21 07:26:10	spx opens up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	110	94¢	$103	0x3ee418…
07-21 07:26:09	spx opens up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	65	94¢	$61	0xfdd2c6…
07-20 19:18:40	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	SELL	50	89¢	$44	0xba96c1…
07-20 19:13:57	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0xb80a95…
07-20 19:02:46	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	SELL	400	38¢	$152	0x1c5960…
07-20 19:02:16	spx opens up or down on july 20 2026	Up	SELL	243	100¢	$243	0xbcb059…
07-20 19:01:04	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	SELL	296	44¢	$130	0x4a424e…
07-20 19:00:49	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	SELL	4	44¢	$2	0xb5fe31…
07-20 19:00:48	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	SELL	300	41¢	$123	0x54be7c…
07-20 16:34:12	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x43346c…
07-20 16:34:07	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	150	89¢	$134	0xaae4e2…
07-20 16:34:04	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	150	89¢	$134	0x083c00…
07-20 16:34:01	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	140	89¢	$125	0x610b6d…
07-20 16:33:58	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xe61ca6…
07-20 16:26:46	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x58ad51…
07-20 16:26:46	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	137	92¢	$126	0x463a39…
07-20 16:26:43	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xaed1ce…
07-20 16:26:24	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	150	92¢	$138	0x61f986…
07-20 16:26:10	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	150	92¢	$138	0xc13fd4…
07-20 10:24:27	spx opens up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	243	93¢	$226	0xc39829…
07-16 16:45:49	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Down	SELL	13	90¢	$12	0x6e01e4…
07-16 16:43:41	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Down	SELL	13	90¢	$11	0x642127…
07-16 16:43:29	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x67d46a…
07-16 16:42:37	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Down	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x294ea9…
07-16 16:25:58	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Down	SELL	778	90¢	$700	0xbbd2cf…
07-16 16:25:08	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Down	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0xab633e…
07-16 16:23:46	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Down	SELL	17	90¢	$16	0xa9aef7…
07-16 13:39:56	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Down	BUY	53	79¢	$42	0x3d3445…
07-16 13:38:49	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Down	BUY	247	79¢	$195	0x0f6eab…
07-16 13:38:02	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Down	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0xbac466…
07-16 13:37:59	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Down	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xaca5ae…
07-16 13:37:59	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Down	BUY	50	77¢	$39	0xa27b07…
07-16 13:37:59	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Down	BUY	150	77¢	$116	0x8b2f20…
07-16 13:37:58	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x4dc6b4…
07-16 12:51:11	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Down	BUY	200	77¢	$154	0x745c80…
07-16 12:47:50	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Down	BUY	200	76¢	$152	0xb874c7…
07-16 11:01:19	spx opens up or down on july 16 2026	Down	SELL	58	85¢	$49	0xcd0e77…
07-16 11:01:17	spx opens up or down on july 16 2026	Down	SELL	110	85¢	$94	0xa62a3d…
07-16 11:01:17	spx opens up or down on july 16 2026	Down	SELL	110	85¢	$94	0x02f9af…
07-16 11:01:16	spx opens up or down on july 16 2026	Down	SELL	40	85¢	$34	0xbd2866…
07-16 11:01:16	spx opens up or down on july 16 2026	Down	SELL	110	85¢	$94	0x1da530…
07-16 11:01:14	spx opens up or down on july 16 2026	Down	SELL	110	85¢	$94	0x93a9a5…
07-16 11:01:14	spx opens up or down on july 16 2026	Down	SELL	110	85¢	$94	0x35692b…
07-16 11:01:13	spx opens up or down on july 16 2026	Down	SELL	110	85¢	$94	0x7b08c3…
07-16 08:39:22	spx opens up or down on july 16 2026	Down	BUY	27	83¢	$22	0x067783…
07-16 08:38:37	spx opens up or down on july 16 2026	Down	BUY	40	83¢	$33	0x85e8c0…
07-16 08:36:13	spx opens up or down on july 16 2026	Down	BUY	27	83¢	$22	0xa8d1cf…
07-16 08:36:02	spx opens up or down on july 16 2026	Down	BUY	3	83¢	$2	0xefe032…
07-16 08:21:58	spx opens up or down on july 16 2026	Down	BUY	40	84¢	$34	0xe37287…
07-16 08:21:47	spx opens up or down on july 16 2026	Down	BUY	40	84¢	$34	0xf727f7…
07-16 08:21:19	spx opens up or down on july 16 2026	Down	BUY	40	84¢	$34	0xe8110a…
07-16 08:20:19	spx opens up or down on july 16 2026	Down	BUY	40	84¢	$34	0xb8d731…
07-16 08:18:01	spx opens up or down on july 16 2026	Down	BUY	40	84¢	$34	0x93678f…
07-16 08:15:34	spx opens up or down on july 16 2026	Down	BUY	62	84¢	$52	0x9b5912…
07-16 08:14:35	spx opens up or down on july 16 2026	Down	BUY	103	84¢	$86	0x247a8e…
07-16 08:14:17	spx opens up or down on july 16 2026	Down	BUY	56	82¢	$46	0xe11df3…
07-16 07:59:58	spx opens up or down on july 16 2026	Down	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0xbac62e…
07-16 07:59:46	spx opens up or down on july 16 2026	Down	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0x834d12…
07-16 07:59:34	spx opens up or down on july 16 2026	Down	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0xeda63a…
07-16 07:59:22	spx opens up or down on july 16 2026	Down	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0xb29f32…
07-16 07:59:11	spx opens up or down on july 16 2026	Down	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0xa4091f…
07-16 07:59:01	spx opens up or down on july 16 2026	Down	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0x5456be…
07-15 13:03:40	spx opens up or down on july 15 2026	Down	BUY	160	1¢	$1	0xc34b7b…
07-14 20:45:55	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 5pt5	Under	SELL	666	99¢	$661	0x5073dd…
07-14 20:28:26	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb70a8f…
07-14 20:27:58	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	148	97¢	$144	0x173e79…
07-14 20:27:41	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	182	97¢	$177	0x74b870…
07-14 20:27:41	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	182	97¢	$177	0x0963b1…
07-14 20:27:40	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	154	97¢	$149	0x83e9e9…
07-14 16:42:38	spx up or down on july 14 2026	Up	SELL	23	88¢	$20	0xd84942…
07-14 16:42:38	spx up or down on july 14 2026	Up	SELL	70	88¢	$61	0xd74ff1…
07-14 16:42:38	spx up or down on july 14 2026	Up	SELL	17	88¢	$15	0x2a7f4e…
07-14 16:42:37	spx up or down on july 14 2026	Up	SELL	22	88¢	$19	0x15539a…
07-14 16:41:17	spx up or down on july 14 2026	Up	SELL	66	88¢	$58	0xcb4186…
07-14 15:48:40	spx up or down on july 14 2026	Up	BUY	197	88¢	$174	0xb0bc1d…
07-14 13:09:44	spx opens up or down on july 14 2026	Up	SELL	731	98¢	$716	0x15d140…
07-14 13:02:56	spx opens up or down on july 14 2026	Up	BUY	87	97¢	$84	0x2d015e…
07-14 12:49:14	spx opens up or down on july 14 2026	Up	BUY	76	97¢	$74	0xb261cc…
07-14 12:48:59	spx opens up or down on july 14 2026	Up	BUY	9	97¢	$8	0xbac792…
07-14 12:35:28	spx opens up or down on july 14 2026	Up	BUY	560	98¢	$548	0x693ee8…
07-13 18:23:44	spx up or down on july 13 2026	Down	SELL	136	100¢	$136	0xe324f2…