Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$505

Unrealized P&L

-$9

Hit rate

76.3%

Resolved (30d)

139

Trades (30d)

582

582 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$6.21K

$6.21K lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$20

4 positions

First seen

2026-10-09

last 10-29 19:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Other

81% 30% +$295

Crypto

11% 57% +$17

Politics

7% 100% +$193

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 121 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	-19	-$6	66¢	$-13	-$7	10-29 09:43
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	-19	-$2	31¢	$-6	-$4	10-29 02:56
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	-45	-$2	3¢	$-1	+$1	10-29 14:18
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	-45	$0	0¢	$-0	+$0	10-29 14:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 50 and 55 million views in week 1?	18	$534	465	465	+0	Yes	+$147	10-15 05:58
Will MrBeast's next video get between 270 and 280 million views on week 2?	5	$469	346	316	+30	Yes	+$89	10-17 04:44
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	26	$441	489	489	+0	Yes	+$248	10-13 08:23
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	4	$397	289	289	+0	Yes	+$174	10-13 15:57
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	11	$391	484	484	+0	No	+$42	10-22 06:23
Will there be an ace in the VALORANT Champions 2026 Grand Final?	2	$211	122	122	+0	Yes	+$31	10-18 06:49
Will Derke have the most first bloods at VALORANT Champions 2026?	7	$209	195	195	+0	Yes	+$181	10-18 10:37
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	6	$193	112	112	+0	Yes	+$26	10-09 15:32
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	10	$180	265	235	+30	No	+$38	10-12 16:22
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	7	$157	320	320	+0	Yes	-$81	10-21 04:37
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	101	$142	140	140	+0	Yes	+$109	10-14 06:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	3	$128	186	86	+100	Up	+$43	10-09 08:14
will whalefall score at least 72 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	4	$126	57	136	-79	No	+$29	10-19 09:57
Will jawgemo have the most first bloods at VALORANT Champions 2026?	8	$126	184	184	+0	No	+$5	10-17 04:43
Will "Wildwood" score at least 98 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	4	$110	118	118	+0	Yes	-$13	10-21 18:20
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	3	$93	228	228	+0	No	+$3	10-10 06:46
Will trent have the most kills for G2 Esports at VALORANT Champions 2026?	6	$90	52	52	+0	Yes	+$13	10-16 14:35
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	1	$87	230	0	+230	No	-$87	10-17 18:03
Will MrBeast's next video get between 260 and 270 million views on week 2?	5	$79	375	1	+374	No	-$79	10-17 04:45
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31?	7	$74	529	529	+0	open	—	10-15 20:12
Will lukxo have the highest ACS at VALORANT Champions 2026?	4	$72	149	149	+0	No	-$61	10-18 10:34
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	5	$71	374	381	-6	No	-$61	10-16 02:33
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	2	$68	50	50	+0	Yes	+$18	10-16 04:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$68	0	128	-128	Down	+$4	10-18 15:29
Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs	5	$68	170	104	+66	T1	+$37	10-09 11:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	3	$67	0	67	-67	Down	-$1	10-18 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$66	0	67	-67	Down	-$1	10-18 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	7	$65	0	125	-125	Down	+$3	10-18 20:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$64	0	120	-120	Up	+$4	10-18 15:24
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	2	$64	0	130	-130	Yes	-$1	10-18 23:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 19:29:30	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	50¢	$13	0x7d7b55…
10-29 19:27:46	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	14¢	$4	0xeb3a6d…
10-29 14:23:28	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x97d19c…
10-29 14:19:07	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0x063a2a…
10-29 14:18:46	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	5¢	$1	0xc1ba3f…
10-29 09:57:50	Will zekken play for KRÜ Esports in 2027?	Yes	BUY	150	0¢	$1	0x16c9d2…
10-29 09:57:26	Will zekken play for LOUD in 2027?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0xd78a40…
10-29 09:57:01	Will zekken play for FURIA Esports in 2027?	Yes	BUY	52	0¢	$0	0xe3a40c…
10-29 09:56:34	Will zekken play for Cloud9 in 2027?	Yes	BUY	101	0¢	$0	0x3d3de0…
10-29 09:53:10	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	1¢	$0	0xe77048…
10-29 09:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	28	56¢	$16	0x0e142c…
10-29 09:44:11	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	12¢	$2	0x706078…
10-29 09:43:49	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	39¢	$8	0xe524ba…
10-29 09:43:35	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	32¢	$6	0xba40e3…
10-29 09:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	11¢	$2	0xc1e6cc…
10-29 09:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x4ffcb8…
10-29 03:04:22	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0x21fbe6…
10-29 02:56:11	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	10¢	$2	0x8dfe20…
10-29 02:55:52	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	10¢	$0	0x19df46…
10-28 22:51:49	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	4¢	$1	0x25d673…
10-28 22:51:34	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	7¢	$1	0x242d21…
10-28 22:51:26	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0xa184fe…
10-28 22:35:47	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	52¢	$1	0x8d8f3b…
10-28 22:35:13	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	52¢	$2	0x78bb7a…
10-28 22:35:11	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x4702c8…
10-28 22:34:53	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x62eb7e…
10-28 22:32:19	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x96fdf8…
10-28 22:32:14	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0x25d103…
10-28 22:30:31	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0xc91464…
10-28 21:43:52	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x152d15…
10-28 21:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	14	80¢	$11	0xa8286a…
10-28 21:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0xb0c6dd…
10-28 21:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0x6bac40…
10-28 21:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x3aa389…
10-28 21:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x6b2821…
10-28 21:00:04	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x6c6b37…
10-28 20:58:26	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xaab02f…
10-28 20:30:59	Will Jawgemo play for G2 Esports in 2027?	Yes	SELL	17	43¢	$7	0xe71290…
10-28 20:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xa73243…
10-28 19:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0x606b3e…
10-28 19:22:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	11	51¢	$6	0x15b4a6…
10-28 18:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	24	30¢	$7	0xef5f4b…
10-28 18:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0xa3e7b0…
10-28 18:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xef68b6…
10-28 18:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	36	13¢	$5	0xf8d1ea…
10-28 18:37:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x102b88…
10-28 17:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0xf0d528…
10-28 17:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x330e8d…
10-28 16:06:29	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x581663…
10-27 20:26:03	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x60dbe4…
10-27 19:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xa92efe…
10-27 19:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xfe3a72…
10-27 19:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x2d0de0…
10-27 19:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	9	7¢	$1	0x36eac7…
10-27 18:23:36	Will Demon1 play for LOUD in 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xa44fe4…
10-27 18:08:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x93a79e…
10-27 18:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0xdfabce…
10-27 15:57:26	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xd7129f…
10-27 15:56:38	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0xacb1ac…
10-27 14:39:50	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xe8f2b8…
10-27 14:29:00	Will Jawgemo play for Sentinels in 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xbdd119…
10-27 14:28:42	Will Jawgemo play for G2 Esports in 2027?	Yes	BUY	17	4¢	$1	0x928102…
10-27 14:24:38	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xc53d5f…
10-27 09:50:20	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0x569882…
10-27 04:02:12	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x1ed730…
10-26 18:59:39	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	12¢	$1	0xd21bd5…
10-23 15:22:26	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	8¢	$7	0x599e16…
10-23 15:16:42	Will Jawgemo leave G2 in 2026?	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x009776…
10-23 15:16:35	Will Jawgemo leave G2 in 2026?	No	SELL	40	12¢	$5	0x94ac86…
10-22 06:23:02	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	215	0¢	$0	0x62fd2f…
10-21 18:21:48	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	215	10¢	$22	0x7cb496…
10-21 18:20:29	Will "Wildwood" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	159	2¢	$3	0x4e99b6…
10-21 18:20:20	Will "Wildwood" score at least 98 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	58	33¢	$19	0xf51727…
10-21 04:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	88	29¢	$25	0x406964…
10-21 04:37:20	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	133	8¢	$11	0x827a4b…
10-21 04:36:54	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	148	8¢	$12	0xd67553…
10-20 13:45:41	Will Jawgemo leave G2 in 2026?	No	BUY	70	13¢	$9	0xf9cb39…
10-20 13:44:54	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	19	43¢	$8	0xc0b4e4…
10-20 08:21:29	Will MrBeast's next video get between 109 and 112 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0xec1715…
10-20 08:20:53	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 109 million views on day 3?	No	BUY	36	5¢	$2	0x6e5b63…
10-20 08:20:23	Will MrBeast's next video get between 109 and 112 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x0e3fa4…
10-20 08:20:10	Will MrBeast's next video get between 109 and 112 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	27	3¢	$1	0xf87ef9…
10-20 08:19:31	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x3e9e1b…
10-19 10:04:03	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	52	38¢	$20	0x16f049…
10-19 10:03:35	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	19	38¢	$7	0xa4d948…
10-19 10:03:05	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	249	37¢	$92	0x0bf501…
10-19 09:57:54	Will "Whalefall" score at least 72 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	97	98¢	$95	0xe861cc…
10-19 09:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	26	92¢	$24	0xc65e18…
10-19 09:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	18	21¢	$4	0x7ac35c…
10-19 09:51:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xc2a285…
10-19 09:51:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0x85dd32…
10-19 09:51:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	21¢	$1	0x3c9922…
10-18 23:27:11	Will "Whalefall" score at least 72 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0x140c01…
10-18 23:25:42	Will "Whalefall" score at least 72 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	31	6¢	$2	0x34e3ba…
10-18 23:24:51	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	SELL	65	90¢	$58	0xc30933…
10-18 22:03:44	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	65	8¢	$5	0x86f54d…
10-18 20:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	30	24¢	$7	0xb7a4a4…
10-18 20:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x61ab0b…
10-18 20:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	6	24¢	$1	0x2a46f9…
10-18 20:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x136af1…