Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$7

Unrealized P&L

+$12

Hit rate

60.3%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

107

621 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$417

$6.40K lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-10-09

last 10-30 19:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Other

80% 31% +$268

Crypto

13% 54% +$27

Politics

8% 67% +$175

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 121 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	-32	-$9	1¢	$-0	+$8	10-30 13:03
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	-32	-$2	0¢	$-0	+$2	10-30 15:32
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	-32	-$1	0¢	$-0	+$1	10-30 15:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 50 and 55 million views in week 1?	18	$534	465	465	+0	Yes	+$147	10-15 05:58
Will MrBeast's next video get between 270 and 280 million views on week 2?	5	$469	346	316	+30	Yes	+$89	10-17 04:44
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	26	$441	489	489	+0	Yes	+$248	10-13 08:23
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	4	$397	289	289	+0	Yes	+$174	10-13 15:57
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	11	$391	484	484	+0	No	+$42	10-22 06:23
Will there be an ace in the VALORANT Champions 2026 Grand Final?	2	$211	122	122	+0	Yes	+$31	10-18 06:49
Will Derke have the most first bloods at VALORANT Champions 2026?	7	$209	195	195	+0	Yes	+$181	10-18 10:37
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	6	$193	112	112	+0	Yes	+$26	10-09 15:32
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	10	$180	265	235	+30	No	+$38	10-12 16:22
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	7	$157	320	320	+0	Yes	-$81	10-21 04:37
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	101	$142	140	140	+0	Yes	+$109	10-14 06:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	3	$128	186	86	+100	Up	+$43	10-09 08:14
will whalefall score at least 72 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	4	$126	57	136	-79	No	+$29	10-19 09:57
Will jawgemo have the most first bloods at VALORANT Champions 2026?	8	$126	184	184	+0	No	+$5	10-17 04:43
Will "Wildwood" score at least 98 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	4	$110	118	118	+0	Yes	-$13	10-21 18:20
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	3	$93	228	228	+0	No	+$3	10-10 06:46
Will trent have the most kills for G2 Esports at VALORANT Champions 2026?	6	$90	52	52	+0	Yes	+$13	10-16 14:35
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	1	$87	230	0	+230	No	-$87	10-17 18:03
Will MrBeast's next video get between 260 and 270 million views on week 2?	5	$79	375	1	+374	No	-$79	10-17 04:45
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31?	7	$74	529	529	+0	open	—	10-15 20:12
Will lukxo have the highest ACS at VALORANT Champions 2026?	4	$72	149	149	+0	No	-$61	10-18 10:34
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	5	$71	374	381	-6	No	-$61	10-16 02:33
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	2	$68	50	50	+0	Yes	+$18	10-16 04:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$68	0	128	-128	Down	+$4	10-18 15:29
Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs	5	$68	170	104	+66	T1	+$37	10-09 11:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	3	$67	0	67	-67	Down	-$1	10-18 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$66	0	67	-67	Down	-$1	10-18 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	7	$65	0	125	-125	Down	+$3	10-18 20:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$64	0	120	-120	Up	+$4	10-18 15:24
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	2	$64	0	130	-130	Yes	-$1	10-18 23:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 19:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0x50107b…
10-30 15:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0x89c50c…
10-30 15:49:24	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	2¢	$1	0x768d83…
10-30 15:49:00	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	7¢	$2	0x543ae2…
10-30 15:48:30	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	4¢	$1	0x6fc8f9…
10-30 15:48:19	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	3¢	$1	0x79aa8d…
10-30 15:48:07	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	3¢	$1	0x2f5916…
10-30 15:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	40	22¢	$9	0x22c068…
10-30 15:32:16	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	7¢	$1	0xc29b8b…
10-30 15:31:48	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x8292f3…
10-30 15:31:25	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	8¢	$3	0x1c70e7…
10-30 15:30:55	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0xa3bfc7…
10-30 15:29:33	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	11¢	$3	0x6e7f46…
10-30 15:28:37	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	2¢	$1	0xc7af5a…
10-30 15:27:13	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	128	4¢	$6	0x8138d1…
10-30 15:23:39	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	18¢	$6	0xe246d3…
10-30 13:58:46	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	29¢	$10	0x1f1f93…
10-30 13:33:30	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xb04949…
10-30 13:03:43	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	8¢	$3	0xca970d…
10-30 13:03:31	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	27¢	$9	0x5a283e…
10-30 13:02:51	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	0¢	$0	0xff1670…
10-30 13:02:48	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	0¢	$0	0xf6eb87…
10-30 13:02:39	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	1¢	$0	0x13b942…
10-30 12:23:34	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	0¢	$0	0x1dbda2…
10-30 12:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xb19bc1…
10-30 12:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	22	60¢	$13	0x9c1c6a…
10-30 12:02:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	22	37¢	$8	0x9184df…
10-30 12:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	37	50¢	$19	0x89f2ed…
10-30 12:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	15	50¢	$8	0x62325b…
10-30 12:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$3	0x51d752…
10-30 12:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	57	20¢	$11	0x116b47…
10-30 11:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0xf28d37…
10-30 11:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x348591…
10-30 11:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0xac1cc9…
10-30 11:52:22	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	27¢	$7	0x70a30b…
10-30 10:02:19	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	14¢	$12	0x8d650f…
10-30 10:01:18	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x9d4431…
10-30 10:00:39	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0x6ae47b…
10-30 10:00:13	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	68¢	$18	0xb3acb2…
10-29 19:29:30	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	50¢	$13	0x7d7b55…
10-29 19:27:46	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	14¢	$4	0xeb3a6d…
10-29 14:23:28	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x97d19c…
10-29 14:19:07	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0x063a2a…
10-29 14:18:46	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	5¢	$1	0xc1ba3f…
10-29 09:57:50	Will zekken play for KRÜ Esports in 2027?	Yes	BUY	150	0¢	$1	0x16c9d2…
10-29 09:57:26	Will zekken play for LOUD in 2027?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0xd78a40…
10-29 09:57:01	Will zekken play for FURIA Esports in 2027?	Yes	BUY	52	0¢	$0	0xe3a40c…
10-29 09:56:34	Will zekken play for Cloud9 in 2027?	Yes	BUY	101	0¢	$0	0x3d3de0…
10-29 09:53:10	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	1¢	$0	0xe77048…
10-29 09:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	28	56¢	$16	0x0e142c…
10-29 09:44:11	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	12¢	$2	0x706078…
10-29 09:43:49	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	39¢	$8	0xe524ba…
10-29 09:43:35	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	32¢	$6	0xba40e3…
10-29 09:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	11¢	$2	0xc1e6cc…
10-29 09:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x4ffcb8…
10-29 03:04:22	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0x21fbe6…
10-29 02:56:11	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	10¢	$2	0x8dfe20…
10-29 02:55:52	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	10¢	$0	0x19df46…
10-28 22:51:49	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	4¢	$1	0x25d673…
10-28 22:51:34	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	7¢	$1	0x242d21…
10-28 22:51:26	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0xa184fe…
10-28 22:35:47	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	52¢	$1	0x8d8f3b…
10-28 22:35:13	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	52¢	$2	0x78bb7a…
10-28 22:35:11	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x4702c8…
10-28 22:34:53	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x62eb7e…
10-28 22:32:19	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x96fdf8…
10-28 22:32:14	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0x25d103…
10-28 22:30:31	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0xc91464…
10-28 21:43:52	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x152d15…
10-28 21:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	14	80¢	$11	0xa8286a…
10-28 21:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0xb0c6dd…
10-28 21:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0x6bac40…
10-28 21:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x3aa389…
10-28 21:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x6b2821…
10-28 21:00:04	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x6c6b37…
10-28 20:58:26	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xaab02f…
10-28 20:30:59	Will Jawgemo play for G2 Esports in 2027?	Yes	SELL	17	43¢	$7	0xe71290…
10-28 20:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xa73243…
10-28 19:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0x606b3e…
10-28 19:22:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	11	51¢	$6	0x15b4a6…
10-28 18:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	24	30¢	$7	0xef5f4b…
10-28 18:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0xa3e7b0…
10-28 18:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xef68b6…
10-28 18:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	36	13¢	$5	0xf8d1ea…
10-28 18:37:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x102b88…
10-28 17:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0xf0d528…
10-28 17:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x330e8d…
10-28 16:06:29	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x581663…
10-27 20:26:03	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x60dbe4…
10-27 19:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xa92efe…
10-27 19:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xfe3a72…
10-27 19:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x2d0de0…
10-27 19:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	9	7¢	$1	0x36eac7…
10-27 18:23:36	Will Demon1 play for LOUD in 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xa44fe4…
10-27 18:08:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x93a79e…
10-27 18:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0xdfabce…
10-27 15:57:26	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xd7129f…
10-27 15:56:38	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0xacb1ac…
10-27 14:39:50	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xe8f2b8…
10-27 14:29:00	Will Jawgemo play for Sentinels in 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xbdd119…