Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$151

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

243

lifetime

Volume

$2.95K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$159

1 position

First seen

2026-03-06

last 06-11 11:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

50% 0% $-151

Other

33% 0% $-0

Sports

15% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	No		-201	$-153	79¢	$-159	$-6	06-11 11:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	8	$398	512	512	+0	open	—	03-17 22:49
Will Russia capture Rodynske by April 30?	4	$202	272	98	+174	open	—	03-17 22:49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	4	$198	186	62	+124	Yes	$-101	03-14 00:27
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	1	$153	0	201	-201	open	—	06-11 11:49
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	8	$136	167	33	+134	open	—	03-14 00:50
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?	1	$118	0	130	-130	open	—	06-11 11:49
fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 spread home 2pt5	1	$100	1,895	0	+1,895	open	—	06-11 11:50
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	14	$74	71	71	+0	open	—	03-07 03:39
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	1	$54	0	55	-55	open	—	06-11 11:48
israel military action against yemen by april 15 2026	1	$50	95	0	+95	open	—	04-01 04:42
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	1	$50	76	0	+76	open	—	03-29 17:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$50	71	0	+71	Yes	$-50	03-30 19:30
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	1	$50	63	0	+63	open	—	03-28 23:26
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$50	83	0	+83	open	—	03-19 00:03
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?	1	$50	64	0	+64	open	—	03-29 19:14
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?	1	$50	90	0	+90	open	—	03-20 17:15
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	5	$48	24	24	+0	open	—	03-07 03:41
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	5	$47	24	24	+0	open	—	03-07 03:40
nba nyk den 2026 03 06	10	$43	41	41	+0	open	—	03-07 03:39
nhl car edm 2026 03 06	10	$43	41	41	+0	open	—	03-07 03:40
bitcoin above 70k on march 6	14	$37	41	41	+0	open	—	03-06 13:59
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	6	$37	24	24	+0	open	—	03-07 03:40
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	1	$33	0	128	-128	open	—	06-11 11:48
nba mia cha 2026 03 06	8	$33	33	33	+0	open	—	03-06 14:04
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	5	$33	33	25	+8	open	—	03-07 00:26
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	3	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	03-07 03:41
bun bay moe 2026 03 06 bay	8	$32	29	29	+0	open	—	03-06 14:00
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	4	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	03-12 03:32
nba dal bos 2026 03 06	4	$29	16	16	+0	open	—	03-07 03:39
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	3	$28	16	16	+0	open	—	03-07 00:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 11:50:49	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 spread home 2pt5	Korea Republic	BUY	1,895	5¢	$100	0xf99d11…
06-11 11:49:06	Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	201	76¢	$153	0xdfad75…
06-11 11:49:00	Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?	No	SELL	130	91¢	$118	0x36fbeb…
06-11 11:48:52	Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	Yes	SELL	55	98¢	$54	0x056bd4…
06-11 11:48:48	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	128	26¢	$33	0x901e73…
06-11 11:48:42	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	SELL	77	32¢	$25	0x235cb7…
06-11 11:48:36	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	SELL	290	5¢	$14	0xb12f00…
04-01 04:42:23	israel military action against yemen by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	95	53¢	$50	0x5b6c83…
03-30 19:30:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	71	71¢	$50	0x5f4d80…
03-29 19:14:30	Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0x6cb012…
03-29 17:31:20	Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0x1384ac…
03-28 23:26:10	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	Yes	BUY	63	78¢	$50	0x5964c5…
03-20 17:15:47	Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	55¢	$50	0x56aa1a…
03-19 00:03:41	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x7ee720…
03-17 22:49:15	Will Russia capture Rodynske by April 30?	Yes	SELL	98	55¢	$53	0x1c6867…
03-17 22:49:01	israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	53	20¢	$11	0xefa32c…
03-17 22:44:53	israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	174	21¢	$37	0x9a8c82…
03-17 00:08:45	Will Russia capture Rodynske by April 30?	Yes	BUY	92	54¢	$50	0x7b1ad1…
03-16 23:33:59	Will Russia capture Rodynske by April 30?	Yes	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0xb1c67f…
03-16 22:01:17	Will Russia capture Rodynske by April 30?	Yes	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0xb50d00…
03-14 00:50:47	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0x7322fc…
03-14 00:27:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0xa8c17e…
03-13 23:59:43	israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	113	44¢	$50	0xd2f786…
03-13 16:07:05	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0x6672cd…
03-13 14:29:55	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0x7c99e3…
03-13 14:18:13	israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0xb82d1c…
03-13 14:17:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	62	79¢	$49	0x359838…
03-13 14:17:15	israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	285	42¢	$119	0xfcb892…
03-13 00:27:05	israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	106	48¢	$51	0x4720af…
03-13 00:23:27	israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	109	47¢	$51	0x043fc1…
03-12 23:57:43	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	62	80¢	$49	0x5ba3d6…
03-12 23:43:37	israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	70	45¢	$31	0x056ffe…
03-12 03:32:59	Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x312913…
03-12 03:32:51	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	SELL	8	69¢	$6	0x44e1d8…
03-12 03:32:43	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x809cfb…
03-12 03:32:29	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0xbef276…
03-12 03:09:31	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0x582cee…
03-07 04:03:43	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xf1333b…
03-07 03:41:31	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x5a2928…
03-07 03:41:19	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xd4bf11…
03-07 03:41:13	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0x68df44…
03-07 03:41:11	Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x32f5ff…
03-07 03:40:55	Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x22c925…
03-07 03:40:53	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x459bd0…
03-07 03:40:43	will the secret agent win best picture at the 98th academy awards 938	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x370524…
03-07 03:40:41	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xc3976a…
03-07 03:40:39	will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xd307f3…
03-07 03:40:35	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xa0a1bd…
03-07 03:40:33	will the fed cutpausecut in the next three decisions decjanmar	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xeb0d58…
03-07 03:40:25	fed rate cut by march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x5995c8…
03-07 03:40:19	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	No	SELL	8	93¢	$7	0xa8b22f…
03-07 03:40:11	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	SELL	8	84¢	$7	0x37d3b2…
03-07 03:40:07	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	16	77¢	$12	0x072faf…
03-07 03:40:05	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	8	61¢	$5	0xb469d3…
03-07 03:40:01	nhl car edm 2026 03 06	Hurricanes	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0x4a3db4…
03-07 03:39:57	nba por hou 2026 03 06	Rockets	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x9ec0e1…
03-07 03:39:49	nba dal bos 2026 03 06	Celtics	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xbfed3f…
03-07 03:39:45	nba nyk den 2026 03 06	Knicks	SELL	8	81¢	$6	0xb71952…
03-07 03:39:37	nba por hou 2026 03 06 spread home 6pt5	Rockets	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x332d4c…
03-07 03:39:33	nba dal bos 2026 03 06 total 225pt5	Under	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x824941…
03-07 03:39:19	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	No	SELL	8	86¢	$7	0x472521…
03-07 03:39:15	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	8	87¢	$7	0xfd0c36…
03-07 03:39:09	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0x200e5f…
03-07 03:39:05	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	SELL	8	56¢	$4	0x35d528…
03-07 03:39:05	will iran strike israel on march 6	No	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0x061dc4…
03-07 01:30:49	nba mia cha 2026 03 06 total 229pt5	Over	SELL	8	68¢	$5	0xa89acc…
03-07 01:05:23	nba dal bos 2026 03 06 total 225pt5	Under	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x46e772…
03-07 01:04:55	nba dal bos 2026 03 06 total 225pt5	Under	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x87a47e…
03-07 01:02:59	nba nyk den 2026 03 06	Knicks	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xd9b972…
03-07 00:56:49	nhl car edm 2026 03 06	Hurricanes	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x8398c0…
03-07 00:43:19	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0xd0d18d…
03-07 00:37:35	nba por hou 2026 03 06 spread home 6pt5	Rockets	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x307a50…
03-07 00:35:55	nba dal bos 2026 03 06 total 225pt5	Under	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0xda857e…
03-07 00:32:03	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x9f9a08…
03-07 00:27:13	will iran strike israel on march 6	No	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0x8b5e64…
03-07 00:26:53	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xac1c93…
03-07 00:26:47	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x596b81…
03-07 00:26:47	Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x23709b…
03-07 00:26:45	nba dal bos 2026 03 06	Celtics	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xd647fb…
03-07 00:26:45	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x44aa99…
03-07 00:26:43	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4efaac…
03-07 00:26:39	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xf9c04f…
03-07 00:26:37	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xe32e85…
03-07 00:26:31	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	No	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x4e37e0…
03-07 00:26:27	fed rate cut by march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xcec31c…
03-07 00:25:49	nhl fla det 2026 03 06 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0x0c1f0b…
03-07 00:25:29	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xf14678…
03-07 00:25:29	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xd76144…
03-07 00:25:29	will the fed cutpausecut in the next three decisions decjanmar	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x649846…
03-07 00:25:19	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0xf309a0…
03-07 00:25:19	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9f0011…
03-07 00:25:15	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x157192…
03-07 00:25:13	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0xb56cd4…
03-07 00:25:07	will the secret agent win best picture at the 98th academy awards 938	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd09dd9…
03-07 00:25:03	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xafa7d4…
03-07 00:25:03	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x32dc9b…
03-07 00:24:59	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	8	69¢	$6	0xf91f82…
03-07 00:24:57	nba por hou 2026 03 06	Rockets	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0xaf0914…
03-07 00:24:17	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xf62893…
03-07 00:24:05	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4659ec…