Realized P&L
+$27
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
37.1%
Resolved
8
Trades
66
lifetime
Volume
$120
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$11
11 positions
First seen
2026-10-25
last 10-27 06:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
86% 0% -$19
Politics
12% 100% +$49
Crypto
3% 0% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? Yes +184 $5 1¢ $3 -$2 10-27 05:39
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +103 $1 1¢ $1 +$0 10-26 15:34
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes +67 $1 2¢ $1 +$0 10-27 05:59
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +24 $1 4¢ $1 $0 10-27 05:59
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +50 $1 2¢ $1 $0 10-27 06:09
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +24 $1 4¢ $1 $0 10-26 21:23
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +30 $1 3¢ $1 $0 10-27 05:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? Yes +250 $1 0¢ $1 $0 10-27 06:14
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? Yes +83 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-27 06:00
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? Yes +250 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 10-26 13:51
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? Yes +67 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 10-26 14:09