Realized P&L
+$1.28K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.20K
Hit rate
68.2%
Resolved
153
Trades
610
lifetime
Volume
$85.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$140
Open exposure
$14.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 11:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 81 days
Categories
Politics
59% 47% +$1,159
Other
37% 51% +$34
Crypto
3% 67% -$58
Sports
0% 25% +$134
Tech
0% 100% +$15
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
42 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No -3,200 -$1,778 41¢ $-1312 +$466 08-01 12:32
Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat? Yes +1,921 $1,349 59¢ $1.1K -$216 08-26 11:16
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +1,400 $792 70¢ $973 +$181 09-08 14:23
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +1,063 $558 82¢ $872 +$313 09-01 01:46
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,000 $650 77¢ $770 +$120 09-03 20:51
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +1,000 $650 76¢ $765 +$115 09-04 00:44
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? No +1,225 $711 62¢ $753 +$42 10-22 15:03
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +872 $492 81¢ $706 +$214 09-21 19:57
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -1,000 -$460 68¢ $-675 -$215 08-11 01:46
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes -1,000 -$500 68¢ $-675 -$175 08-13 06:49
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +600 $480 86¢ $513 +$33 10-22 20:48
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes -550 -$861 90¢ $-492 +$368 08-02 17:18
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +700 $400 68¢ $479 +$79 09-07 13:13
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? Yes +745 $450 62¢ $458 +$9 08-14 19:58
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +700 $452 64¢ $451 $0 10-22 15:03
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +744 $483 59¢ $442 -$42 09-10 02:05
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +500 $396 86¢ $428 +$32 08-26 23:22
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +568 $328 64¢ $366 +$38 10-08 13:48
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? Yes +446 $303 77¢ $343 +$40 09-22 16:25
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +500 $318 59¢ $295 -$23 08-26 11:19
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -300 -$267 95¢ $-286 -$19 04-29 11:14
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +500 $200 46¢ $232 +$32 08-28 17:56
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +500 $170 43¢ $213 +$43 08-28 10:54
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +200 $162 92¢ $185 +$23 05-20 00:59
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +179 $111 89¢ $159 +$48 09-03 20:48
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? No -140 -$132 96¢ $-135 -$3 09-22 16:26
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +200 $131 65¢ $129 -$2 10-22 16:59
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes -400 -$49 26¢ $-106 -$57 10-26 21:41
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? Yes +824 $348 12¢ $99 -$249 09-24 12:51
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes -200 -$82 40¢ $-80 +$2 07-30 19:27