Realized P&L
-$12.5K
Unrealized P&L
+$238
Hit rate
61.9%
Resolved
1,375
Trades
8,069
lifetime
Volume
$135.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$652
5 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 08-01 19:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 71 days
Categories
Other
86%
47%
-$10,973
Sports
8%
52%
-$95
Politics
4%
32%
+$174
Crypto
1%
45%
-$1,536
Tech
0%
50%
-$20
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-01).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | -4,762 | -$769 | 12¢ | $-564 | +$205 | 05-26 16:58 | |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency? | Yes | -464 | -$107 | 16¢ | $-77 | +$30 | 05-30 15:31 | |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | +17 | $9 | 29¢ | $5 | -$5 | 06-14 04:13 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | Yes | -623 | -$14 | 1¢ | $-4 | +$10 | 05-30 14:46 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | +17 | $5 | 16¢ | $3 | -$3 | 06-11 01:42 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-30? | 31 | $19.9K | 12,605 | 12,605 | +0 | Yes | +$1,518 | 06-30 18:59 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-01? | 7 | $18.4K | 9,695 | 9,695 | +0 | Yes | +$378 | 07-01 18:00 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | 5 | $8.5K | 14,441 | 39 | +14,402 | No | -$8,408 | 07-03 23:55 |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30? | 9 | $6.8K | 6,596 | 2,275 | +4,321 | Yes | +$724 | 07-01 02:33 |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? | 48 | $5.4K | 5,796 | 5,796 | +0 | No | -$60 | 07-01 21:33 |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw? | 45 | $4.5K | 45,783 | 2,224 | +43,559 | No | -$1,971 | 06-30 18:59 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02? | 37 | $4.2K | 5,509 | 0 | +5,509 | Yes | +$1,269 | 07-03 01:05 |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01? | 30 | $4.2K | 8,597 | 8,597 | +0 | No | -$415 | 07-01 17:47 |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30? | 8 | $4.1K | 2,222 | 2,222 | +0 | Yes | +$96 | 06-30 22:34 |
| Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw? | 25 | $2.2K | 14,970 | 0 | +14,970 | No | -$2,179 | 07-03 01:07 |
| Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | 9 | $1.9K | 3,125 | 3,124 | +0 | No | -$117 | 07-01 17:59 |
| will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245 | 3 | $1.8K | 1,707 | 1,280 | +427 | No | +$195 | 01-04 08:15 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? | 4 | $1.6K | 1,712 | 1,712 | +0 | No | -$17 | 07-01 20:13 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? | 13 | $1.5K | 1,106 | 621 | +485 | Yes | +$12 | 07-02 20:28 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 12:40 UTC | 2 | $1.5K | 1,521 | 0 | +1,521 | Down | -$1,481 | 02-28 12:44 |
| Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals | 140 | $1.0K | 1,182 | 607 | +574 | St. Louis Cardinals | -$112 | 06-01 02:23 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | 21 | $904 | 529 | 526 | +3 | Yes | +$133 | 06-20 22:01 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 1 | $769 | 0 | 4,762 | -4,762 | open | — | 05-26 16:58 |
| Will United States win on 2026-07-01? | 10 | $722 | 380 | 380 | +0 | Yes | +$16 | 07-02 01:52 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? | 10 | $701 | 465 | 301 | +164 | Yes | +$7 | 06-24 22:52 |
| Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw? | 10 | $700 | 1,667 | 1,667 | +0 | Yes | -$300 | 07-01 21:14 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | 134 | $644 | 520 | 503 | +17 | open | — | 06-12 22:31 |
| us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337 | 150 | $618 | 761 | 517 | +244 | Yes | -$116 | 06-12 22:30 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | 6 | $617 | 319 | 319 | +0 | Yes | +$17 | 06-20 01:20 |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31? | 44 | $596 | 694 | 694 | +0 | No | -$20 | 05-31 18:51 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | 45 | $546 | 2,379 | 379 | +2,000 | No | -$16 | 05-31 17:49 |
| Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | 7 | $539 | 1,441 | 1,440 | +0 | Yes | +$339 | 07-03 23:25 |
| will trump restart project freedom by june 30 | 116 | $501 | 478 | 404 | +74 | Yes | +$32 | 06-12 19:14 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02? | 3 | $499 | 609 | 406 | +203 | Yes | +$102 | 07-03 01:20 |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | 28 | $455 | 271 | 271 | +0 | Yes | +$40 | 06-19 19:49 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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