Hasty-Database — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$31

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.6%

Resolved

112

Trades

146

lifetime

Volume

$1.63K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 10-29 09:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Other

46% 94% +$2

Politics

33% 91% -$34

Crypto

16% 100% +$1

Tech

4% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	4	$159	82	82	+0	No	+$2	09-01 03:51
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	3	$149	100	50	+50	No	+$0	09-07 23:26
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	2	$88	44	44	+0	No	+$0	08-13 04:14
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	2	$85	42	42	+0	No	+$0	10-08 05:39
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$85	42	42	+0	Yes	+$0	10-05 07:18
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	3	$81	41	41	+0	No	+$0	09-30 19:16
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	2	$51	51	0	+51	No	+$0	09-30 20:22
laptop fdv above 1pt5b one day after launch	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	09-10 19:07
will bitcoin reach 97pt5k in september 2026	3	$47	24	24	+0	No	+$0	09-29 14:46
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	1	$47	47	0	+47	No	+$0	09-15 04:58
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17 371 741 936	1	$46	46	0	+46	Yes	+$0	07-01 01:56
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	1	$45	45	0	+45	Yes	+$0	08-17 01:52
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$44	45	0	+45	No	+$1	08-14 03:42
Aligned FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$43	44	0	+44	Yes	+$0	08-20 19:16
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	1	$43	44	0	+44	No	+$0	08-10 10:34
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	1	$43	43	0	+43	No	+$0	08-08 03:44
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	1	$43	43	0	+43	Yes	+$0	08-05 12:34
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$42	21	21	+0	No	+$0	10-29 09:09
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$35	40	0	+40	Yes	-$35	10-10 20:38
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	1	$33	33	0	+33	Yes	+$0	09-22 14:13
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$28	28	0	+28	Yes	+$0	05-30 08:09
will xrp dip to 1pt2 in march 2026	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	03-31 13:46
Will Sweden be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	1	$23	24	0	+24	No	+$0	05-14 00:14
will ethereum dip to 2300 in september 2026	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	09-30 06:48
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	3	$18	9	9	+0	No	+$0	10-13 13:08
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$18	9	9	+0	No	+$0	09-29 06:40
Will Solana dip to $40 in September?	2	$17	8	8	+0	No	+$0	09-29 15:44
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	07-30 19:53
will xrp dip to 0pt4 in january 2026	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	01-23 22:58
meta above 540 on january 30 2026	1	$6	6	0	+6	Yes	+$0	01-12 20:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 09:09:46	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x5ca758…
10-28 19:44:19	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x49f2c6…
10-13 13:08:14	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xa5ccee…
10-13 13:08:05	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb88e3e…
10-10 20:38:49	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0x5e3e66…
10-08 05:39:40	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xaa96a9…
10-06 02:35:09	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xd1cb04…
10-05 07:18:02	Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x550772…
10-05 01:57:49	Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x372b6a…
10-04 04:05:26	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0ca095…
09-30 20:22:29	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	BUY	41	99¢	$40	0xc938a3…
09-30 19:16:14	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x5be49b…
09-30 18:57:56	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xfa8ae4…
09-30 13:48:47	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xbd1a6c…
09-30 06:48:00	will ethereum dip to 2300 in september 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc85c10…
09-30 03:58:23	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	BUY	41	99¢	$40	0x0590d1…
09-29 15:44:20	Will Solana dip to $40 in September?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x4e94e3…
09-29 14:46:35	will bitcoin reach 97pt5k in september 2026	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x45fa2c…
09-29 06:40:18	Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xde7e28…
09-28 15:36:54	will bitcoin reach 97pt5k in september 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x80faac…
09-27 14:33:53	will ethereum dip to 2300 in september 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0dde58…
09-27 08:18:12	will bitcoin reach 97pt5k in september 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2a4dde…
09-22 14:13:16	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xcc9c72…
09-22 02:17:03	Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xffcf09…
09-17 12:30:01	Will Solana dip to $40 in September?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6dd19d…
09-15 04:58:37	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	No	BUY	47	99¢	$47	0x046fc3…
09-10 19:07:22	laptop fdv above 1pt5b one day after launch	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0e6667…
09-07 23:26:54	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x36c490…
09-07 13:03:36	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x498113…
09-05 12:37:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 7 2026	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x3c2a9c…
09-01 03:51:19	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x35d1c4…
08-27 16:45:16	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in August?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xde695f…
08-27 14:33:03	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x6a4a5f…
08-27 04:41:03	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xc20bdc…
08-25 21:51:09	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x948bf6…
08-25 15:37:01	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	42	96¢	$40	0x414448…
08-23 23:46:16	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x491cc0…
08-23 13:13:16	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xd12a38…
08-23 13:05:45	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	0¢	$0	0xa17ddd…
08-23 12:46:51	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0xca446e…
08-23 12:19:13	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	0¢	$0	0xc369dd…
08-23 12:18:40	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	0¢	$0	0x9beb8e…
08-23 10:09:40	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xdc5dc4…
08-20 19:16:06	Aligned FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	44	99¢	$43	0xcaede8…
08-19 05:44:49	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfa0898…
08-17 01:52:19	Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x7cf473…
08-14 18:46:43	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 37°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x3efd63…
08-14 18:46:42	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 37°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x677574…
08-14 10:09:10	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 37°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xfef6ae…
08-14 09:46:00	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 37°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xd71959…
08-14 07:31:21	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 37°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x3f5f35…
08-14 07:25:06	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 37°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xaab583…
08-14 07:24:58	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 37°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x2849a6…
08-14 07:01:00	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 37°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x83adfb…
08-14 07:01:00	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 37°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x799ae4…
08-14 07:01:00	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 37°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x01c7a0…
08-14 03:42:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x40af31…
08-13 04:14:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0xc99056…
08-12 06:17:22	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0x7b3539…
08-10 10:34:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	44	99¢	$43	0xbc1cdd…
08-08 03:44:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	43	99¢	$43	0x5d96d1…
08-05 12:34:02	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	43	99¢	$43	0x298d65…
08-05 08:31:08	will ethereum reach 3000 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xeb18b2…
08-03 15:48:41	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa7e359…
07-30 19:53:17	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x49d9a1…
07-30 13:44:08	will meta dip to 460 in july 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0x36da23…
07-30 08:23:21	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528 175	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xe39934…
07-30 07:49:53	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc85966…
07-30 05:17:20	will ethereum reach 2200 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xde2931…
07-29 02:06:21	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in July?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4809c4…
07-28 13:33:43	will xagusd reach 66 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa83f7a…
07-28 00:30:46	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbbc8ea…
07-26 19:55:52	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xf6427e…
07-26 05:54:52	will nvda dip to 152 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x546dba…
07-23 14:13:09	will xauusd reach 4400 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdc3284…
07-23 06:13:04	will bitcoin dip to 42pt5k in july 2026 821	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8a2b9c…
07-20 18:42:48	will xagusd dip to 44 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xeb2877…
07-20 11:00:57	will xauusd reach 4600 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xbaf2e9…
07-01 01:56:43	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17 371 741 936	Yes	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x1670ae…
05-30 08:09:39	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x709a4b…
05-27 02:40:19	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $465 in May?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x930ae2…
05-24 22:08:09	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x93547a…
05-14 00:14:10	Will Sweden be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$23	0xb7f0fa…
05-11 20:09:20	Will xAI have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9088f9…
05-09 07:21:29	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x724295…
05-09 06:57:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x307cde…
05-08 04:41:32	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x2e7758…
05-06 03:26:16	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x4df2b0…
05-05 14:19:10	Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xd7f107…
05-05 10:21:04	Will Ethereum dip to $800 in May?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xaea0f5…
04-25 08:00:30	Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2a5d88…
04-23 15:12:06	Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x3d58ee…
04-22 21:45:58	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xbd1c1d…
04-21 18:35:52	Will XRP reach $2.60 in April?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x22bc9e…
04-20 09:38:42	Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x62d52d…
04-19 22:30:26	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe6b0ba…
04-19 14:29:54	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe75ac7…
04-18 17:07:28	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $310 end of April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa11919…
04-18 11:10:48	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $310 end of April?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x6c8bef…
04-17 20:02:54	Will ByteDance have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x8e7ab3…