Crowded-Initialise — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$194

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.8%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

10 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$234

$234 lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 10:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 75% +$194

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	1	$29	57	+57	Up	+$28	05-05 03:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	1	$29	56	+56	Down	+$27	05-05 04:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	1	$29	57	+57	Up	+$28	05-05 03:21
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	1	$29	59	+59	open	—	05-05 10:31
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	1	$29	67	+67	Up	+$38	05-05 05:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	1	$29	61	+61	Down	$-29	05-05 03:45
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$29	110	+110	Down	+$82	05-05 02:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	1	$23	45	+45	Up	+$22	05-05 03:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	1	$7	15	+15	open	—	05-05 07:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$1	6	+6	Up	$-1	05-04 23:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 10:31:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	59	49¢	$29	0x7ca94a…
05-05 07:15:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0xf1a731…
05-05 05:25:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	67	43¢	$29	0xd3c653…
05-05 04:30:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	56	52¢	$29	0xc9ffdf…
05-05 03:45:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	61	47¢	$29	0xcc929e…
05-05 03:35:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	45	51¢	$23	0x47cde5…
05-05 03:30:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	57	51¢	$29	0x06929b…
05-05 03:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	57	51¢	$29	0xbed3cf…
05-05 02:15:00	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	110	26¢	$29	0x7ce846…
05-04 23:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xc178d0…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	9	$555	51	05-05 10:31
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	8	$1.43K	34	05-05 10:30