Grouchy-Share — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.0%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

720 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$79

$8.98K lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 11-02 07:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 74 days

Categories

Other

78% 80% +$1

Crypto

16% 80% +$0

Politics

4% 70% $0

Sports

1% 40% $0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C or higher on July 21?	6	$109	55	55	+0	No	+$0	07-21 03:45
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 280m?	3	$92	46	46	+0	No	+$0	08-02 01:13
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 26°C on July 10?	5	$79	39	39	+0	No	+$0	07-10 05:50
will mojtaba khamenei leave iran by july 31 20260720003505492	4	$78	39	39	+0	No	$0	07-30 13:17
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 22?	4	$76	38	38	+0	No	+$0	07-22 08:32
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 24?	4	$68	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-24 05:23
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on July 19?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-18 13:59
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on July 25?	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-25 09:54
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on July 6?	6	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-05 12:43
will nvda reach 240 in july 2026	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-31 16:16
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 75°F or below on July 4?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-04 13:53
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on June 28?	3	$57	32	25	+7	No	$0	06-28 17:57
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on July 19?	3	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-19 06:00
will ethereum reach 2000 july 13 19 2026	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-20 01:44
will bitcoin reach 68k july 20 26 2026	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-26 18:42
Will DeVante Hill be the Democratic Nominee for TN-09?	3	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	08-06 13:29
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 88°F or higher on August 3?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	$0	08-02 20:54
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on August 5?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	08-05 10:32
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 22?	4	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-21 18:51
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on July 29?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-29 04:41
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 31?	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-30 13:14
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 25?	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-25 01:42
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on July 23?	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-22 04:16
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 24?	2	$53	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-23 21:00
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on July 13?	3	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-13 08:25
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on July 23?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-23 14:05
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	08-01 05:34
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C or higher on July 6?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-06 14:51
ethereum above 1900 on july 3 2026	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-03 09:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 12?	3	$52	26	26	+0	No	$0	07-12 04:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 07:08:40	Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x02b84d…
11-02 07:07:48	Will Villarreal win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x41d45a…
10-31 08:48:01	Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc66ee4…
10-19 13:12:27	Will Villarreal win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xda1080…
10-13 09:29:16	Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xbb5bd2…
10-11 10:10:21	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x8bc29c…
09-24 23:28:17	Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x48d1f9…
09-03 14:35:42	Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x3fdad3…
09-03 14:34:28	Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x87fd29…
09-02 22:52:48	Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xcfad2c…
08-13 11:32:42	Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb72b96…
08-06 13:29:41	Will DeVante Hill be the Democratic Nominee for TN-09?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xe34388…
08-06 13:21:47	Will DeVante Hill be the Democratic Nominee for TN-09?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x1f9439…
08-05 11:41:57	Will DeVante Hill be the Democratic Nominee for TN-09?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xadd3da…
08-05 10:32:21	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on August 5?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x159a58…
08-05 07:50:06	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or below on August 5?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$19	0x71482d…
08-05 01:36:54	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 84°F or higher on August 5?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x2259a9…
08-04 23:40:56	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x78c135…
08-04 19:51:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on August 5?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x02558b…
08-04 18:54:29	Will "Hannibal: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x31c6ae…
08-04 18:39:08	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 4?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xb2e7b0…
08-04 18:37:36	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 36°C or higher on August 4?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x89d2b0…
08-04 14:52:54	Will "Hannibal: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9f033b…
08-04 11:53:54	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on August 5?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xd75a59…
08-04 10:42:29	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 36°C or higher on August 4?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xce366f…
08-04 08:30:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 4?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xa28cf3…
08-04 04:50:59	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0xf40536…
08-04 03:03:05	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xad9510…
08-03 21:51:24	ethereum above 2200 on august 4 2026	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xfd97e2…
08-03 17:45:02	Will Genevieve Scott win the Republican Primary for U.S. Senate in Michigan?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x7922ed…
08-03 15:13:12	ethereum above 2200 on august 4 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xc6c389…
08-03 14:53:09	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on August 3?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x65c2ed…
08-03 11:39:56	will bitcoin reach 66k on august 3	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xdcf257…
08-03 11:28:54	will bitcoin reach 66k on august 3	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x0b2aab…
08-03 10:32:14	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 3?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x2bdca0…
08-03 08:30:23	will bitcoin reach 66k on august 3	No	BUY	19	100¢	$18	0x1908cf…
08-03 04:09:21	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on August 3?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xe8b3f9…
08-03 03:10:32	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 3?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xb3aae9…
08-03 02:06:44	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 3?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x4ffb0d…
08-02 21:58:27	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 3?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xad77dc…
08-02 20:54:24	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 88°F or higher on August 3?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$27	0x3d01e7…
08-02 19:31:00	Will Genevieve Scott win the Republican Primary for U.S. Senate in Michigan?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xda27d5…
08-02 16:20:02	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 88°F or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0x0e620e…
08-02 11:04:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 3?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x5f65fd…
08-02 10:45:12	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 38°C on August 2?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x56c152…
08-02 10:43:18	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C or below on August 3?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x1750d0…
08-02 08:19:30	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C or below on August 3?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x3de26f…
08-02 05:40:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 3?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x299b62…
08-02 02:31:53	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 38°C on August 2?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x2cc628…
08-02 01:38:06	will bitcoin reach 68k july 27 august 2 2026	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x608fce…
08-02 01:13:09	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 280m?	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x00fada…
08-01 23:54:45	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 280m?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x7315ed…
08-01 23:25:08	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 280m?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x19d85c…
08-01 19:50:05	will bitcoin reach 68k july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xbd691e…
08-01 17:59:45	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on August 2?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xe50e2e…
08-01 17:58:18	Will Neuralink have the second highest private market valuation on July 31?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x743c3c…
08-01 17:42:39	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on August 2?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xbd030a…
08-01 16:32:51	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 300m and 310m?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb3de14…
08-01 16:27:39	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 300m and 310m?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xf794eb…
08-01 16:11:06	will spider man brand new day score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026314	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x49e246…
08-01 15:11:17	will spider man brand new day score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026314	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xebaa5b…
08-01 14:50:27	Will Neuralink have the second highest private market valuation on July 31?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x736b35…
08-01 13:56:59	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 300m and 310m?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xb4b89f…
08-01 11:34:24	will spider man brand new day score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026314	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xddcc76…
08-01 10:02:36	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 1?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x70a58b…
08-01 07:19:11	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 1?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x9e339c…
08-01 07:01:21	will krakens valuation hit high 13 by july 31 20260629184742672	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x13061b…
08-01 07:00:39	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 1?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x069f1c…
08-01 05:34:30	Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xf3f4ef…
08-01 02:10:35	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 1?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x0e506b…
08-01 01:28:30	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 1?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x1045ca…
08-01 00:13:53	will krakens valuation hit high 13 by july 31 20260629184742672	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd6493e…
07-31 19:02:27	Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x600894…
07-31 16:16:24	will nvda reach 240 in july 2026	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xa78ecd…
07-31 15:51:20	Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x7074d4…
07-31 10:35:48	will krakens valuation hit high 13 by july 31 20260629184742672	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x2e0dd3…
07-31 09:00:20	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C or below on July 31?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x6c13f1…
07-31 08:45:42	will nvda reach 240 in july 2026	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x223ad0…
07-31 06:48:18	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xe9ec42…
07-31 06:15:27	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x91a6a5…
07-31 06:07:24	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xc3c046…
07-31 05:56:12	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C or below on July 31?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xeef1da…
07-30 21:02:30	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xfb9b99…
07-30 17:46:23	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by july 31 20260624040209014	No	SELL	6	100¢	$5	0xdaa2d8…
07-30 16:24:15	uptspt x russia nuclear deal by july 31 20260626165517058	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xdfa4d1…
07-30 16:20:08	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xe9eead…
07-30 14:34:39	uptspt x russia nuclear deal by july 31 20260626165517058	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe428a6…
07-30 13:18:54	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xbfb73f…
07-30 13:17:27	will mojtaba khamenei leave iran by july 31 20260720003505492	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xbf7fad…
07-30 13:14:20	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 31?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xbbce05…
07-30 11:19:41	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by july 31 20260624040209014	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0xe7b5e9…
07-30 09:44:02	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 31?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xaca5e8…
07-30 07:57:23	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x567a1a…
07-30 05:05:20	uptspt x russia nuclear deal by july 31 20260626165517058	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3d419c…
07-30 02:44:44	will mojtaba khamenei leave iran by july 31 20260720003505492	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x94dd3a…
07-30 01:12:53	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xb0c2a2…
07-29 23:34:03	will mojtaba khamenei leave iran by july 31 20260720003505492	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xdf7e19…
07-29 21:56:11	will mojtaba khamenei leave iran by july 31 20260720003505492	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xca9a3a…
07-29 20:51:47	kash patel out by july 31 20260626155143217	No	SELL	14	100¢	$13	0x55b77d…
07-29 18:55:51	kash patel out by july 31 20260626155143217	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0x7fb2b3…